Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $172.5300 (1.42%) ($169.5001 - $173.1800) on Thu. Nov. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $172.5300(1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XRT(55%)    XLY(54%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $172.46(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $171.37(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $168.64(2.31%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $9.716b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.38% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2015	164.63	168.64	171.37	172.46			172.53(1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-1	48	0.44	51%	0.1	44.5	1.65%	0	1	66	0
2	Nov_4_2015	164.46	168.21	170.94	172.62			170.12(-1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-4	64	0.51	51%	0.09	44.7	1.64%	0	0.5	72	0
3	Nov_3_2015	164.31	167.96	170.78	173.19			172.95(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	28	-10000	6	95	0.64	53%	0.11	51.7	1.63%	0	1.3	81	0
4	Nov_2_2015	164.13	167.59	170.39	172.41			172.76(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	5	98	0.61	53%	0.11	54	1.63%	0	1.4	66	0
5	Oct_30_2015	163.95	167.32	169.94	171.7			173.96(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	12	99	0.71	53%	0.12	56.3	1.63%	0	1.9	62	0

6	Oct_29_2015	163.76	166.88	169.14	170.09			173.3(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	8	80	0.47	53%	0.11	43.8	1.63%	0	2	62	0
7	Oct_28_2015	163.58	166.46	167.95	169.04			172.96(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	7	62	0.79	53%	0.12	34.5	1.63%	0	2.2	64	0
8	Oct_27_2015	163.38	165.96	166.6	168.09			169.09(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	-0	38	0.4	49%	0.09	20.4	1.61%	0	1.2	57	0
9	Oct_26_2015	163.23	165.59	166.07	168.11			169.2(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	1	35	0.72	49%	0.08	14.7	1.62%	0	1.4	55	0
10	Oct_23_2015	163.1	165.34	165.72	167.94			165.91(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	8	-10000	-0	30	0.56	47%	0.06	5.7	1.6%	0	0.2	45	0

11	Oct_22_2015	163	165.47	165.7	167.98			168.02(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	10	35	0.44	49%	0.07	8.8	1.6%	0	1	54	0
12	Oct_21_2015	162.88	165.44	165.28	166.59			168.22(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	13	15	0.44	49%	0.09	-5.6	1.62%	0	1	54	0
13	Oct_20_2015	162.74	165.41	164.93	164.8			169.21(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	5	-10000	8	-6	0.61	49%	0.1	-19.2	1.62%	0	1.5	60	0
14	Oct_19_2015	162.58	165.21	164.53	163.73			168.36(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-1	-10000	3	-13	0.69	49%	0.1	-28.6	1.62%	0	1.2	62	0
15	Oct_16_2015	162.42	165.19	164.42	163.27			166.11(3.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-3	-10000	0	-13	0.74	49%	0.06	-24.5	1.62%	0	0.4	53	0

16	Oct_15_2015	162.32	165.23	164.35	163.21			161.06(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-9	-10000	-4	-23	0.7	46%	0.04	-21.3	1.57%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Oct_14_2015	162.26	165.6	164.84	163.78			159.26(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-13	-10000	-9	-23	0.62	46%	0.06	-9.7	1.57%	0	-2.7	36	0
18	Oct_13_2015	162.17	165.91	165.33	164.94			163.85(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-3	-16	0.45	51%	0.01	7.7	1.53%	0	-1.1	41	0
19	Oct_12_2015	162.15	165.95	165.17	165.35			166.07(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-7	-10000	-3	-19	0.56	51%	0.09	11.7	1.55%	0	0.1	51	0
20	Oct_9_2015	162	165.81	165	165.75			165.8(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	0	-23	0.49	53%	0.09	29.8	1.56%	0	-0	44	0

21	Oct_8_2015	161.86	165.78	165.28	165.74			163.94(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	-3	-20	0.6	53%	0.08	43.8	1.56%	0	-0.9	44	0
22	Oct_7_2015	161.73	165.84	165.67	166.07			165.05(-0.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	3	-15	0.96	54%	0.08	62.3	1.56%	0	-0.4	44	0
23	Oct_6_2015	161.6	165.77	165.96	165.73			165.91(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-10000	6	-11	0.72	54%	0.09	79.7	1.57%	0	0.1	53	0
24	Oct_5_2015	161.45	165.71	165.95	164.89			168.04(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	6	-18	1.01	54%	0.11	81	1.56%	0	1.1	58	0
25	Oct_2_2015	161.28	165.22	165.97	164.15			165.76(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	-5	-21	0.93	54%		55	1.56%	0	0.2	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.