Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jan. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $173.9300 (-2.9%) ($172.9000 - $179.5600) on Wed. Jan. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.42% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $173.9300(-2.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(54%)    XRT(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.21% (StdDev 2.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

Resistance Level   $179.7
5 Day Moving Average   $176.99(-1.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $176.2(-1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $179.7(-3.21%)
To recent high   -7.1%
To recent low   12.1%
Market Cap   $9.794b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.37% (three month std-dev: 2.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2016	172.67	179.7	176.2	176.99			173.93(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-0	-40	0.81	51%	0.05	-50.2	2.42%	0	-1.4	40	0
2	Jan_26_2016	172.58	180.25	177.3	177.06			179.13(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	4	-35	0.82	56%	0.04	-50.9	2.39%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Jan_25_2016	172.51	180.53	177.52	176.29			175.66(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-10000	5	-41	0.87	56%	0.11	-55.6	2.39%	0	-1.1	42	0
4	Jan_22_2016	172.32	181.06	178.15	175.25			179.73(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-12	-10000	2	-55	1.04	56%	0.13	-64.4	2.37%	0	-0.3	42	0
5	Jan_21_2016	172.1	181.36	178.41	174.88			176.5(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-3	-64	1.21	56%	0.1	-65.1	2.37%	0	-1.1	36	0

6	Jan_20_2016	171.92	181.87	179.06	175.4			174.26(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	-10000	-11	-67	1.56	56%	0.13	-61.8	2.36%	0	-1.7	33	0
7	Jan_19_2016	171.7	182.43	179.93	177.67			175.31(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-10000	-6	-51	1.04	56%	0.18	-48.9	2.36%	0	-1.7	35	0
8	Jan_15_2016	171.39	182.96	180.62	179.01			170.45(-4.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.3	-20	-10000	-11	-48	1.66	57%	0.06	-41.3	2.35%	0	-3.3	23	0
9	Jan_14_2016	171.29	183.86	182.16	181.35			177.88(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-12	-10000	-5	-31	1.61	58%	0.12	-33.6	2.29%	0	-2.5	29	0
10	Jan_13_2016	171.08	184.26	182.96	182.37			179.09(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.88	58%	0.15	-24.8	2.32%	0	-2.6	32	0

11	Jan_12_2016	170.82	184.61	183.6	183.2			185.62(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.68	63%	0.16	-13.8	2.28%	0	0.6	44	0
12	Jan_11_2016	170.54	184.46	183.48	182.61			182(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	0	-23	0.56	63%	0.12	-27.6	2.27%	0	-1.5	38	0
13	Jan_8_2016	170.34	184.53	183.78	182.57			182.17(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-3	-25	0.85	63%	0.06	27.1	2.27%	0	-1.5	37	0
14	Jan_7_2016	170.23	184.65	184.19	183.13			182.98(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-23	1.03	63%	0.06	101.2	2.27%	0	-1.1	32	0
15	Jan_6_2016	170.12	184.76	184.5	183.66			183.21(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.87	63%	0.06	178.2	2.27%	0	-1.1	43	0

16	Jan_5_2016	170.02	184.82	184.82	184.08			182.67(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.57	63%	0.07	251.3	2.28%	0	-1.5	41	0
17	Jan_4_2016	169.9	184.91	185.08	184.5			181.81(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-4	-10000	-3	-7	1.2	63%	0.06	328.2	2.29%	0	-2.3	52	0
18	Dec_31_2015	169.79	184.11	185.48	185.12			185(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.63	63%	0.11	86.1	2.27%	0	0.2	59	0
19	Dec_30_2015	169.6	183.14	185.69	185.38			185.61(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	-0	8	0.36	63%	0.1	60.6	2.28%	0	0.4	56	0
20	Dec_29_2015	169.43	182.22	185.68	185.48			185.31(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-1	9	0.46	61%	0.1	51	2.28%	0	0.4	51	0

21	Dec_28_2015	169.26	181.36	185.71	185.72			184.77(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	-0	13	0.51	57%	0.14	46.5	2.29%	0	0.4	53	0
22	Dec_24_2015	169.02	180.71	185.52	185.75			184.93(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	-0	11	0.25	57%	0.11	49.4	2.31%	0	0.5	54	0
23	Dec_23_2015	168.84	179.99	185.37	185.85			186.27(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-1	38	0.39	57%	0.13	51.9	2.3%	0	0.7	87	0
24	Dec_22_2015	168.62	179.23	185.15	186.05			186.12(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	1	68	0.57	55%	0.12	57.3	2.31%	0	0.8	86	0
25	Dec_21_2015	168.41	178.46	185.03	185.91			186.49(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	1	94	0.8	55%		63.8	2.32%	0	0.9	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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