Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $205.6700 (-0.84%) ($204.6600 - $207.7200) on Thu. Apr. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.9% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $205.6700(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(57%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.45% (StdDev 2.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $203.93(0.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $199.26(3.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $195.76(5.06%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   37%
Market Cap   $11.582b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 2.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2016	178.57	195.76	199.26	203.93			205.67(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	8	65	1.37	57%	0.21	95.9	2.9%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Apr_13_2016	178.19	194.95	198.04	201.62			207.42(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	20	-10000	9	54	1.12	54%	0.21	122	2.9%	0	2.6	89	0
3	Apr_12_2016	177.81	193.93	196.62	199.07			203.94(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	16	-10000	7	42	1.19	54%	0.2	157.2	2.93%	0	2.5	87	0
4	Apr_11_2016	177.46	193.19	195.51	197.03			202.1(0.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	12	-10000	6	31	1.6	54%	0.19	209.2	2.94%	0	2.7	80	0
5	Apr_8_2016	177.13	192.62	194.44	195.23			200.51(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	8	-10000	4	20	3.61	54%	0.21	290.5	2.94%	0	3	80	0

6	Apr_7_2016	176.75	190.87	193.52	193.97			194.12(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	4	-10000	0	15	0.87	52%	0.18	108.8	2.91%	0	0.5	78	0
7	Apr_6_2016	176.44	189.27	193.27	193.89			194.67(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-10000	0	17	0.66	52%	0.19	71.3	2.91%	0	0.6	67	0
8	Apr_5_2016	176.11	187.78	192.97	193.78			193.75(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	5	-10000	0	20	0.77	52%	0.2	59.8	2.91%	0	0.5	71	0
9	Apr_4_2016	175.75	186.41	192.82	193.7			193.12(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	7	-10000	1	23	0.58	52%	0.23	55.2	2.91%	0	0.6	60	0
10	Apr_1_2016	175.35	185.25	192.66	193.46			194.18(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	2	22	0.51	52%	0.15	55.1	2.92%	0	0.7	56	0

11	Mar_31_2016	175.09	184.03	192.07	192.98			193.74(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	44	0.74	52%	0.14	55.5	2.94%	0	0.8	86	0
12	Mar_30_2016	174.84	182.78	191.7	192.54			194.11(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	2	74	0.61	52%	0.12	57.2	2.94%	0	0.9	88	0
13	Mar_29_2016	174.63	181.5	191.08	192.05			193.37(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	1	98	0.54	52%	0.13	60.2	2.94%	0	0.9	81	0
14	Mar_28_2016	174.4	180.1	190.73	191.85			191.91(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	-10000	0	126	0.48	52%	0.13	63.4	2.94%	0	0.9	77	0
15	Mar_24_2016	174.18	178.74	190.67	191.74			191.76(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	3	155	0.62	52%	0.13	69.1	2.94%	0	1	71	0

16	Mar_23_2016	173.96	177.36	188.09	190.99			191.57(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	1	148	0.53	52%	0.12	71.6	2.94%	0	1.1	70	0
17	Mar_22_2016	173.76	175.82	185.07	190.68			191.65(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	38	-10000	3	143	0.88	52%	0.11	72.6	2.94%	0	1.2	71	0
18	Mar_21_2016	173.57	174.18	182.33	189.93			192.35(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	2	136	1.04	52%	0.12	72	2.94%	0	1.4	71	0
19	Mar_18_2016	173.37	172.36	179.6	189.46			191.39(1.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	-0	137	1.1	52%	0.1	70.4	2.94%	0	1.5	73	0
20	Mar_17_2016	173.19	170.29	177.3	189.51			188.01(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	52	-10000	18	154	1.03	52%	0.09	72.5	2.94%	0	1.4	72	0

21	Mar_16_2016	173.03	168.59	175.38	184.58			190.02(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	-10000	24	131	0.94	52%	0.13	64.7	2.94%	0	1.8	74	0
22	Mar_15_2016	172.81	166.96	173.09	178.38			187.87(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	-10000	20	98	1.19	52%	0.11	57.3	2.93%	0	1.9	75	0
23	Mar_14_2016	172.62	165.43	171	173.4			190.02(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.7	35	-10000	21	76	1.7	52%	0.15	50	2.93%	0	2.5	79	0
24	Mar_11_2016	172.37	163.74	168.33	168.32			191.62(17.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.9	27	-10000	19	51	6.13	52%	0.15	42.5	2.94%	0	3.4	82	0
25	Mar_10_2016	172.12	161.71	165.4	163.79			163.39(2.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-10000	-8	42	3.75	35%		28	1.93%	0	0.3	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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