Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $138.5900 (-1.61%) ($138.2700 - $141.1650) on Fri. Mar. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $138.5900(-1.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $141(-1.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $140.12(-1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $138.24(0.25%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $7.804b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150406

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_6_2015	128.98	138.24	140.12	141			138.59(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	13	-10000	-5	67	0.64	73%	0.2	86.7	1.29%	0	0.1	58	0
2	Mar_5_2015	128.72	137.98	140.1	141.44			140.86(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	1	86	0.48	79%	0.24	82.3	1.28%	0	1.1	67	0
3	Mar_4_2015	128.41	137.55	139.73	141.38			139.91(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	2	86	0.66	79%	0.23	74.5	1.34%	0	0.8	66	0
4	Mar_3_2015	128.11	137.26	139.43	141.15			142.03(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	8	87	0.66	83%	0.23	69.3	1.32%	0	1.6	68	0
5	Mar_2_2015	127.81	136.71	138.81	140.42			143.62(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	30	-10000	14	79	0.51	83%	0.24	54.1	1.34%	0	2.3	80	0

6	Feb_27_2015	127.51	136.1	138.08	139.15			140.76(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	6	64	0.72	82%	0.21	41.4	1.35%	0	1.7	79	0
7	Feb_26_2015	127.24	135.77	137.59	138.6			140.59(1.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	22	-10000	8	65	0.54	82%	0.21	42.9	1.36%	0	2	80	0
8	Feb_25_2015	126.97	135.41	137.1	137.86			138.76(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	20	-10000	5	64	0.46	82%	0.21	50	1.35%	0	1.5	79	0
9	Feb_24_2015	126.7	135.24	136.91	137.44			138.39(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	5	66	0.52	82%	0.18	66.9	1.36%	0	1.5	66	0
10	Feb_23_2015	126.47	135.1	136.57	136.94			137.25(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	1	69	0.32	82%	0.17	80.6	1.35%	0	1.1	72	0

11	Feb_20_2015	126.25	134.99	136.19	136.82			138(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	4	74	0.29	82%	0.18	102.1	1.35%	0	1.6	69	0
12	Feb_19_2015	126.02	134.71	135.7	136.44			136.92(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	2	64	0.56	82%	0.17	110.4	1.35%	0	1.2	56	0
13	Feb_18_2015	125.8	134.31	135.23	136.23			136.62(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-10000	-1	54	0.28	82%	0.16	89	1.37%	0	1.1	57	0
14	Feb_17_2015	125.6	133.86	134.95	136.31			135.91(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	2	52	0.34	82%	0.2	71.4	1.37%	0	0.8	49	0
15	Feb_13_2015	125.35	133.56	134.48	136.12			136.66(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	7	36	0.52	82%	0.14	65	1.36%	0	1.1	50	0

16	Feb_12_2015	125.17	133.09	134	135.44			136.07(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	7	14	0.41	82%	0.13	45.9	1.36%	0	1	51	0
17	Feb_11_2015	125.01	132.73	133.81	134.83			135.9(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	8	9	0.55	82%	0.17	37.3	1.39%	0	1.1	58	0
18	Feb_10_2015	124.8	132.38	133.57	134.05			137(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	7	11	0.74	82%	0.15	32.9	1.4%	0	1.6	69	0
19	Feb_9_2015	124.61	132.01	133.39	133.42			134.97(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	9	25	0.51	81%	0.12	33.2	1.41%	0	1	69	0
20	Feb_6_2015	124.46	131.82	133.46	132.62			133.26(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	27	0.39	82%	0.12	34.3	1.4%	0	0.5	59	0

21	Feb_5_2015	124.31	131.76	133.65	132.36			133.03(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-3	44	0.59	82%	0.12	39.3	1.44%	0	0.5	63	0
22	Feb_4_2015	124.16	131.63	133.63	132.63			132(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-4	60	0.74	82%	0.13	46.3	1.45%	0	0.1	58	0
23	Feb_3_2015	124	131.4	133.33	133			133.85(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-4	68	0.57	82%	0.16	44.7	1.44%	0	0.9	61	0
24	Feb_2_2015	123.8	131.07	132.72	133.4			130.96(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-11	67	0.9	81%	0.14	46.7	1.42%	0	-0	54	0
25	Jan_30_2015	123.63	130.89	132.64	134.42			131.94(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	-10000	-7	84	0.61	81%		52.8	1.42%	0	0.3	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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