Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $156.2700 (4.13%) ($150.4300 - $156.8700) on Mon. Feb. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.45% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $156.2700(4.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(54%)    XRT(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-3%)    IPO(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.225% (StdDev 2.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

Resistance Level   $164.2
5 Day Moving Average   $155.77(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $155.2(0.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.2(-4.83%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $8.8b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 6.52% (three month std-dev: 2.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2016	172.24	164.2	155.2	155.77			156.27(4.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-30	-10000	-2	-114	1.57	48%	-0.06	-45.2	2.45%	0	-0.7	26	0
2	Feb_19_2016	172.34	165.34	155.48	156.21			150.07(-2.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-38	-10000	-3	-141	2.83	48%	-0.09	-42.7	2.44%	0	-1.4	17	0
3	Feb_18_2016	172.5	166.7	157.3	156.86			154.55(-2.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-35	-10000	1	-144	3.67	50%	-0.05	-44.3	2.41%	0	-1.1	30	0
4	Feb_17_2016	172.59	167.72	159.06	156.72			158.92(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-31	-10000	7	-146	1.44	55%	-0.02	-51.1	2.39%	0	-0.9	34	0
5	Feb_16_2016	172.62	168.56	160.7	155.33			159.02(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-37	-10000	4	-161	0.97	57%	-0.01	-58.7	2.41%	0	-0.9	30	0

6	Feb_12_2016	172.64	169.18	162.69	154.59			158.49(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-39	-10000	-1	-151	1.07	49%	-0.06	-67.8	2.63%	0	-1.1	35	0
7	Feb_11_2016	172.74	170.17	164.84	154.84			153.31(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-50	-10000	-15	-156	1.2	45%	-0.09	-71.3	2.6%	0	-1.7	26	0
8	Feb_10_2016	172.89	171.52	167	157.95			153.84(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-10000	-19	-139	1.44	45%	-0.08	-70.7	2.61%	0	-2	31	0
9	Feb_9_2016	173.02	173.14	169.12	161.87			151.98(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-46	-10000	-23	-115	1.79	45%	-0.1	-62.4	2.61%	0	-2.5	32	0
10	Feb_8_2016	173.19	174.72	171.95	166.88			155.34(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-37	-10000	-23	-77	1.89	45%	-0.07	-56.7	2.6%	0	-2.8	33	0

11	Feb_5_2016	173.31	176.14	174.16	171.93			159.71(-5.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-23	-10000	-19	-34	2.37	47%	-0.05	-50.5	2.58%	0	-3	43	0
12	Feb_4_2016	173.4	177.37	176.28	176.22			168.88(-2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-3	-10000	-5	5	1.3	50%	0.03	-42.2	2.49%	0	-2	43	0
13	Feb_3_2016	173.35	178.1	177.14	177.31			173.46(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	3	-10000	-0	13	1.07	53%	0.05	-40.8	2.48%	0	-1.2	45	0
14	Feb_2_2016	173.26	178.57	177.29	177.41			177.03(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.65	53%	0.09	-43.7	2.46%	0	-0.4	41	0
15	Feb_1_2016	173.11	178.8	177.14	177.83			180.57(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	4	-4	0.75	53%	0.09	-44.2	2.45%	0	0.5	48	0

16	Jan_29_2016	172.95	178.98	176.15	176.85			181.17(3.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	1	-27	1.05	53%	0.1	-52	2.45%	0	0.6	48	0
17	Jan_28_2016	172.78	179.16	175.74	176.56			174.34(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.76	51%	0.06	-52.4	2.4%	0	-1.2	41	0
18	Jan_27_2016	172.67	179.7	176.2	176.99			173.93(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-0	-40	0.81	51%	0.05	-50.2	2.42%	0	-1.4	40	0
19	Jan_26_2016	172.58	180.25	177.3	177.06			179.13(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	4	-35	0.82	56%	0.04	-50.9	2.39%	0	-0.3	45	0
20	Jan_25_2016	172.51	180.53	177.52	176.29			175.66(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-10000	5	-41	0.87	56%	0.11	-55.6	2.39%	0	-1.1	42	0

21	Jan_22_2016	172.32	181.06	178.15	175.25			179.73(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	2	-55	1.04	56%	0.13	-64.4	2.37%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Jan_21_2016	172.1	181.36	178.41	174.88			176.5(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-3	-64	1.21	56%	0.1	-65.1	2.37%	0	-1.1	36	0
23	Jan_20_2016	171.92	181.87	179.06	175.4			174.26(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-11	-67	1.56	56%	0.13	-61.8	2.36%	0	-1.7	33	0
24	Jan_19_2016	171.7	182.43	179.93	177.67			175.31(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-6	-51	1.04	56%	0.18	-48.9	2.36%	0	-1.7	35	0
25	Jan_15_2016	171.39	182.96	180.62	179.01			170.45(-4.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-20	-10000	-11	-48	1.66	57%		-41.3	2.35%	0	-3.3	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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