Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $206.4500 (0.98%) ($203.1800 - $208.3050) on Wed. May. 18, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $206.4500(0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

Resistance Level   $207.52
5 Day Moving Average   $206.33(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $206.57(-0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $207.52(-0.52%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   37.6%
Market Cap   $11.626b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.09% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160618

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_18_2016	185.14	207.52	206.57	206.33			206.45(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	-10000	3	-15	1.03	67%	0.12	10.1	2.56%	0	-0.5	50	0
2	May_17_2016	184.92	207.44	206.9	205.61			204.44(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0.88	67%	0.11	-4.4	2.59%	0	-1.3	39	0
3	May_16_2016	184.72	207.46	207.44	206.38			208.13(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-4	-10000	-0	-17	0.48	67%	0.13	5.5	2.57%	0	0.3	50	0
4	May_13_2016	184.48	207.4	207.66	206.44			205.2(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-3	-15	0.63	67%	0.11	14.8	2.57%	0	-0.9	48	0
5	May_12_2016	184.27	207.37	208	207.14			207.43(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	1	-6	0.76	70%	0.12	29.8	2.58%	0	0	54	0

6	May_11_2016	184.05	207.29	207.97	206.89			202.85(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-6	-10000	-5	-9	0.95	70%	0.1	50	2.6%	0	-1.9	47	0
7	May_10_2016	183.87	207.54	207.97	208.32			208.27(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-1	10	0.85	74%	0.13	95.5	2.57%	0	0.3	59	0
8	May_9_2016	183.64	207.34	208.96	208.65			208.46(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-2	16	0.8	74%	0.13	109	2.57%	0	0.4	60	0
9	May_6_2016	183.4	207.04	208.87	209.1			208.68(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	0	20	0.77	70%	0.13	116.7	2.61%	0	0.6	53	0
10	May_5_2016	183.16	206.66	208.58	209.02			206.21(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-1	21	0.84	62%	0.11	94.7	2.62%	0	-0.1	56	0

11	May_4_2016	182.96	206.12	208.6	209.17			209.97(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	21	0.54	59%	0.14	82.7	2.71%	0	0.8	58	0
12	May_3_2016	182.7	205.39	208.07	209.68			209.91(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	1	23	0.9	59%	0.14	78.5	2.74%	0	0.9	54	0
13	May_2_2016	182.45	204.62	207.5	209.33			210.72(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	2	22	0.67	59%	0.16	71.9	2.75%	0	1.1	61	0
14	Apr_29_2016	182.16	203.76	207.08	208.66			208.28(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	2	23	0.83	62%	0.15	68.6	2.75%	0	0.8	61	0
15	Apr_28_2016	181.89	203.07	206.67	208.08			206.99(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	23	0.89	62%	0.13	66.1	2.78%	0	0.7	62	0

16	Apr_27_2016	181.65	202.43	206.54	207.85			212.52(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	13	-10000	6	35	1.39	59%	0.15	65.6	2.76%	0	1.7	80	0
17	Apr_26_2016	181.37	201.49	205.95	206.23			208.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	3	37	1.13	59%	0.14	63.5	2.78%	0	1.2	75	0
18	Apr_25_2016	181.12	200.76	205.53	205.42			207.37(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	11	-10000	0	42	0.96	59%	0.13	60.1	2.79%	0	1.2	76	0
19	Apr_22_2016	180.88	199.99	205.01	205.32			205.39(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	1	51	1	59%	0.24	61.7	2.8%	0	1	75	0
20	Apr_21_2016	180.44	199.32	204.56	205.06			205.86(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	57	0.86	59%	0.24	63.4	2.81%	0	1.1	73	0

21	Apr_20_2016	180	198.6	203.47	205.02			204.42(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-2	58	0.88	59%	0.23	64.9	2.81%	0	1	72	0
22	Apr_19_2016	179.59	197.96	202.57	205.62			204.04(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	0	64	1.16	61%	0.21	72.2	2.82%	0	1.1	70	0
23	Apr_18_2016	179.21	197.37	201.61	205.6			206.91(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10000	3	67	1.11	61%	0.21	75.8	2.83%	0	1.7	78	0
24	Apr_15_2016	178.83	196.56	200.24	204.64			204.06(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	64	11.41	57%	0.15	76.1	2.84%	0	1.4	78	0
25	Apr_14_2016	178.57	195.76	199.26	203.93			205.67(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	1.37	57%		95.9	2.9%	0	1.9	83	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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