Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 2, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $210.7200 (1.17%) ($207.5400 - $210.7700) on Mon. May. 2, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $210.7200(1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $209.33(0.66%)
10 Day Moving Average   $207.5(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $204.62(2.98%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   40.4%
Market Cap   $11.866b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2016	182.45	204.62	207.5	209.33			210.72(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	2	22	0.67	59%	0.16	71.9	2.75%	0	1.1	61	0
2	Apr_29_2016	182.16	203.76	207.08	208.66			208.28(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	2	23	0.83	62%	0.15	68.6	2.75%	0	0.8	61	0
3	Apr_28_2016	181.89	203.07	206.67	208.08			206.99(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	23	0.89	62%	0.13	66.1	2.78%	0	0.7	62	0
4	Apr_27_2016	181.65	202.43	206.54	207.85			212.52(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	13	-10000	6	35	1.39	59%	0.15	65.6	2.76%	0	1.7	80	0
5	Apr_26_2016	181.37	201.49	205.95	206.23			208.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	3	37	1.13	59%	0.14	63.5	2.78%	0	1.2	75	0

6	Apr_25_2016	181.12	200.76	205.53	205.42			207.37(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	11	-10000	0	42	0.96	59%	0.13	60.1	2.79%	0	1.2	76	0
7	Apr_22_2016	180.88	199.99	205.01	205.32			205.39(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	1	51	1	59%	0.24	61.7	2.8%	0	1	75	0
8	Apr_21_2016	180.44	199.32	204.56	205.06			205.86(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	57	0.86	59%	0.24	63.4	2.81%	0	1.1	73	0
9	Apr_20_2016	180	198.6	203.47	205.02			204.42(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-2	58	0.88	59%	0.23	64.9	2.81%	0	1	72	0
10	Apr_19_2016	179.59	197.96	202.57	205.62			204.04(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	0	64	1.16	61%	0.21	72.2	2.82%	0	1.1	70	0

11	Apr_18_2016	179.21	197.37	201.61	205.6			206.91(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10000	3	67	1.11	61%	0.21	75.8	2.83%	0	1.7	78	0
12	Apr_15_2016	178.83	196.56	200.24	204.64			204.06(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	64	11.41	57%	0.15	76.1	2.84%	0	1.4	78	0
13	Apr_14_2016	178.57	195.76	199.26	203.93			205.67(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	1.37	57%	0.21	95.9	2.9%	0	1.9	83	0
14	Apr_13_2016	178.19	194.95	198.04	201.62			207.42(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	20	-10000	9	54	1.12	54%	0.21	122	2.9%	0	2.6	89	0
15	Apr_12_2016	177.81	193.93	196.62	199.07			203.94(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	16	-10000	7	42	1.19	54%	0.2	157.2	2.93%	0	2.5	87	0

16	Apr_11_2016	177.46	193.19	195.51	197.03			202.1(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	12	-10000	6	31	1.6	54%	0.19	209.2	2.94%	0	2.7	80	0
17	Apr_8_2016	177.13	192.62	194.44	195.23			200.51(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	8	-10000	4	20	3.61	54%	0.21	290.5	2.94%	0	3	80	0
18	Apr_7_2016	176.75	190.87	193.52	193.97			194.12(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	15	0.87	52%	0.18	108.8	2.91%	0	0.5	78	0
19	Apr_6_2016	176.44	189.27	193.27	193.89			194.67(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	17	0.66	52%	0.19	71.3	2.91%	0	0.6	67	0
20	Apr_5_2016	176.11	187.78	192.97	193.78			193.75(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	0	20	0.77	52%	0.2	59.8	2.91%	0	0.5	71	0

21	Apr_4_2016	175.75	186.41	192.82	193.7			193.12(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	23	0.58	52%	0.23	55.2	2.91%	0	0.6	60	0
22	Apr_1_2016	175.35	185.25	192.66	193.46			194.18(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	22	0.51	52%	0.15	55.1	2.92%	0	0.7	56	0
23	Mar_31_2016	175.09	184.03	192.07	192.98			193.74(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	44	0.74	52%	0.14	55.5	2.94%	0	0.8	86	0
24	Mar_30_2016	174.84	182.78	191.7	192.54			194.11(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	2	74	0.61	52%	0.12	57.2	2.94%	0	0.9	88	0
25	Mar_29_2016	174.63	181.5	191.08	192.05			193.37(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	1	98	0.54	52%		60.2	2.94%	0	0.9	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.