Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $166.9500 (2.35%) ($164.0200 - $167.1300) on Mon. Jul. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.09% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $166.9500(2.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.545% (StdDev 1.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $161.59(3.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $158.73(5.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $157.26(6.16%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $9.401b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2015	152.01	157.26	158.73	161.59			166.95(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	45	-10000	22	114	0.98	58%	0.19	59.5	1.09%	0	3.1	71	0
2	Jul_10_2015	151.72	156.63	157.73	159.64			163.11(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	34	-10000	16	88	0.88	55%	0.18	58.5	1.06%	0	2.9	68	0
3	Jul_9_2015	151.45	156.21	156.87	158.27			159.91(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	-10000	11	56	1.43	51%	0.16	54.3	1.03%	0	2.3	57	0
4	Jul_8_2015	151.21	155.95	156.41	157.37			158.55(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	-10000	10	37	1.22	51%	0.15	42.2	1.03%	0	1.8	57	0
5	Jul_7_2015	150.98	155.7	156.16	156.55			159.42(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	18	-10000	15	25	0.98	51%	0.06	25.6	1.02%	0	2.8	59	0

6	Jul_6_2015	150.89	155.41	155.75	155.4			157.23(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.7	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.73	51%	0.24	1.4	1.02%	0	1.7	58	0
7	Jul_2_2015	150.53	155.34	155.75	155.55			156.23(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	3	2	0.8	51%	0.14	21.2	1.03%	0	0.9	53	0
8	Jul_1_2015	150.32	155.32	155.5	155.27			155.42(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-2	0.7	51%	0.12	13.6	1.03%	0	0.1	51	0
9	Jun_30_2015	150.14	155.35	155.52	155.31			154.45(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-5	-0	0.62	51%	0.13	20.9	1.02%	0	-0.9	49	0
10	Jun_29_2015	149.94	155.36	155.64	155.69			153.68(-2.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-0	-10000	-5	14	0.63	51%	0.14	47.8	1.02%	0	-1.6	52	0

11	Jun_26_2015	149.73	155.39	155.77	156.09			157.98(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	15	-10000	9	33	1.16	57%	0.17	64	0.96%	0	2.2	68	0
12	Jun_25_2015	149.47	155.12	155.48	155.44			154.84(-0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-0	-10000	-4	11	0.93	49%	0.15	57.6	0.94%	0	-0.3	44	0
13	Jun_24_2015	149.24	155.19	155.54	155.77			155.59(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10000	-0	18	0.44	49%	0.15	90.9	0.96%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Jun_23_2015	149.02	155.14	155.48	155.78			156.36(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	3	14	0.57	49%	0.17	72.6	0.96%	0	0.8	49	0
15	Jun_22_2015	148.76	154.85	155.23	155.6			155.69(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	3	9	0.54	49%	0.16	67	0.96%	0	0.6	56	0

16	Jun_19_2015	148.52	154.64	155.04	155.38			154.73(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-2	1	0.57	49%	0.14	56.6	0.96%	0	0.1	55	0
17	Jun_18_2015	148.31	154.53	155.18	155.5			156.48(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	3	20	0.88	52%	0.16	63.1	0.95%	0	1.1	68	0
18	Jun_17_2015	148.08	154.26	155.1	155.28			155.62(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-10000	2	13	0.47	52%	0.14	53.4	0.95%	0	0.7	47	0
19	Jun_16_2015	147.88	154.08	155.15	155.15			155.5(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	5	17	0.39	52%	0.14	48.7	0.95%	0	0.8	52	0
20	Jun_15_2015	147.68	153.89	155.04	154.8			154.57(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	2	24	0.43	52%	0.14	36.6	0.95%	0	0.4	63	0

21	Jun_12_2015	147.48	153.72	154.98	154.63			155.32(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	5	-10000	-2	26	0.34	62%	0.16	25	1.04%	0	0.8	61	0
22	Jun_11_2015	147.25	153.46	154.73	154.82			155.37(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-1	32	0.41	62%	0.18	18.2	1.07%	0	0.9	58	0
23	Jun_10_2015	146.98	153.29	154.8	154.92			154.98(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	11	-10000	-3	51	0.57	62%	0.2	20.1	1.08%	0	0.8	61	0
24	Jun_9_2015	146.69	153.19	154.78	155.18			153.77(0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	16	-10000	-1	68	0.54	65%	0.05	23.5	1.07%	0	0.3	55	0
25	Jun_8_2015	146.62	153.21	154.47	155.3			153.69(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	17	-10000	-0	67	0.72	65%		26.5	1.09%	0	0.2	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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