Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 4, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $209.9700 (0.03%) ($208.7050 - $211.0100) on Wed. May. 4, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.71% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $209.9700(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.355% (StdDev 2.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $209.17(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $208.6(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $206.12(1.87%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   39.9%
Market Cap   $11.824b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 2.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2016	182.96	206.12	208.6	209.17			209.97(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	-10000	-2	21	0.54	59%	0.14	82.7	2.71%	0	0.8	58	0
2	May_3_2016	182.7	205.39	208.07	209.68			209.91(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	7	-10000	1	23	0.9	59%	0.14	78.5	2.74%	0	0.9	54	0
3	May_2_2016	182.45	204.62	207.5	209.33			210.72(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	2	22	0.67	59%	0.16	71.9	2.75%	0	1.1	61	0
4	Apr_29_2016	182.16	203.76	207.08	208.66			208.28(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	2	23	0.83	62%	0.15	68.6	2.75%	0	0.8	61	0
5	Apr_28_2016	181.89	203.07	206.67	208.08			206.99(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	23	0.89	62%	0.13	66.1	2.78%	0	0.7	62	0

6	Apr_27_2016	181.65	202.43	206.54	207.85			212.52(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	13	-10000	6	35	1.39	59%	0.15	65.6	2.76%	0	1.7	80	0
7	Apr_26_2016	181.37	201.49	205.95	206.23			208.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	3	37	1.13	59%	0.14	63.5	2.78%	0	1.2	75	0
8	Apr_25_2016	181.12	200.76	205.53	205.42			207.37(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	11	-10000	0	42	0.96	59%	0.13	60.1	2.79%	0	1.2	76	0
9	Apr_22_2016	180.88	199.99	205.01	205.32			205.39(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	1	51	1	59%	0.24	61.7	2.8%	0	1	75	0
10	Apr_21_2016	180.44	199.32	204.56	205.06			205.86(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	57	0.86	59%	0.24	63.4	2.81%	0	1.1	73	0

11	Apr_20_2016	180	198.6	203.47	205.02			204.42(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-2	58	0.88	59%	0.23	64.9	2.81%	0	1	72	0
12	Apr_19_2016	179.59	197.96	202.57	205.62			204.04(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	0	64	1.16	61%	0.21	72.2	2.82%	0	1.1	70	0
13	Apr_18_2016	179.21	197.37	201.61	205.6			206.91(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10000	3	67	1.11	61%	0.21	75.8	2.83%	0	1.7	78	0
14	Apr_15_2016	178.83	196.56	200.24	204.64			204.06(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	64	11.41	57%	0.15	76.1	2.84%	0	1.4	78	0
15	Apr_14_2016	178.57	195.76	199.26	203.93			205.67(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	1.37	57%	0.21	95.9	2.9%	0	1.9	83	0

16	Apr_13_2016	178.19	194.95	198.04	201.62			207.42(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	20	-10000	9	54	1.12	54%	0.21	122	2.9%	0	2.6	89	0
17	Apr_12_2016	177.81	193.93	196.62	199.07			203.94(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	16	-10000	7	42	1.19	54%	0.2	157.2	2.93%	0	2.5	87	0
18	Apr_11_2016	177.46	193.19	195.51	197.03			202.1(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	12	-10000	6	31	1.6	54%	0.19	209.2	2.94%	0	2.7	80	0
19	Apr_8_2016	177.13	192.62	194.44	195.23			200.51(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	8	-10000	4	20	3.61	54%	0.21	290.5	2.94%	0	3	80	0
20	Apr_7_2016	176.75	190.87	193.52	193.97			194.12(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	15	0.87	52%	0.18	108.8	2.91%	0	0.5	78	0

21	Apr_6_2016	176.44	189.27	193.27	193.89			194.67(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	17	0.66	52%	0.19	71.3	2.91%	0	0.6	67	0
22	Apr_5_2016	176.11	187.78	192.97	193.78			193.75(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	0	20	0.77	52%	0.2	59.8	2.91%	0	0.5	71	0
23	Apr_4_2016	175.75	186.41	192.82	193.7			193.12(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	23	0.58	52%	0.23	55.2	2.91%	0	0.6	60	0
24	Apr_1_2016	175.35	185.25	192.66	193.46			194.18(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	22	0.51	52%	0.15	55.1	2.92%	0	0.7	56	0
25	Mar_31_2016	175.09	184.03	192.07	192.98			193.74(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	44	0.74	52%		55.5	2.94%	0	0.8	86	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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