Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $150.9900 (0.35%) ($149.1300 - $151.5900) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $150.9900(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $149.31(1.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $145.22(3.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.52(5.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19%
Market Cap   $8.503b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 3.2% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2015	131.3	142.52	145.22	149.31			150.99(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	-10000	20	155	0.84	74%	0.24	76.3	1.23%	0	1.9	71	0
2	Mar_17_2015	130.99	141.78	144.08	147.5			150.46(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	48	-10000	22	127	0.92	76%	0.26	69.4	1.24%	0	2	73	0
3	Mar_16_2015	130.65	141.04	143.18	145.51			150.18(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	-10000	20	98	1.26	76%	0.26	64.3	1.28%	0	2.4	73	0
4	Mar_13_2015	130.31	140.33	142.43	143.66			150.1(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	41	-10000	25	87	4.53	76%	0.26	64.5	1.28%	0	3	74	0
5	Mar_12_2015	129.97	139.59	141.42	141.36			144.82(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	19	-10000	9	50	2.37	73%	0.22	65.2	1.22%	0	2.1	66	0

6	Mar_11_2015	129.69	139.13	140.96	140.57			141.96(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	5	46	0.94	74%	0.19	70.6	1.2%	0	1.2	64	0
7	Mar_10_2015	129.45	138.88	140.65	140.16			140.47(-0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-10000	-3	41	1.2	74%	0.16	74.7	1.26%	0	0.7	62	0
8	Mar_9_2015	129.24	138.61	140.47	140.47			140.96(1.71%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-6	53	1.69	74%	0.2	83.2	1.29%	0	1	66	0
9	Mar_6_2015	128.98	138.24	140.12	141			138.59(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-5	67	0.64	73%	0.2	86.7	1.29%	0	0.1	58	0
10	Mar_5_2015	128.72	137.98	140.1	141.44			140.86(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	86	0.48	79%	0.24	82.3	1.28%	0	1.1	67	0

11	Mar_4_2015	128.41	137.55	139.73	141.38			139.91(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	2	86	0.66	79%	0.23	74.5	1.34%	0	0.8	66	0
12	Mar_3_2015	128.11	137.26	139.43	141.15			142.03(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	8	87	0.66	83%	0.23	69.3	1.32%	0	1.6	68	0
13	Mar_2_2015	127.81	136.71	138.81	140.42			143.62(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	30	-10000	14	79	0.51	83%	0.24	54.1	1.34%	0	2.3	80	0
14	Feb_27_2015	127.51	136.1	138.08	139.15			140.76(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	6	64	0.72	82%	0.21	41.4	1.35%	0	1.7	79	0
15	Feb_26_2015	127.24	135.77	137.59	138.6			140.59(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	22	-10000	8	65	0.54	82%	0.21	42.9	1.36%	0	2	80	0

16	Feb_25_2015	126.97	135.41	137.1	137.86			138.76(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	5	64	0.46	82%	0.21	50	1.35%	0	1.5	79	0
17	Feb_24_2015	126.7	135.24	136.91	137.44			138.39(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	5	66	0.52	82%	0.18	66.9	1.36%	0	1.5	66	0
18	Feb_23_2015	126.47	135.1	136.57	136.94			137.25(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	1	69	0.32	82%	0.17	80.6	1.35%	0	1.1	72	0
19	Feb_20_2015	126.25	134.99	136.19	136.82			138(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	4	74	0.29	82%	0.18	102.1	1.35%	0	1.6	69	0
20	Feb_19_2015	126.02	134.71	135.7	136.44			136.92(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	64	0.56	82%	0.17	110.4	1.35%	0	1.2	56	0

21	Feb_18_2015	125.8	134.31	135.23	136.23			136.62(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-1	54	0.28	82%	0.16	89	1.37%	0	1.1	57	0
22	Feb_17_2015	125.6	133.86	134.95	136.31			135.91(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	2	52	0.34	82%	0.2	71.4	1.37%	0	0.8	49	0
23	Feb_13_2015	125.35	133.56	134.48	136.12			136.66(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	7	36	0.52	82%	0.14	65	1.36%	0	1.1	50	0
24	Feb_12_2015	125.17	133.09	134	135.44			136.07(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	7	14	0.41	82%	0.13	45.9	1.36%	0	1	51	0
25	Feb_11_2015	125.01	132.73	133.81	134.83			135.9(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	8	9	0.55	82%		37.3	1.39%	0	1.1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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