Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $239.3600 (0.08%) ($238.4600 - $240.6900) on Wed. Jun. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.65% (three month average)
RSI   92
Latest Price   $239.3600(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(55%)    IWN(54%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-13%)    TLT(-10%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.325% (StdDev 2.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $237.78(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $232.2(3.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $219.86(8.87%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   50.5%
Market Cap   $13.479b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 6.59% (three month std-dev: 2.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2016	191.33	219.86	232.2	237.78			239.36(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	2	159	0.41	87%	0.34	55.8	2.65%	0	1.3	92	0
2	Jun_7_2016	190.68	218.24	229.07	237.25			239.18(1.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	44	-10000	4	164	0.72	81%	0.26	57.2	2.66%	0	1.5	92	0
3	Jun_6_2016	190.18	216.63	225.85	236.01			236.74(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	2	158	0.49	81%	0.36	57.7	2.69%	0	1.5	82	0
4	Jun_3_2016	189.5	215.14	223.05	235.29			236.57(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	15	168	0.78	81%	0.32	60.7	2.69%	0	1.8	84	0
5	Jun_2_2016	188.89	213.54	220.15	230.72			237.06(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	49	-10000	17	146	0.78	81%	0.31	54.4	2.69%	0	2.1	79	0

6	Jun_1_2016	188.3	212.06	217	225.6			236.68(1.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	46	-10000	20	123	0.87	81%	0.28	46.5	2.69%	0	2.5	81	0
7	May_31_2016	187.77	210.59	213.65	219.58			233.01(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	34	-10000	18	83	2.14	81%	0.31	37	2.73%	0	2.8	71	0
8	May_27_2016	187.19	209.34	210.97	214.19			233.15(9.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.2	27	-10000	18	52	3.58	81%	0.27	27.1	2.69%	0	4.1	70	0
9	May_26_2016	186.68	207.96	207.96	209.25			213.69(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	8	-10000	5	16	1.89	75%	0.17	14.8	2.48%	0	2.4	56	0
10	May_25_2016	186.37	207.96	207.26	208.09			211.48(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	6	-10000	4	10	1.24	75%	0.16	3.7	2.48%	0	1.7	57	0

11	May_24_2016	186.07	207.6	206.39	207.08			206.59(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	2	-5	1.39	75%	0.13	7.8	2.48%	0	-0.5	45	0
12	May_23_2016	185.82	207.68	206.54	206.65			206.02(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-11	0.96	75%	0.11	10.8	2.48%	0	-0.8	44	0
13	May_20_2016	185.61	207.76	206.77	207.08			208.47(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	-10000	3	-9	0.97	78%	0.13	17.5	2.5%	0	0.3	46	0
14	May_19_2016	185.37	207.62	206.75	206.42			207.89(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.52	72%	0.12	11.5	2.52%	0	0.1	50	0
15	May_18_2016	185.14	207.52	206.57	206.33			206.45(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	3	-15	1.03	67%	0.12	10.1	2.56%	0	-0.5	50	0

16	May_17_2016	184.92	207.44	206.9	205.61			204.44(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0.88	67%	0.11	-4.4	2.59%	0	-1.3	39	0
17	May_16_2016	184.72	207.46	207.44	206.38			208.13(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-4	-10000	-0	-17	0.48	67%	0.13	5.5	2.57%	0	0.3	50	0
18	May_13_2016	184.48	207.4	207.66	206.44			205.2(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-3	-15	0.63	67%	0.11	14.8	2.57%	0	-0.9	48	0
19	May_12_2016	184.27	207.37	208	207.14			207.43(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.76	70%	0.12	29.8	2.58%	0	0	54	0
20	May_11_2016	184.05	207.29	207.97	206.89			202.85(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-6	-10000	-5	-9	0.95	70%	0.1	50	2.6%	0	-1.9	47	0

21	May_10_2016	183.87	207.54	207.97	208.32			208.27(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-1	10	0.85	74%	0.13	95.5	2.57%	0	0.3	59	0
22	May_9_2016	183.64	207.34	208.96	208.65			208.46(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-2	16	0.8	74%	0.13	109	2.57%	0	0.4	60	0
23	May_6_2016	183.4	207.04	208.87	209.1			208.68(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	0	20	0.77	70%	0.13	116.7	2.61%	0	0.6	53	0
24	May_5_2016	183.16	206.66	208.58	209.02			206.21(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-1	21	0.84	62%	0.11	94.7	2.62%	0	-0.1	56	0
25	May_4_2016	182.96	206.12	208.6	209.17			209.97(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	21	0.54	59%		82.7	2.71%	0	0.8	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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