Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 6, 2016

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $183.2100 (0.3%) ($179.1300 - $183.2700) on Wed. Jan. 6, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.27% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $183.2100(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.135% (StdDev 2.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $184.76
5 Day Moving Average   $183.66(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $184.5(-0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $184.76(-0.84%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $10.317b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 0.78% (three month std-dev: 2.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_6_2016	170.12	184.76	184.5	183.66			183.21(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	-10000	-2	-17	0.87	63%	0.06	178.2	2.27%	0	-1.1	43	0
2	Jan_5_2016	170.02	184.82	184.82	184.08			182.67(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5	-10000	-2	-13	0.57	63%	0.07	251.3	2.28%	0	-1.5	41	0
3	Jan_4_2016	169.9	184.91	185.08	184.5			181.81(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-4	-10000	-3	-7	1.2	63%	0.06	328.2	2.29%	0	-2.3	52	0
4	Dec_31_2015	169.79	184.11	185.48	185.12			185(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-1	1	0.63	63%	0.11	86.1	2.27%	0	0.2	59	0
5	Dec_30_2015	169.6	183.14	185.69	185.38			185.61(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	2	-10000	-0	8	0.36	63%	0.1	60.6	2.28%	0	0.4	56	0

6	Dec_29_2015	169.43	182.22	185.68	185.48			185.31(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-1	9	0.46	61%	0.1	51	2.28%	0	0.4	51	0
7	Dec_28_2015	169.26	181.36	185.71	185.72			184.77(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	-0	13	0.51	57%	0.14	46.5	2.29%	0	0.4	53	0
8	Dec_24_2015	169.02	180.71	185.52	185.75			184.93(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	-10000	-0	11	0.25	57%	0.11	49.4	2.31%	0	0.5	54	0
9	Dec_23_2015	168.84	179.99	185.37	185.85			186.27(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-1	38	0.39	57%	0.13	51.9	2.3%	0	0.7	87	0
10	Dec_22_2015	168.62	179.23	185.15	186.05			186.12(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	1	68	0.57	55%	0.12	57.3	2.31%	0	0.8	86	0

11	Dec_21_2015	168.41	178.46	185.03	185.91			186.49(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	24	-10000	1	94	0.8	55%	0.12	63.8	2.32%	0	0.9	80	0
12	Dec_18_2015	168.2	177.65	184.79	185.72			184.94(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	2	119	2.64	55%	0.11	73	2.32%	0	0.9	77	0
13	Dec_17_2015	168.02	176.65	184.71	185.23			185.43(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	2	136	0.78	57%	0.11	67.5	2.32%	0	1	69	0
14	Dec_16_2015	167.83	175.64	182.69	184.76			187.27(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	3	127	0.79	57%	0.13	63.3	2.33%	0	1.3	72	0
15	Dec_15_2015	167.62	174.4	180.45	184.12			185.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	0	114	0.85	57%	0.12	56.2	2.33%	0	1.3	69	0

16	Dec_14_2015	167.42	173.12	178.56	184.05			185.54(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	1	111	1.08	57%	0.1	49.3	2.33%	0	1.4	69	0
17	Dec_11_2015	167.26	171.61	176.73	183.79			182.47(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-1	106	0.71	57%	0.08	38.8	2.33%	0	1.2	68	0
18	Dec_10_2015	167.13	170.9	175.56	184.11			183.11(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	19	129	0.84	57%	0.08	40.2	2.33%	0	1.4	74	0
19	Dec_9_2015	167	170.21	174.21	180.13			184.06(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	20	106	0.79	57%	0.1	29.5	2.32%	0	1.7	74	0
20	Dec_8_2015	166.83	169.6	172.79	176.02			185.08(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	35	-10000	19	83	0.88	60%	0.11	17.3	2.33%	0	2	78	0

21	Dec_7_2015	166.65	168.83	171.23	172.17			184.24(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	29	-10000	17	65	1.62	60%	0.1	3.2	2.38%	0	2.2	79	0
22	Dec_4_2015	166.48	168.13	169.71	168.72			184.08(12.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	24	-10000	13	56	5.25	60%	0.1	-13.6	2.4%	0	2.7	82	0
23	Dec_3_2015	166.31	167.44	167.63	166.1			163.19(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-9	28	2.1	49%	-0.03	-32.3	1.8%	0	-0.9	44	0
24	Dec_2_2015	166.36	167.8	167.89	167.49			163.52(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-10	33	1.22	52%	-0.02	-27.8	1.8%	0	-0.9	43	0
25	Dec_1_2015	166.4	168.27	167.91	168.95			165.83(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	31	1.11	49%		-16.3	1.83%	0	-0.5	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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