Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $184.9400 (-0.26%) ($184.0300 - $185.6700) on Fri. Dec. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.32% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $184.9400(-0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(54%)    XRT(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.16% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-11%)    GDXJ(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.16% (StdDev 2.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $185.72(-0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $184.79(0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $177.65(4.1%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   19.2%
Market Cap   $10.414b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.82% (three month std-dev: 2.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2015	168.2	177.65	184.79	185.72			184.94(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	2	119	2.64	55%	0.11	73	2.32%	0	0.9	77	0
2	Dec_17_2015	168.02	176.65	184.71	185.23			185.43(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	36	-10000	2	136	0.78	57%	0.11	67.5	2.32%	0	1	69	0
3	Dec_16_2015	167.83	175.64	182.69	184.76			187.27(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	3	127	0.79	57%	0.13	63.3	2.33%	0	1.3	72	0
4	Dec_15_2015	167.62	174.4	180.45	184.12			185.42(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	-10000	0	114	0.85	57%	0.12	56.2	2.33%	0	1.3	69	0
5	Dec_14_2015	167.42	173.12	178.56	184.05			185.54(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	1	111	1.08	57%	0.1	49.3	2.33%	0	1.4	69	0

6	Dec_11_2015	167.26	171.61	176.73	183.79			182.47(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	-1	106	0.71	57%	0.08	38.8	2.33%	0	1.2	68	0
7	Dec_10_2015	167.13	170.9	175.56	184.11			183.11(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	19	129	0.84	57%	0.08	40.2	2.33%	0	1.4	74	0
8	Dec_9_2015	167	170.21	174.21	180.13			184.06(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	42	-10000	20	106	0.79	57%	0.1	29.5	2.32%	0	1.7	74	0
9	Dec_8_2015	166.83	169.6	172.79	176.02			185.08(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	35	-10000	19	83	0.88	60%	0.11	17.3	2.33%	0	2	78	0
10	Dec_7_2015	166.65	168.83	171.23	172.17			184.24(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	29	-10000	17	65	1.62	60%	0.1	3.2	2.38%	0	2.2	79	0

11	Dec_4_2015	166.48	168.13	169.71	168.72			184.08(12.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	24	-10000	13	56	5.25	60%	0.1	-13.6	2.4%	0	2.7	82	0
12	Dec_3_2015	166.31	167.44	167.63	166.1			163.19(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-9	28	2.1	49%	-0.03	-32.3	1.8%	0	-0.9	44	0
13	Dec_2_2015	166.36	167.8	167.89	167.49			163.52(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-10	33	1.22	52%	-0.02	-27.8	1.8%	0	-0.9	43	0
14	Dec_1_2015	166.4	168.27	167.91	168.95			165.83(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	31	1.11	49%	-0.01	-16.3	1.83%	0	-0.5	41	0
15	Nov_30_2015	166.41	168.61	167.38	169.95			167(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	22	1.82	49%	0.02	-7	1.85%	0	-0.3	45	0

16	Nov_27_2015	166.37	168.94	166.32	170.65			170.98(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	8	4	0.35	53%	0.11	4.1	1.83%	0	0.4	47	0
17	Nov_25_2015	166.18	169.02	166.07	169.36			170.11(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	7	-16	0.71	52%	0.07	1.7	1.86%	0	0.2	47	0
18	Nov_24_2015	166.07	169.14	166.03	168.33			170.83(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	10	-25	0.65	50%	0.08	0.3	1.91%	0	0.3	51	0
19	Nov_23_2015	165.94	169.04	166.21	166.71			170.84(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	14	-38	0.73	50%	0.03	-8.9	1.93%	0	0.4	47	0
20	Nov_20_2015	165.89	168.95	166.17	164.44			170.51(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	19	-59	0.79	46%	0.09	-21	2.04%	0	0.3	47	0

21	Nov_19_2015	165.74	168.73	166.27	161.37			164.5(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-30	-10000	-6	-103	0.54	43%	0.05	-38.3	1.99%	0	-0.9	38	0
22	Nov_18_2015	165.65	168.94	167.04	162.35			164.99(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-30	-10000	-7	-97	0.55	44%	0.07	-27.8	1.99%	0	-0.8	40	0
23	Nov_17_2015	165.54	169.13	167.56	163.49			162.7(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-14	-95	0.79	44%	0.05	-13.4	1.98%	0	-1.3	37	0
24	Nov_16_2015	165.45	169.49	168.59	165.76			159.48(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-10000	-15	-70	1.66	42%	0.01	4.8	1.97%	0	-2.2	40	0
25	Nov_13_2015	165.44	170	169.99	168.18			155.2(-8.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-27	-10000	-21	-44	3.01	41%		24.7	1.94%	0	-3.6	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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