Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 10, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $92.6900 (-1.83%) ($92.1100 - $94.0150) on Thu. Jul. 10, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $92.6900(-1.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(55%)    XLY(54%)    XRT(54%)    IWM(52%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $94.11
5 Day Moving Average   $94.89(-2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.78(-1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $94.11(-1.51%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   9.3%
Market Cap   $5.22b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2014	91.79	94.11	93.78	94.89			92.69(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	1	-10000	-3	11	0.63	63%	0.01	116.9	2.28%	0	-1	42	0
2	Jul_9_2014	91.78	94.32	93.8	95.25			94.42(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	-10000	2	13	0.56	63%	0.03	149.4	2.29%	0	0.1	47	0
3	Jul_8_2014	91.75	93.92	93.73	95.05			94.91(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-10000	6	10	0.76	65%	0.04	85.9	2.29%	0	0.4	50	0
4	Jul_7_2014	91.71	93.48	93.68	94.35			96(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	-10000	7	-0	0.64	61%	0.07	61.6	2.31%	0	0.8	55	0
5	Jul_3_2014	91.65	93.02	93.54	93.57			96.43(2.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	9	-12	0.7	57%	0.07	48.1	2.36%	0	0.9	53	0

6	Jul_2_2014	91.59	92.51	93.35	92.55			94.5(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.71	57%	0.04	40.8	2.34%	0	0.5	46	0
7	Jul_1_2014	91.55	92.15	93.36	92.17			93.41(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	-1	-43	0.71	57%	0.02	38.9	2.34%	0	0.3	30	0
8	Jun_30_2014	91.53	91.84	93.47	92.26			91.41(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-6	-22	0.76	57%	0	38.4	2.32%	0	-0.1	70	0
9	Jun_27_2014	91.53	91.63	93.8	92.92			92.09(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-5	10	1	54%	0.01	42.7	2.32%	0	0.1	72	0
10	Jun_26_2014	91.52	91.3	94.11	93.5			91.33(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-10000	-7	41	0.91	54%	0	45.2	2.33%	0	0	68	0

11	Jun_25_2014	91.52	91.02	94.5	94.24			92.61(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-4	78	0.97	54%	0.01	49.2	2.33%	0	0.4	72	0
12	Jun_24_2014	91.51	90.68	94.95	94.69			93.88(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-10000	-1	115	0.82	54%	0.03	52.4	2.33%	0	0.7	71	0
13	Jun_23_2014	91.48	90.34	94.2	94.85			94.67(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	0	118	0.62	54%	0.05	54.1	2.33%	0	0.9	73	0
14	Jun_20_2014	91.43	89.88	93.36	94.81			95(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	-0	116	0.97	53%	0.05	52.2	2.36%	0	1.1	74	0
15	Jun_19_2014	91.38	89.37	92.53	94.81			95.03(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	0	122	0.78	55%	0.07	51.7	2.4%	0	1.3	77	0

16	Jun_18_2014	91.32	88.85	91.65	94.83			94.89(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	-10000	-4	126	0.64	57%	0.05	51.2	2.42%	0	1.4	76	0
17	Jun_17_2014	91.27	88.35	90.86	95.27			94.64(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	16	149	0.61	58%	0.05	53.7	2.44%	0	1.5	74	0
18	Jun_16_2014	91.22	87.92	90.07	93.41			94.5(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	16	120	0.83	58%	0.05	40.3	2.44%	0	1.7	67	0
19	Jun_13_2014	91.17	87.55	89.27	91.59			95.11(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	-10000	16	96	0.77	58%	0.08	29.8	2.46%	0	2.1	71	0
20	Jun_12_2014	91.1	87.09	88.22	89.82			95(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	-10000	17	70	1.77	58%	0.07	19.8	2.48%	0	2.5	72	0

21	Jun_11_2014	91.04	86.65	87.17	88			97.11(13.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.5	25	-10000	19	44	6.44	58%	0.11	8.8	2.48%	0	4.1	78	0
22	Jun_10_2014	90.94	86.15	85.89	85.99			85.31(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-4	6	3.22	47%	-0.1	-27.9	1.75%	0	-0.8	51	0
23	Jun_9_2014	91.03	86.37	86.07	86.28			85.41(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-4	15	1.23	47%	-0.11	-11.9	1.76%	0	-0.7	45	0
24	Jun_6_2014	91.13	86.49	86.09	86.56			86.25(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	4	16	0.74	47%	-0.09	-6.5	1.77%	0	-0.2	42	0
25	Jun_5_2014	91.21	86.47	85.97	86.29			85.93(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	2	3	0.71	47%		-13.1	1.79%	0	-0.4	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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