Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $124.8800 (0.55%) ($123.5303 - $125.1700) on Tue. Nov. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $124.8800(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(56%)    XLY(55%)    XRT(55%)    IWM(53%)    VT(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $124.36(0.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $123.15(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $121.39(2.88%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   32.1%
Market Cap   $7.032b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_18_2014	106.18	121.39	123.15	124.36			124.88(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	3	38	0.6	100%	0.32	86.7	2.56%	0	1.4	59	0
2	Nov_17_2014	105.84	121.08	122.68	123.82			124.2(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	0	31	0.79	100%	0.3	100	2.57%	0	1.3	59	0
3	Nov_14_2014	105.52	120.86	122.25	123.79			123.75(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	2	36	0.33	100%	0.31	111.7	2.57%	0	1.2	67	0
4	Nov_13_2014	105.19	120.5	121.95	123.39			123.92(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	2	38	0.64	100%	0.31	100.9	2.57%	0	1.3	68	0
5	Nov_12_2014	104.87	120.01	121.6	123.03			125.04(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	8	43	0.67	93%	0.3	79.3	2.57%	0	1.6	69	0

6	Nov_11_2014	104.56	119.29	121.21	121.75			122.18(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-10000	3	34	0.69	93%	0.27	59.9	2.58%	0	0.9	65	0
7	Nov_10_2014	104.28	118.8	121.08	121.34			124.08(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	5	35	0.63	93%	0.28	53.1	2.57%	0	1.5	65	0
8	Nov_7_2014	103.99	118.25	120.44	120.5			121.75(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	-10000	1	21	0.46	93%	0.26	45	2.57%	0	1.1	56	0
9	Nov_6_2014	103.72	117.88	120.02	120.31			122.08(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	2	21	1.07	93%	0.27	41.7	2.57%	0	1.3	66	0
10	Nov_5_2014	103.44	117.5	119.59	120.01			118.66(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-4	24	0.63	93%	0.23	40.1	2.55%	0	0.4	67	0

11	Nov_4_2014	103.2	117.32	119.51	120.59			120.11(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	-1	45	0.96	93%	0.25	43.5	2.55%	0	0.9	78	0
12	Nov_3_2014	102.94	116.98	119.4	120.76			119.91(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	3	63	0.95	93%	0.24	39.5	2.55%	0	0.9	71	0
13	Oct_31_2014	102.69	116.77	119.38	120.32			120.81(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	5	73	0.47	93%	0.25	33.6	2.55%	0	1.3	68	0
14	Oct_30_2014	102.43	116.52	118.97	119.63			120.56(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	4	70	0.48	93%	0.23	24.8	2.56%	0	1.4	64	0
15	Oct_29_2014	102.19	116.24	118.32	119.09			121.56(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	5	64	1.04	93%	0.35	15.4	2.57%	0	1.9	65	0

16	Oct_28_2014	101.83	115.92	117.23	118.3			120.97(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	3	48	0.83	93%	0.35	0.5	2.57%	0	2	63	0
17	Oct_27_2014	101.47	115.74	116.34	117.9			117.72(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-3	40	0.47	92%	0.32	-0.5	2.55%	0	0.8	62	0
18	Oct_24_2014	101.15	115.75	115.89	118.33			117.35(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	-10000	1	42	0.48	92%	0.32	3.3	2.56%	0	0.7	53	0
19	Oct_23_2014	100.83	115.79	115.58	118.17			117.84(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	5	39	0.57	92%	0.31	-1.4	2.55%	0	0.8	53	0
20	Oct_22_2014	100.52	115.81	115.25	117.37			117.61(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	10	31	0.6	92%	0.31	-9.2	2.55%	0	0.7	55	0

21	Oct_21_2014	100.21	115.92	114.95	115.91			118.97(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	10	13	0.75	93%	0.33	-21.7	2.55%	0	1.2	56	0
22	Oct_20_2014	99.88	115.75	114.36	114.51			119.87(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	4	-10000	9	-12	1.03	93%	0.35	-36.9	2.57%	0	1.6	51	0
23	Oct_17_2014	99.53	115.67	113.88	113.17			116.57(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	3	-34	1.14	92%	0.32	-43.2	2.55%	0	0.3	43	0
24	Oct_16_2014	99.21	115.83	113.79	112.7			113.85(3.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-1	-47	1.73	92%	0.29	-38.6	2.54%	0	-0.7	34	0
25	Oct_15_2014	98.92	116.05	113.92	112.88			110.28(-1.5%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-18	-10000	-6	-54	1.67	91%		-3	2.53%	0	-2.1	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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