Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Dec. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $184.0800 (12.8%) ($173.8700 - $185.7300) on Sat. Dec. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $184.0800(12.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $168.72(9.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $169.71(8.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.13(9.49%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.54% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2015	166.48	168.13	169.71	168.72			184.08(12.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.6	24	-10000	13	56	5.25	60%	0.1	-13.6	2.4%	0	2.7	82	0
2	Dec_3_2015	166.31	167.44	167.63	166.1			163.19(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-9	28	2.1	49%	-0.03	-32.3	1.8%	0	-0.9	44	0
3	Dec_2_2015	166.36	167.8	167.89	167.49			163.52(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-10000	-10	33	1.22	52%	-0.02	-27.8	1.8%	0	-0.9	43	0
4	Dec_1_2015	166.4	168.27	167.91	168.95			165.83(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-10000	-6	31	1.11	49%	-0.01	-16.3	1.83%	0	-0.5	41	0
5	Nov_30_2015	166.41	168.61	167.38	169.95			167(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-4	22	1.82	49%	0.02	-7	1.85%	0	-0.3	45	0

6	Nov_27_2015	166.37	168.94	166.32	170.65			170.98(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	8	4	0.35	53%	0.11	4.1	1.83%	0	0.4	47	0
7	Nov_25_2015	166.18	169.02	166.07	169.36			170.11(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	7	-16	0.71	52%	0.07	1.7	1.86%	0	0.2	47	0
8	Nov_24_2015	166.07	169.14	166.03	168.33			170.83(-0.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	10	-25	0.65	50%	0.08	0.3	1.91%	0	0.3	51	0
9	Nov_23_2015	165.94	169.04	166.21	166.71			170.84(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	1	-10000	14	-38	0.73	50%	0.03	-8.9	1.93%	0	0.4	47	0
10	Nov_20_2015	165.89	168.95	166.17	164.44			170.51(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-1	-10000	19	-59	0.79	46%	0.09	-21	2.04%	0	0.3	47	0

11	Nov_19_2015	165.74	168.73	166.27	161.37			164.5(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-30	-10000	-6	-103	0.54	43%	0.05	-38.3	1.99%	0	-0.9	38	0
12	Nov_18_2015	165.65	168.94	167.04	162.35			164.99(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-30	-10000	-7	-97	0.55	44%	0.07	-27.8	1.99%	0	-0.8	40	0
13	Nov_17_2015	165.54	169.13	167.56	163.49			162.7(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	-10000	-14	-95	0.79	44%	0.05	-13.4	1.98%	0	-1.3	37	0
14	Nov_16_2015	165.45	169.49	168.59	165.76			159.48(2.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-29	-10000	-15	-70	1.66	42%	0.01	4.8	1.97%	0	-2.2	40	0
15	Nov_13_2015	165.44	170	169.99	168.18			155.2(-8.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-27	-10000	-21	-44	3.01	41%	0.01	24.7	1.94%	0	-3.6	33	0

16	Nov_12_2015	165.43	170.65	172.01	171.67			169.36(-0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	0	-10000	-4	12	0.62	48%	0.08	64.3	1.65%	0	-0.4	61	0
17	Nov_11_2015	165.29	170.29	172.43	172.3			170.69(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	1	32	0.57	48%	0.08	53.5	1.65%	0	0.1	57	0
18	Nov_10_2015	165.15	169.77	172.67	172.19			174.08(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	2	41	0.37	51%	0.12	44.8	1.64%	0	1.1	64	0
19	Nov_9_2015	164.96	169.27	172.19	171.96			171.56(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-2	38	0.41	51%	0.1	42.4	1.64%	0	0.6	57	0
20	Nov_6_2015	164.79	168.99	171.99	172.2			172.64(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-2	43	0.34	50%	0.1	42.2	1.64%	0	0.9	61	0

21	Nov_5_2015	164.63	168.64	171.37	172.46			172.53(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-1	48	0.44	51%	0.1	44.5	1.65%	0	1	66	0
22	Nov_4_2015	164.46	168.21	170.94	172.62			170.12(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-4	64	0.51	51%	0.09	44.7	1.64%	0	0.5	72	0
23	Nov_3_2015	164.31	167.96	170.78	173.19			172.95(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	6	95	0.64	53%	0.11	51.7	1.63%	0	1.3	81	0
24	Nov_2_2015	164.13	167.59	170.39	172.41			172.76(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	5	98	0.61	53%	0.11	54	1.63%	0	1.4	66	0
25	Oct_30_2015	163.95	167.32	169.94	171.7			173.96(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	12	99	0.71	53%		56.3	1.63%	0	1.9	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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