Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 21, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $96.0000 (-1.53%) ($95.2647 - $97.9800) on Thu. Aug. 21, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $96.0000(-1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(55%)    XLY(54%)    XRT(54%)    IWM(52%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $95.38(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $94.68(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.13(1.99%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   13.2%
Market Cap   $5.406b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140921

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_21_2014	91.12	94.13	94.68	95.38			96(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	4	20	0.51	82%	-0.04	58.8	2.09%	0	1.3	60	0
2	Aug_20_2014	91.16	93.98	94.46	94.93			97.49(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	13	-10000	10	20	0.94	82%	-0.01	61.6	2.08%	0	2.6	67	0
3	Aug_19_2014	91.17	93.7	94.14	93.92			95.64(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	5	-10000	6	2	0.43	82%	-0.02	61	2.08%	0	1.7	54	0
4	Aug_18_2014	91.19	93.52	94.08	93.38			94.53(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-2	-10000	-2	-2	0.44	82%	-0.04	59.3	2.09%	0	1	58	0
5	Aug_15_2014	91.23	93.44	94.07	93.54			93.24(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.61	82%	-0.05	62	2.09%	0	-0.2	55	0

6	Aug_14_2014	91.28	93.32	94.08	93.89			93.73(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	-0	16	0.4	82%	-0.09	56.2	2.09%	0	0.3	55	0
7	Aug_13_2014	91.36	93.14	93.96	93.93			92.45(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	0	-10000	-4	13	0.45	82%	-0.09	42	2.09%	0	-0.4	49	0
8	Aug_12_2014	91.44	93	94.14	94.36			92.97(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-10000	-5	25	0.66	84%	-0.1	34.4	2.1%	0	-0	55	0
9	Aug_11_2014	91.53	92.9	94.1	94.83			95.29(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	1	37	0.38	92%	-0.05	30.8	2.09%	0	1.4	64	0
10	Aug_8_2014	91.58	92.71	93.8	94.69			95(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	4	35	0.41	92%	-0.11	18.1	2.11%	0	1.4	58	0

11	Aug_7_2014	91.68	92.53	93.56	94.3			93.92(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	3	34	0.51	83%	-0.08	-1.8	2.11%	0	0.9	64	0
12	Aug_6_2014	91.75	92.46	93.49	93.98			94.61(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	1	38	0.83	83%	-0.04	-12.4	2.15%	0	1.4	69	0
13	Aug_5_2014	91.79	92.42	93.24	93.89			95.32(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	16	-10000	6	47	0.68	83%	-0.01	-11.6	2.15%	0	1.8	74	0
14	Aug_4_2014	91.8	92.37	92.9	93.27			94.6(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	-10000	5	41	0.83	83%	-0.01	-12.3	2.15%	0	1.4	63	0
15	Aug_1_2014	91.81	92.41	92.72	92.81			93.06(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	1	37	0.96	80%	0.01	-9.7	2.16%	0	0.4	56	0

16	Jul_31_2014	91.8	92.56	92.48	92.73			92.33(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-2	31	0.75	80%	0.01	2.5	2.18%	0	-0.1	53	0
17	Jul_30_2014	91.79	92.66	92.25	92.89			94.13(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	4	29	0.76	81%	0.02	9.3	2.18%	0	0.8	54	0
18	Jul_29_2014	91.77	92.61	91.77	92.5			92.25(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	-10000	0	7	0.47	81%	0.01	2.5	2.18%	0	-0.2	39	0
19	Jul_28_2014	91.76	92.61	91.62	92.47			92.29(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2	-10000	-1	-5	0.59	81%	0	-5.4	2.18%	0	-0.1	38	0
20	Jul_25_2014	91.76	92.57	91.54	92.62			92.64(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	4	-12	0.58	81%	0.01	-10.3	2.19%	0	0	35	0

21	Jul_24_2014	91.75	92.51	91.42	92.18			93.14(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	7	-32	0.58	81%	0.02	-25.2	2.2%	0	0.3	35	0
22	Jul_23_2014	91.73	92.48	91.34	91.5			92.2(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	6	-48	0.71	81%	0	-41	2.21%	0	-0.1	41	0
23	Jul_22_2014	91.73	92.56	91.52	90.91			92.09(-1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-12	-10000	3	-57	0.6	81%	0.01	-51.2	2.21%	0	-0.2	46	0
24	Jul_21_2014	91.72	92.68	91.76	90.64			93.02(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-11	-10000	3	-54	0.99	81%	0.01	-53.5	2.21%	0	0.2	56	0
25	Jul_18_2014	91.71	92.77	92.01	90.34			90.44(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.59	79%		-57.1	2.2%	0	-1.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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