Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $208.2800 (0.62%) ($205.2500 - $208.5400) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.75% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $208.2800(0.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.375% (StdDev 2.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $208.66(-0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $207.08(0.58%)
20 Day Moving Average   $203.76(2.22%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   38.8%
Market Cap   $11.729b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.74% (three month std-dev: 2.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2016	182.16	203.76	207.08	208.66			208.28(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	2	23	0.83	62%	0.15	68.6	2.75%	0	0.8	61	0
2	Apr_28_2016	181.89	203.07	206.67	208.08			206.99(-2.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	1	23	0.89	62%	0.13	66.1	2.78%	0	0.7	62	0
3	Apr_27_2016	181.65	202.43	206.54	207.85			212.52(2.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	13	-10000	6	35	1.39	59%	0.15	65.6	2.76%	0	1.7	80	0
4	Apr_26_2016	181.37	201.49	205.95	206.23			208.13(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	3	37	1.13	59%	0.14	63.5	2.78%	0	1.2	75	0
5	Apr_25_2016	181.12	200.76	205.53	205.42			207.37(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	11	-10000	0	42	0.96	59%	0.13	60.1	2.79%	0	1.2	76	0

6	Apr_22_2016	180.88	199.99	205.01	205.32			205.39(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	1	51	1	59%	0.24	61.7	2.8%	0	1	75	0
7	Apr_21_2016	180.44	199.32	204.56	205.06			205.86(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	57	0.86	59%	0.24	63.4	2.81%	0	1.1	73	0
8	Apr_20_2016	180	198.6	203.47	205.02			204.42(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-10000	-2	58	0.88	59%	0.23	64.9	2.81%	0	1	72	0
9	Apr_19_2016	179.59	197.96	202.57	205.62			204.04(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	16	-10000	0	64	1.16	61%	0.21	72.2	2.82%	0	1.1	70	0
10	Apr_18_2016	179.21	197.37	201.61	205.6			206.91(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	19	-10000	3	67	1.11	61%	0.21	75.8	2.83%	0	1.7	78	0

11	Apr_15_2016	178.83	196.56	200.24	204.64			204.06(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	2	64	11.41	57%	0.15	76.1	2.84%	0	1.4	78	0
12	Apr_14_2016	178.57	195.76	199.26	203.93			205.67(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	1.37	57%	0.21	95.9	2.9%	0	1.9	83	0
13	Apr_13_2016	178.19	194.95	198.04	201.62			207.42(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	20	-10000	9	54	1.12	54%	0.21	122	2.9%	0	2.6	89	0
14	Apr_12_2016	177.81	193.93	196.62	199.07			203.94(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	16	-10000	7	42	1.19	54%	0.2	157.2	2.93%	0	2.5	87	0
15	Apr_11_2016	177.46	193.19	195.51	197.03			202.1(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	12	-10000	6	31	1.6	54%	0.19	209.2	2.94%	0	2.7	80	0

16	Apr_8_2016	177.13	192.62	194.44	195.23			200.51(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	8	-10000	4	20	3.61	54%	0.21	290.5	2.94%	0	3	80	0
17	Apr_7_2016	176.75	190.87	193.52	193.97			194.12(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	15	0.87	52%	0.18	108.8	2.91%	0	0.5	78	0
18	Apr_6_2016	176.44	189.27	193.27	193.89			194.67(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	17	0.66	52%	0.19	71.3	2.91%	0	0.6	67	0
19	Apr_5_2016	176.11	187.78	192.97	193.78			193.75(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	0	20	0.77	52%	0.2	59.8	2.91%	0	0.5	71	0
20	Apr_4_2016	175.75	186.41	192.82	193.7			193.12(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	23	0.58	52%	0.23	55.2	2.91%	0	0.6	60	0

21	Apr_1_2016	175.35	185.25	192.66	193.46			194.18(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	22	0.51	52%	0.15	55.1	2.92%	0	0.7	56	0
22	Mar_31_2016	175.09	184.03	192.07	192.98			193.74(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	44	0.74	52%	0.14	55.5	2.94%	0	0.8	86	0
23	Mar_30_2016	174.84	182.78	191.7	192.54			194.11(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	2	74	0.61	52%	0.12	57.2	2.94%	0	0.9	88	0
24	Mar_29_2016	174.63	181.5	191.08	192.05			193.37(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	1	98	0.54	52%	0.13	60.2	2.94%	0	0.9	81	0
25	Mar_28_2016	174.4	180.1	190.73	191.85			191.91(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	-10000	0	126	0.48	52%		63.4	2.94%	0	0.9	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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