Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $168.3600 (1.66%) ($167.0700 - $169.1300) on Mon. Aug. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $168.3600(1.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $166.17(1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $166.16(1.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $167.03(0.8%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $9.481b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 0.87% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150910

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_10_2015	156.77	167.03	166.16	166.17			168.36(1.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-3	-10000	7	-34	0.57	58%	0.11	69	1.07%	0	0.9	54	0
2	Aug_7_2015	156.6	166.95	165.93	165.55			165.61(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-1	-55	0.62	57%	0.08	77.8	1.05%	0	-0.8	44	0
3	Aug_6_2015	156.47	166.85	166.29	165.64			164.8(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-5	-47	0.63	57%	0.09	74.2	1.06%	0	-0.9	46	0
4	Aug_5_2015	156.33	166.66	166.72	166.04			167.01(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	1	-33	0.51	60%	0.11	71.1	1.05%	0	0.1	49	0
5	Aug_4_2015	156.16	166.27	167.03	165.94			165.07(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-2	-30	0.44	58%	0.1	69.5	1.05%	0	-0.4	41	0

6	Aug_3_2015	156.01	166.03	167.23	166.12			165.27(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-3	-27	0.67	58%	0.1	69.3	1.05%	0	-0.2	46	0
7	Jul_31_2015	155.85	165.68	167.52	166.35			166.03(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-8	-23	0.54	61%	0.14	69.2	1.05%	0	0.1	49	0
8	Jul_30_2015	155.63	165.24	167.63	167.05			166.82(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-10000	-5	3	0.45	61%	0.16	67.8	1.08%	0	0.4	63	0
9	Jul_29_2015	155.38	164.71	167.7	167.53			166.49(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-10000	-9	33	0.57	58%	0.17	64.8	1.08%	0	0.4	69	0
10	Jul_28_2015	155.11	164.14	167.88	168.34			166.01(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-10000	-2	79	0.65	58%	0.16	62.3	1.11%	0	0.4	71	0

11	Jul_27_2015	154.86	163.57	168.01	168.49			166.39(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-10000	-3	106	0.73	58%	0.18	57.4	1.11%	0	0.5	68	0
12	Jul_24_2015	154.58	163.16	168.1	168.8			169.54(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	42	-10000	6	150	0.5	61%	0.19	61.7	1.09%	0	1.1	80	0
13	Jul_23_2015	154.28	162.43	167.49	168.28			169.22(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	4	165	0.6	64%	0.19	58	1.09%	0	1.2	81	0
14	Jul_22_2015	153.98	161.74	166.61	167.9			170.52(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	-10000	5	173	0.6	64%	0.19	57.4	1.11%	0	1.6	86	0
15	Jul_21_2015	153.69	161	165.44	167.44			166.79(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	-0	186	0.51	61%	0.15	59.6	1.08%	0	1.1	84	0

16	Jul_20_2015	153.46	160.44	164.74	167.48			167.94(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	-10000	2	211	0.45	61%	0.18	62.5	1.08%	0	1.4	89	0
17	Jul_17_2015	153.18	159.76	163.7	167.29			166.91(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	60	-10000	9	214	0.57	58%	0.18	64.1	1.08%	0	1.4	69	0
18	Jul_16_2015	152.91	159.21	162.66	166.53			167.32(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	-10000	17	210	1.21	58%	0.19	64.9	1.09%	0	1.7	74	0
19	Jul_15_2015	152.62	158.6	161.48	165.04			168.25(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	63	-10000	22	187	0.73	58%	0.2	61.8	1.09%	0	2.2	74	0
20	Jul_14_2015	152.31	157.92	160.09	163.1			167(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	-10000	17	145	0.67	58%	0.2	59.7	1.09%	0	2.4	70	0

21	Jul_13_2015	152.01	157.26	158.73	161.59			166.95(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	45	-10000	22	114	0.98	58%	0.19	59.5	1.09%	0	3.1	71	0
22	Jul_10_2015	151.72	156.63	157.73	159.64			163.11(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	-10000	16	88	0.88	55%	0.18	58.5	1.06%	0	2.9	68	0
23	Jul_9_2015	151.45	156.21	156.87	158.27			159.91(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	11	56	1.43	51%	0.16	54.3	1.03%	0	2.3	57	0
24	Jul_8_2015	151.21	155.95	156.41	157.37			158.55(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	10	37	1.22	51%	0.15	42.2	1.03%	0	1.8	57	0
25	Jul_7_2015	150.98	155.7	156.16	156.55			159.42(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	18	-10000	15	25	0.98	51%		25.6	1.02%	0	2.8	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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