Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $153.7600 (-2.74%) ($153.0200 - $156.9800) on Tue. Sep. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $153.7600(-2.74%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWD(53%)    IWM(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $164.44
5 Day Moving Average   $157.83(-2.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $160.46(-4.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $164.44(-6.49%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $8.659b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.65% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2015	158.73	164.44	160.46	157.83			153.76(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-41	-10000	1	-167	1.28	49%	0.01	-36.7	1.36%	0	-1.8	35	0
2	Aug_31_2015	158.72	165.06	162.38	157.73			158.09(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-42	-10000	-1	-164	1.12	52%	0.04	-41.9	1.32%	0	-1.3	37	0
3	Aug_28_2015	158.65	165.47	163.68	157.85			159(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-45	-10000	-7	-157	2.92	49%	0.04	-44.5	1.35%	0	-1.2	38	0
4	Aug_27_2015	158.58	165.85	164.88	158.57			160.24(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-50	-10000	-20	-141	2.45	52%	0.05	-46.2	1.35%	0	-1.1	45	0
5	Aug_26_2015	158.5	166.21	165.8	160.78			158.05(3.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-44	-10000	-25	-100	1.79	51%	0.04	-38	1.4%	0	-1.7	43	0

6	Aug_25_2015	158.43	166.68	166.78	163.69			153.26(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-44	-10000	-36	-67	1.75	47%	0	-27.8	1.35%	0	-3	32	0
7	Aug_24_2015	158.43	167.4	168.46	167.71			158.72(-2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.7	-16	-10000	-23	6	2.74	52%	0	-5.5	1.28%	0	-2.6	43	0
8	Aug_21_2015	158.43	167.84	169.54	170.24			162.57(-5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.8	3	-10000	-16	58	1.81	55%	0.08	16.3	1.25%	0	-1.9	48	0
9	Aug_20_2015	158.31	168.21	169.97	171.93			171.3(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	4	110	0.84	64%	0.13	42	1.07%	0	1.2	64	0
10	Aug_19_2015	158.11	168.08	169.35	171.53			172.62(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	-10000	13	102	0.74	64%	0.15	41.9	1.07%	0	1.8	65	0

11	Aug_18_2015	157.88	167.93	168.77	170.39			173.32(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	11	83	1.02	64%	0.14	36	1.07%	0	2.4	67	0
12	Aug_17_2015	157.66	167.58	167.92	169.43			171.39(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	21	-10000	7	63	0.55	63%	0.13	28.4	1.06%	0	2	65	0
13	Aug_14_2015	157.46	167.38	167.29	168.83			171.04(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	-10000	12	51	0.48	60%	0.14	25	1.06%	0	2.1	63	0
14	Aug_13_2015	157.24	167.16	166.76	167.74			169.28(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	13	-10000	10	20	0.57	60%	0.11	19.6	1.08%	0	1.4	47	0
15	Aug_12_2015	157.06	167.05	166.48	166.84			166.94(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-2	-10000	-0	-8	0.68	58%	0.08	27	1.07%	0	-0.1	42	0

16	Aug_11_2015	156.93	167.11	166.43	166.86			168.51(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	2	-10000	8	-17	0.56	58%	0.1	56.2	1.07%	0	0.9	41	0
17	Aug_10_2015	156.77	167.03	166.16	166.17			168.36(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-3	-10000	7	-34	0.57	58%	0.11	69	1.07%	0	0.9	54	0
18	Aug_7_2015	156.6	166.95	165.93	165.55			165.61(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.62	57%	0.08	77.8	1.05%	0	-0.8	44	0
19	Aug_6_2015	156.47	166.85	166.29	165.64			164.8(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-5	-47	0.63	57%	0.09	74.2	1.06%	0	-0.9	46	0
20	Aug_5_2015	156.33	166.66	166.72	166.04			167.01(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.51	60%	0.11	71.1	1.05%	0	0.1	49	0

21	Aug_4_2015	156.16	166.27	167.03	165.94			165.07(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-2	-30	0.44	58%	0.1	69.5	1.05%	0	-0.4	41	0
22	Aug_3_2015	156.01	166.03	167.23	166.12			165.27(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-3	-27	0.67	58%	0.1	69.3	1.05%	0	-0.2	46	0
23	Jul_31_2015	155.85	165.68	167.52	166.35			166.03(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-8	-23	0.54	61%	0.14	69.2	1.05%	0	0.1	49	0
24	Jul_30_2015	155.63	165.24	167.63	167.05			166.82(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-5	3	0.45	61%	0.16	67.8	1.08%	0	0.4	63	0
25	Jul_29_2015	155.38	164.71	167.7	167.53			166.49(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-9	33	0.57	58%		64.8	1.08%	0	0.4	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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