Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $250.8200 (1.43%) ($247.5100 - $253.1100) on Fri. Jul. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $250.8200(1.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWN(54%)    IWD(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $246.87(1.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $243.19(3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $241.28(3.95%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25.1%
Market Cap   $14.124b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2016	207.07	241.28	243.19	246.87			250.82(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	8	64	0.74	79%	0.48	57.2	1.57%	0	2.4	68	0
2	Jul_7_2016	206.09	240.69	242.23	245.43			247.29(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	7	54	0.51	79%	0.44	61.6	1.6%	0	2	61	0
3	Jul_6_2016	205.19	240.26	241.3	244.11			247.77(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	12	46	0.76	79%	0.45	61.5	1.6%	0	2.6	64	0
4	Jul_5_2016	204.28	239.79	240.49	241.79			244.72(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	10	29	0.6	79%	0.43	61.6	1.6%	0	2.1	61	0
5	Jul_1_2016	203.4	239.38	239.99	239.86			243.74(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	7	-10000	5	14	0.56	79%	0.45	49.5	1.59%	0	2	60	0

6	Jun_30_2016	202.48	239.01	239.39	238.94			243.64(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	2	-10000	2	2	0.62	79%	0.46	95.2	1.58%	0	2.3	55	0
7	Jun_29_2016	201.56	238.66	238.96	238.63			240.66(1.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-10000	3	-1	0.75	79%	0.45	173.6	1.58%	0	1.2	51	0
8	Jun_28_2016	200.66	238.46	238.7	238.14			236.21(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-5	-10	0.79	76%	0.42	210.6	1.57%	0	-1.1	44	0
9	Jun_27_2016	199.83	238.34	238.91	239			235.04(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-5	-10000	-5	-4	0.83	76%	0.39	287.1	1.57%	0	-1.6	42	0
10	Jun_24_2016	199.06	238.29	239.25	240.03			239.16(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3	-10000	1	9	1.46	84%	0.36	332.3	1.56%	0	0.4	58	0

11	Jun_23_2016	198.35	237.14	239.33	239.8			242.08(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	2	12	0.6	84%	0.35	133.3	1.55%	0	0.9	66	0
12	Jun_22_2016	197.65	235.72	239.08	239.8			238.23(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	12	0.62	83%	0.32	100	1.54%	0	0.3	56	0
13	Jun_21_2016	197.02	234.27	239.2	239.35			240.47(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	3	18	0.49	83%	0.31	80.6	1.53%	0	0.6	66	0
14	Jun_20_2016	196.41	232.65	239.06	238.83			240.2(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	22	0.65	83%	0.31	68.4	1.53%	0	0.7	74	0
15	Jun_17_2016	195.81	231.15	238.72	238.38			238.04(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-2	22	0.85	83%	0.33	64.4	1.54%	0	0.6	70	0

16	Jun_16_2016	195.16	229.71	238.6	238.77			239.82(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	15	-10000	-0	61	0.56	83%	0.34	62.3	1.55%	0	0.8	93	0
17	Jun_15_2016	194.49	228.1	238.33	238.81			238.23(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	25	-10000	-1	102	0.58	83%	0.31	61.6	1.55%	0	0.7	93	0
18	Jun_14_2016	193.88	226.47	238.19	239.04			237.88(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	38	-10000	-1	153	0.56	83%	0.33	58.8	1.56%	0	0.8	94	0
19	Jun_13_2016	193.25	225	237.76	239.3			237.95(-0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	51	-10000	1	202	0.58	83%	0.31	59.3	1.57%	0	0.9	95	0
20	Jun_10_2016	192.65	223.38	237.32	239.05			239.98(-0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	-10000	2	148	0.53	93%	0.33	57.4	2.61%	0	1.1	91	0

21	Jun_9_2016	192.01	221.73	234.89	238.37			240.01(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	2	154	0.55	87%	0.36	58	2.62%	0	1.2	91	0
22	Jun_8_2016	191.33	219.86	232.2	237.78			239.36(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	2	159	0.41	87%	0.34	55.8	2.65%	0	1.3	92	0
23	Jun_7_2016	190.68	218.24	229.07	237.25			239.18(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-10000	4	164	0.72	81%	0.26	57.2	2.66%	0	1.5	92	0
24	Jun_6_2016	190.18	216.63	225.85	236.01			236.74(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	2	158	0.49	81%	0.36	57.7	2.69%	0	1.5	82	0
25	Jun_3_2016	189.5	215.14	223.05	235.29			236.57(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	15	168	0.78	81%		60.7	2.69%	0	1.8	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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