Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $135.8400 (-0.18%) ($134.1500 - $136.8299) on Tue. Jan. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $135.8400(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $133.63(1.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $131.16(3.57%)
20 Day Moving Average   $130.13(4.39%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   15.4%
Market Cap   $7.649b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.3% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150227

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_27_2015	122.51	130.13	131.16	133.63			135.84(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-10000	18	70	0.44	93%	0.32	47.4	1.42%	0	1.9	68	0
2	Jan_26_2015	122.12	129.71	130.51	131.9			136.08(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	14	46	0.84	93%	0.31	31.6	1.42%	0	2.4	68	0
3	Jan_23_2015	121.74	129.28	129.98	130.63			135.34(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	23	-10000	18	39	1.23	93%	0.3	16.9	1.42%	0	2.7	67	0
4	Jan_22_2015	121.37	128.91	129.58	128.98			132.56(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	11	-10000	8	19	0.64	92%	0.28	-1.5	1.4%	0	2.1	60	0
5	Jan_21_2015	121.03	128.69	129.33	128.22			128.35(0.93%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	1	-10000	-1	7	0.32	91%	0.26	-14.3	1.35%	0	-0.2	49	0

6	Jan_20_2015	120.72	128.73	129.23	128.32			127.16(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-6	1	0.48	92%	0.26	-11.8	1.35%	0	-1	47	0
7	Jan_16_2015	120.41	128.86	129.28	128.85			129.72(2.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-1	-10000	-4	10	0.53	100%	0.27	-0.9	1.39%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Jan_15_2015	120.08	128.91	129.01	129.22			127.14(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-10000	-11	10	0.68	100%	0.24	23.2	1.42%	0	-1.2	48	0
9	Jan_14_2015	119.79	128.93	129.11	130.24			128.75(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-10000	-4	30	0.41	100%	0.27	42.5	1.43%	0	-0.1	51	0
10	Jan_13_2015	119.47	128.93	129.11	130.61			128.81(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	13	-10000	4	41	0.54	100%	0.28	52.1	1.43%	0	-0.1	52	0

11	Jan_12_2015	119.14	128.91	129.12	130.24			129.84(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	6	34	0.43	100%	0.28	42.4	1.44%	0	0.6	52	0
12	Jan_9_2015	118.81	128.88	128.92	129.7			131.57(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	10	22	0.57	100%	0.31	44.8	1.43%	0	1.8	56	0
13	Jan_8_2015	118.44	128.57	128.56	128.75			132.24(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	7	-10000	10	-3	0.62	100%	0.3	31.8	1.42%	0	2.7	52	0
14	Jan_7_2015	118.08	128.32	128.15	127.87			130.58(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.6	100%	0.31	33.3	1.42%	0	1.7	62	0
15	Jan_6_2015	117.72	128.13	127.91	127.51			126.95(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.76	100%	0.28	38.3	1.42%	0	-1	45	0

16	Jan_5_2015	117.39	128.27	128.13	127.87			127.15(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.48	100%	0.3	59.6	1.42%	0	-0.9	44	0
17	Jan_2_2015	117.04	128.22	128.39	128.01			126.84(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-3	-17	0.41	100%	0.51	61.5	1.42%	0	-1.1	40	0
18	Dec_31_2014	116.45	128.14	128.78	128.28			127.84(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.46	100%	0.31	52.5	1.41%	0	-0.2	61	0
19	Dec_30_2014	116.09	127.88	128.75	128.42			128.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	1	8	0.41	100%	0.29	31.2	1.44%	0	0.4	54	0
20	Dec_29_2014	115.75	127.67	128.72	128.37			128.77(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-1	10	0.7	100%	0.29	23.5	1.44%	0	0.5	56	0

21	Dec_26_2014	115.41	127.56	128.71	128.46			127.83(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-4	8	0.29	100%	0.49	23.5	1.44%	0	0.1	45	0
22	Dec_24_2014	114.85	127.46	128.87	128.84			128.18(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-6	25	0.41	100%	0.29	25.4	1.43%	0	0.3	57	0
23	Dec_23_2014	114.52	127.34	128.62	129.37			128.56(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	3	39	1.03	100%	0.3	34.1	1.5%	0	0.6	60	0
24	Dec_22_2014	114.18	127.25	128.53	129.12			128.53(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	0	49	0.62	100%	0.32	36.7	1.54%	0	0.6	65	0
25	Dec_19_2014	113.82	127.18	128.39	129.08			129.22(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	57	1.13	100%		44.9	1.54%	0	1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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