Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $135.9100 (-0.55%) ($134.5610 - $136.9370) on Tue. Feb. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.37% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $135.9100(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.685% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.685% (StdDev 1.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $136.31(-0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $134.95(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $133.86(1.53%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   11.4%
Market Cap   $7.653b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.96% (three month std-dev: 1.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150317

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_17_2015	125.6	133.86	134.95	136.31			135.91(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	2	52	0.34	82%	0.2	71.4	1.37%	0	0.8	49	0
2	Feb_13_2015	125.35	133.56	134.48	136.12			136.66(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	7	36	0.52	82%	0.14	65	1.36%	0	1.1	50	0
3	Feb_12_2015	125.17	133.09	134	135.44			136.07(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	7	14	0.41	82%	0.13	45.9	1.36%	0	1	51	0
4	Feb_11_2015	125.01	132.73	133.81	134.83			135.9(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	8	9	0.55	82%	0.17	37.3	1.39%	0	1.1	58	0
5	Feb_10_2015	124.8	132.38	133.57	134.05			137(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	-10000	7	11	0.74	82%	0.15	32.9	1.4%	0	1.6	69	0

6	Feb_9_2015	124.61	132.01	133.39	133.42			134.97(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	13	-10000	9	25	0.51	81%	0.12	33.2	1.41%	0	1	69	0
7	Feb_6_2015	124.46	131.82	133.46	132.62			133.26(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	3	27	0.39	82%	0.12	34.3	1.4%	0	0.5	59	0
8	Feb_5_2015	124.31	131.76	133.65	132.36			133.03(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	9	-10000	-3	44	0.59	82%	0.12	39.3	1.44%	0	0.5	63	0
9	Feb_4_2015	124.16	131.63	133.63	132.63			132(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-10000	-4	60	0.74	82%	0.13	46.3	1.45%	0	0.1	58	0
10	Feb_3_2015	124	131.4	133.33	133			133.85(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-4	68	0.57	82%	0.16	44.7	1.44%	0	0.9	61	0

11	Feb_2_2015	123.8	131.07	132.72	133.4			130.96(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	9	-10000	-11	67	0.9	81%	0.14	46.7	1.42%	0	-0	54	0
12	Jan_30_2015	123.63	130.89	132.64	134.42			131.94(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	16	-10000	-7	84	0.61	81%	0.28	52.8	1.42%	0	0.3	51	0
13	Jan_29_2015	123.28	130.69	132.22	135.1			134.4(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	4	89	0.56	87%	0.32	57.3	1.4%	0	1.2	54	0
14	Jan_28_2015	122.89	130.4	131.66	134.74			133.86(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	30	-10000	12	82	0.49	88%	0.31	56.4	1.4%	0	1.1	57	0
15	Jan_27_2015	122.51	130.13	131.16	133.63			135.84(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	18	70	0.44	93%	0.32	47.4	1.42%	0	1.9	68	0

16	Jan_26_2015	122.12	129.71	130.51	131.9			136.08(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	14	46	0.84	93%	0.31	31.6	1.42%	0	2.4	68	0
17	Jan_23_2015	121.74	129.28	129.98	130.63			135.34(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	23	-10000	18	39	1.23	93%	0.3	16.9	1.42%	0	2.7	67	0
18	Jan_22_2015	121.37	128.91	129.58	128.98			132.56(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	11	-10000	8	19	0.64	92%	0.28	-1.5	1.4%	0	2.1	60	0
19	Jan_21_2015	121.03	128.69	129.33	128.22			128.35(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-1	7	0.32	91%	0.26	-14.3	1.35%	0	-0.2	49	0
20	Jan_20_2015	120.72	128.73	129.23	128.32			127.16(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-6	1	0.48	92%	0.26	-11.8	1.35%	0	-1	47	0

21	Jan_16_2015	120.41	128.86	129.28	128.85			129.72(2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.53	100%	0.27	-0.9	1.39%	0	0.6	56	0
22	Jan_15_2015	120.08	128.91	129.01	129.22			127.14(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-10000	-11	10	0.68	100%	0.24	23.2	1.42%	0	-1.2	48	0
23	Jan_14_2015	119.79	128.93	129.11	130.24			128.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-4	30	0.41	100%	0.27	42.5	1.43%	0	-0.1	51	0
24	Jan_13_2015	119.47	128.93	129.11	130.61			128.81(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	13	-10000	4	41	0.54	100%	0.28	52.1	1.43%	0	-0.1	52	0
25	Jan_12_2015	119.14	128.91	129.12	130.24			129.84(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	6	34	0.43	100%		42.4	1.44%	0	0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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