Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $170.6900 (-1.95%) ($170.5100 - $174.6700) on Wed. Nov. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $170.6900(-1.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $172.3(-0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $172.43(-1.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $170.29(0.23%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $9.612b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151211

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_11_2015	165.29	170.29	172.43	172.3			170.69(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	9	-10000	1	32	0.57	48%	0.08	53.5	1.65%	0	0.1	57	0
2	Nov_10_2015	165.15	169.77	172.67	172.19			174.08(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	2	41	0.37	51%	0.12	44.8	1.64%	0	1.1	64	0
3	Nov_9_2015	164.96	169.27	172.19	171.96			171.56(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-2	38	0.41	51%	0.1	42.4	1.64%	0	0.6	57	0
4	Nov_6_2015	164.79	168.99	171.99	172.2			172.64(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-2	43	0.34	50%	0.1	42.2	1.64%	0	0.9	61	0
5	Nov_5_2015	164.63	168.64	171.37	172.46			172.53(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-1	48	0.44	51%	0.1	44.5	1.65%	0	1	66	0

6	Nov_4_2015	164.46	168.21	170.94	172.62			170.12(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-4	64	0.51	51%	0.09	44.7	1.64%	0	0.5	72	0
7	Nov_3_2015	164.31	167.96	170.78	173.19			172.95(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	6	95	0.64	53%	0.11	51.7	1.63%	0	1.3	81	0
8	Nov_2_2015	164.13	167.59	170.39	172.41			172.76(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	5	98	0.61	53%	0.11	54	1.63%	0	1.4	66	0
9	Oct_30_2015	163.95	167.32	169.94	171.7			173.96(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	12	99	0.71	53%	0.12	56.3	1.63%	0	1.9	62	0
10	Oct_29_2015	163.76	166.88	169.14	170.09			173.3(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	8	80	0.47	53%	0.11	43.8	1.63%	0	2	62	0

11	Oct_28_2015	163.58	166.46	167.95	169.04			172.96(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	7	62	0.79	53%	0.12	34.5	1.63%	0	2.2	64	0
12	Oct_27_2015	163.38	165.96	166.6	168.09			169.09(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	-0	38	0.4	49%	0.09	20.4	1.61%	0	1.2	57	0
13	Oct_26_2015	163.23	165.59	166.07	168.11			169.2(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	1	35	0.72	49%	0.08	14.7	1.62%	0	1.4	55	0
14	Oct_23_2015	163.1	165.34	165.72	167.94			165.91(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	8	-10000	-0	30	0.56	47%	0.06	5.7	1.6%	0	0.2	45	0
15	Oct_22_2015	163	165.47	165.7	167.98			168.02(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	10	35	0.44	49%	0.07	8.8	1.6%	0	1	54	0

16	Oct_21_2015	162.88	165.44	165.28	166.59			168.22(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	13	15	0.44	49%	0.09	-5.6	1.62%	0	1	54	0
17	Oct_20_2015	162.74	165.41	164.93	164.8			169.21(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	-10000	8	-6	0.61	49%	0.1	-19.2	1.62%	0	1.5	60	0
18	Oct_19_2015	162.58	165.21	164.53	163.73			168.36(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	3	-13	0.69	49%	0.1	-28.6	1.62%	0	1.2	62	0
19	Oct_16_2015	162.42	165.19	164.42	163.27			166.11(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.74	49%	0.06	-24.5	1.62%	0	0.4	53	0
20	Oct_15_2015	162.32	165.23	164.35	163.21			161.06(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.7	46%	0.04	-21.3	1.57%	0	-1.6	36	0

21	Oct_14_2015	162.26	165.6	164.84	163.78			159.26(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-13	-10000	-9	-23	0.62	46%	0.06	-9.7	1.57%	0	-2.7	36	0
22	Oct_13_2015	162.17	165.91	165.33	164.94			163.85(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-16	0.45	51%	0.01	7.7	1.53%	0	-1.1	41	0
23	Oct_12_2015	162.15	165.95	165.17	165.35			166.07(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.56	51%	0.09	11.7	1.55%	0	0.1	51	0
24	Oct_9_2015	162	165.81	165	165.75			165.8(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	0	-23	0.49	53%	0.09	29.8	1.56%	0	-0	44	0
25	Oct_8_2015	161.86	165.78	165.28	165.74			163.94(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-3	-20	0.6	53%		43.8	1.56%	0	-0.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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