Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $132.2400 (1.27%) ($131.1360 - $132.8790) on Thu. Jan. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.42% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $132.2400(1.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    IVE(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.71% (StdDev 1.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $128.75(2.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $128.56(2.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.57(2.85%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.9%
Market Cap   $7.447b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.07% (three month std-dev: 1.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150208

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_8_2015	118.44	128.57	128.56	128.75			132.24(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.5	7	-10000	10	-3	0.62	100%	0.3	31.8	1.42%	0	2.7	52	0
2	Jan_7_2015	118.08	128.32	128.15	127.87			130.58(2.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	2.1	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.6	100%	0.31	33.3	1.42%	0	1.7	62	0
3	Jan_6_2015	117.72	128.13	127.91	127.51			126.95(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-10000	-4	-28	0.76	100%	0.28	38.3	1.42%	0	-1	45	0
4	Jan_5_2015	117.39	128.27	128.13	127.87			127.15(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.48	100%	0.3	59.6	1.42%	0	-0.9	44	0
5	Jan_2_2015	117.04	128.22	128.39	128.01			126.84(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-3	-17	0.41	100%	0.51	61.5	1.42%	0	-1.1	40	0

6	Dec_31_2014	116.45	128.14	128.78	128.28			127.84(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	-2	5	0.46	100%	0.31	52.5	1.41%	0	-0.2	61	0
7	Dec_30_2014	116.09	127.88	128.75	128.42			128.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	1	8	0.41	100%	0.29	31.2	1.44%	0	0.4	54	0
8	Dec_29_2014	115.75	127.67	128.72	128.37			128.77(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-10000	-1	10	0.7	100%	0.29	23.5	1.44%	0	0.5	56	0
9	Dec_26_2014	115.41	127.56	128.71	128.46			127.83(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-4	8	0.29	100%	0.49	23.5	1.44%	0	0.1	45	0
10	Dec_24_2014	114.85	127.46	128.87	128.84			128.18(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10000	-6	25	0.41	100%	0.29	25.4	1.43%	0	0.3	57	0

11	Dec_23_2014	114.52	127.34	128.62	129.37			128.56(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	12	-10000	3	39	1.03	100%	0.3	34.1	1.5%	0	0.6	60	0
12	Dec_22_2014	114.18	127.25	128.53	129.12			128.53(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	12	-10000	0	49	0.62	100%	0.32	36.7	1.54%	0	0.6	65	0
13	Dec_19_2014	113.82	127.18	128.39	129.08			129.22(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	1	57	1.13	100%	0.33	44.9	1.54%	0	1	59	0
14	Dec_18_2014	113.45	127.06	128.42	128.97			129.7(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-10000	1	65	1.16	100%	0.32	51.5	1.55%	0	1.3	55	0
15	Dec_17_2014	113.09	126.92	128.03	128.92			130.86(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	26	-10000	11	69	0.59	100%	0.35	59	1.55%	0	2	58	0

16	Dec_16_2014	112.7	126.61	127.41	127.79			127.28(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10000	-1	45	0.58	100%	0.32	54.9	1.53%	0	0.4	54	0
17	Dec_15_2014	112.34	126.47	126.94	127.84			128.34(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	34	0.57	100%	0.32	54.4	1.54%	0	1	53	0
18	Dec_12_2014	111.98	126.24	126.55	127.57			128.67(-0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	4	-10000	-2	20	0.49	100%	0.31	55.3	1.54%	0	1.3	52	0
19	Dec_11_2014	111.63	126	126.31	127.79			129.44(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	4	15	1.13	100%	0.34	64.2	2.67%	0	1.8	54	0
20	Dec_10_2014	111.25	125.76	125.91	127.05			125.23(-1.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	2	-10000	1	5	0.73	100%	0.31	76.9	2.65%	0	-0.3	45	0

21	Dec_9_2014	110.91	125.63	125.97	126.94			127.53(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	7	7	0.72	100%	0.31	73.6	2.63%	0	1	57	0
22	Dec_8_2014	110.57	125.46	125.86	125.83			126.99(-2.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	3	-1	1.17	100%	0.34	69.2	2.64%	0	0.8	58	0
23	Dec_5_2014	110.2	125.21	125.87	125.33			129.75(3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	3	-10000	4	-0	3.44	100%	0.37	60.3	2.63%	0	2.3	66	0
24	Dec_4_2014	109.79	124.81	125.54	124.67			125.74(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-1	-10000	-0	-3	1.61	100%	0.34	61.4	2.61%	0	0.5	57	0
25	Dec_3_2014	109.42	124.48	125.68	124.69			124.68(2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-1	0	0.99	100%		44	2.61%	0	0.1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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