Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $154.7800 (3.08%) ($151.7200 - $155.4800) on Wed. May. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $154.7800(3.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    XLI(53%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $151.85(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $151.62(2.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $152.37(1.58%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   11.7%
Market Cap   $8.716b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 0.96% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150627

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_27_2015	144.55	152.37	151.62	151.85			154.78(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2	-2	-10000	6	-25	1.38	68%	0.2	-61.5	1.11%	0	1.7	57	0
2	May_26_2015	144.26	152.33	151.4	151.32			150.16(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-3	-42	0.86	64%	0.29	-68.4	1.05%	0	-1.5	40	0
3	May_22_2015	143.85	152.61	151.8	151.59			151.24(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	-10000	1	-35	0.4	64%	0.06	-41.4	1.04%	0	-0.8	41	0
4	May_21_2015	143.77	152.89	152.09	151.55			152.25(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	6	-35	0.45	64%	0.17	-27.8	1.04%	0	-0.3	42	0
5	May_20_2015	143.52	153.11	152.23	151.06			150.83(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-3	-40	0.62	64%	0.15	-28.6	1.04%	0	-1.2	51	0

6	May_19_2015	143.3	153.28	152.37	151.32			152.14(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-11	-10000	-3	-34	0.7	64%	0.17	-24.8	1.04%	0	-0.6	52	0
7	May_18_2015	143.05	153.33	152.5	151.53			151.51(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-7	-36	0.57	64%	0.17	-23	1.04%	0	-1	42	0
8	May_15_2015	142.81	153.35	152.73	152.08			151(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-8	-32	0.72	64%	0.06	-16.5	1.03%	0	-1.3	37	0
9	May_14_2015	142.73	153.43	153.07	152.74			149.83(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-15	-10000	-10	-29	1.03	64%	0.16	-6	1.04%	0	-2	31	0
10	May_13_2015	142.5	153.66	153.07	153.54			152.13(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.52	68%	0.18	14.6	1.02%	0	-1	35	0

11	May_12_2015	142.25	153.74	153.25	153.53			153.19(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-1	-37	0.37	68%	0.18	18.8	1.02%	0	-0.4	49	0
12	May_11_2015	142	153.76	153.37	153.58			154.27(-0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	1	-32	0.48	68%	0.18	25.2	1.01%	0	0.3	54	0
13	May_8_2015	141.74	153.65	153.49	153.5			154.29(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	0	-19	0.49	70%	0.18	19.8	1.03%	0	0.4	58	0
14	May_7_2015	141.48	153.53	153.73	153.49			153.84(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-10000	7	-0	0.5	70%	0.17	20.2	1.03%	0	0.2	56	0
15	May_6_2015	141.24	153.43	154.01	152.94			152.04(-0.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	-10000	1	-4	0.63	68%	0.18	13.8	1.03%	0	-0.8	45	0

16	May_5_2015	140.98	153.45	154.23	152.9			153.47(-0.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-3	-5	0.58	68%	0.18	16.2	1.02%	0	0	50	0
17	May_4_2015	140.72	153.36	154.2	153.1			153.85(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-10000	-5	-4	0.51	68%	0.19	19.6	1.02%	0	0.3	52	0
18	May_1_2015	140.46	153.33	154	153.51			154.27(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-5	-10000	-7	3	0.48	71%	0.19	30.7	1.06%	0	0.5	57	0
19	Apr_30_2015	140.2	153.19	153.8	154.08			151.09(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-7	-10000	-14	13	0.64	63%	0.19	43.1	1.05%	0	-1.2	51	0
20	Apr_29_2015	139.93	153.21	154.14	155.26			151.83(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	9	-10000	-5	49	0.56	63%	0.18	60.7	1.07%	0	-0.8	53	0

21	Apr_28_2015	139.68	153.18	154.34	155.68			154.47(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10000	4	68	0.76	64%	0.21	59.2	1.05%	0	0.7	59	0
22	Apr_27_2015	139.39	153.03	154.25	155.38			155.91(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	-10000	11	72	0.46	64%	0.19	50.8	1.06%	0	1.6	68	0
23	Apr_24_2015	139.12	152.79	153.86	154.51			157.08(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	23	-10000	13	53	0.75	64%	0.24	38.6	1.04%	0	2.5	62	0
24	Apr_23_2015	138.79	152.42	153.3	153.51			156.99(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	13	-10000	7	31	0.82	67%	0.24	19	1.05%	0	3	67	0
25	Apr_22_2015	138.46	152.13	152.75	152.94			153.94(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6	-10000	1	20	0.53	68%		13.9	1.05%	0	1.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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