Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $242.0800 (1.62%) ($238.3400 - $242.2300) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.55% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $242.0800(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWN(54%)    IWD(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.775% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.775% (StdDev 1.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $239.8(0.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $239.33(1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $237.14(2.08%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.4%
Market Cap   $13.632b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 1.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2016	198.35	237.14	239.33	239.8			242.08(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	2	12	0.6	84%	0.35	133.3	1.55%	0	0.9	66	0
2	Jun_22_2016	197.65	235.72	239.08	239.8			238.23(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	0	12	0.62	83%	0.32	100	1.54%	0	0.3	56	0
3	Jun_21_2016	197.02	234.27	239.2	239.35			240.47(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	3	18	0.49	83%	0.31	80.6	1.53%	0	0.6	66	0
4	Jun_20_2016	196.41	232.65	239.06	238.83			240.2(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	22	0.65	83%	0.31	68.4	1.53%	0	0.7	74	0
5	Jun_17_2016	195.81	231.15	238.72	238.38			238.04(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-2	22	0.85	83%	0.33	64.4	1.54%	0	0.6	70	0

6	Jun_16_2016	195.16	229.71	238.6	238.77			239.82(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	15	-10000	-0	61	0.56	83%	0.34	62.3	1.55%	0	0.8	93	0
7	Jun_15_2016	194.49	228.1	238.33	238.81			238.23(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	25	-10000	-1	102	0.58	83%	0.31	61.6	1.55%	0	0.7	93	0
8	Jun_14_2016	193.88	226.47	238.19	239.04			237.88(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	38	-10000	-1	153	0.56	83%	0.33	58.8	1.56%	0	0.8	94	0
9	Jun_13_2016	193.25	225	237.76	239.3			237.95(-0.85%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	51	-10000	1	202	0.58	83%	0.31	59.3	1.57%	0	0.9	95	0
10	Jun_10_2016	192.65	223.38	237.32	239.05			239.98(-0.01%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	39	-10000	2	148	0.53	93%	0.33	57.4	2.61%	0	1.1	91	0

11	Jun_9_2016	192.01	221.73	234.89	238.37			240.01(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	40	-10000	2	154	0.55	87%	0.36	58	2.62%	0	1.2	91	0
12	Jun_8_2016	191.33	219.86	232.2	237.78			239.36(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	2	159	0.41	87%	0.34	55.8	2.65%	0	1.3	92	0
13	Jun_7_2016	190.68	218.24	229.07	237.25			239.18(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-10000	4	164	0.72	81%	0.26	57.2	2.66%	0	1.5	92	0
14	Jun_6_2016	190.18	216.63	225.85	236.01			236.74(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	2	158	0.49	81%	0.36	57.7	2.69%	0	1.5	82	0
15	Jun_3_2016	189.5	215.14	223.05	235.29			236.57(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	15	168	0.78	81%	0.32	60.7	2.69%	0	1.8	84	0

16	Jun_2_2016	188.89	213.54	220.15	230.72			237.06(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	17	146	0.78	81%	0.31	54.4	2.69%	0	2.1	79	0
17	Jun_1_2016	188.3	212.06	217	225.6			236.68(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	46	-10000	20	123	0.87	81%	0.28	46.5	2.69%	0	2.5	81	0
18	May_31_2016	187.77	210.59	213.65	219.58			233.01(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	34	-10000	18	83	2.14	81%	0.31	37	2.73%	0	2.8	71	0
19	May_27_2016	187.19	209.34	210.97	214.19			233.15(9.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	27	-10000	18	52	3.58	81%	0.27	27.1	2.69%	0	4.1	70	0
20	May_26_2016	186.68	207.96	207.96	209.25			213.69(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	8	-10000	5	16	1.89	75%	0.17	14.8	2.48%	0	2.4	56	0

21	May_25_2016	186.37	207.96	207.26	208.09			211.48(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	6	-10000	4	10	1.24	75%	0.16	3.7	2.48%	0	1.7	57	0
22	May_24_2016	186.07	207.6	206.39	207.08			206.59(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	2	-5	1.39	75%	0.13	7.8	2.48%	0	-0.5	45	0
23	May_23_2016	185.82	207.68	206.54	206.65			206.02(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-11	0.96	75%	0.11	10.8	2.48%	0	-0.8	44	0
24	May_20_2016	185.61	207.76	206.77	207.08			208.47(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	3	-9	0.97	78%	0.13	17.5	2.5%	0	0.3	46	0
25	May_19_2016	185.37	207.62	206.75	206.42			207.89(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.52	72%		11.5	2.52%	0	0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.