Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $95.0000 (-0.03%) ($94.6400 - $95.8500) on Fri. Jun. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.36% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $95.0000(-0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 4.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(55%)    XLY(54%)    XRT(54%)    IWM(51%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.18% (StdDev 2.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.81(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.36(1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.88(5.7%)
To recent high   -8.9%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $5.35b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 5.1% (three month std-dev: 2.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140720

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_20_2014	91.43	89.88	93.36	94.81			95(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	-0	116	0.97	53%	0.05	52.2	2.36%	0	1.1	74	0
2	Jun_19_2014	91.38	89.37	92.53	94.81			95.03(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	31	-10000	0	122	0.78	55%	0.07	51.7	2.4%	0	1.3	77	0
3	Jun_18_2014	91.32	88.85	91.65	94.83			94.89(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	-10000	-4	126	0.64	57%	0.05	51.2	2.42%	0	1.4	76	0
4	Jun_17_2014	91.27	88.35	90.86	95.27			94.64(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	16	149	0.61	58%	0.05	53.7	2.44%	0	1.5	74	0
5	Jun_16_2014	91.22	87.92	90.07	93.41			94.5(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	16	120	0.83	58%	0.05	40.3	2.44%	0	1.7	67	0

6	Jun_13_2014	91.17	87.55	89.27	91.59			95.11(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	-10000	16	96	0.77	58%	0.08	29.8	2.46%	0	2.1	71	0
7	Jun_12_2014	91.1	87.09	88.22	89.82			95(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	-10000	17	70	1.77	58%	0.07	19.8	2.48%	0	2.5	72	0
8	Jun_11_2014	91.04	86.65	87.17	88			97.11(13.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.5	25	-10000	19	44	6.44	58%	0.11	8.8	2.48%	0	4.1	78	0
9	Jun_10_2014	90.94	86.15	85.89	85.99			85.31(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-4	6	3.22	47%	-0.1	-27.9	1.75%	0	-0.8	51	0
10	Jun_9_2014	91.03	86.37	86.07	86.28			85.41(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-4	15	1.23	47%	-0.11	-11.9	1.76%	0	-0.7	45	0

11	Jun_6_2014	91.13	86.49	86.09	86.56			86.25(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	7	-10000	4	16	0.74	47%	-0.09	-6.5	1.77%	0	-0.2	42	0
12	Jun_5_2014	91.21	86.47	85.97	86.29			85.93(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	2	-10000	2	3	0.71	47%	-0.11	-13.1	1.79%	0	-0.4	47	0
13	Jun_4_2014	91.31	86.43	85.87	86.11			87.03(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	4	-8	0.38	47%	-0.08	-25.8	1.8%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Jun_3_2014	91.38	86.45	85.69	85.78			86.77(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-8	-10000	-1	-29	0.56	47%	-0.1	-27.3	1.81%	0	0.2	42	0
15	Jun_2_2014	91.47	86.52	85.66	85.87			86.8(2.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	-10000	3	-36	0.73	47%	-0.09	-18.3	1.83%	0	0.2	37	0

16	May_30_2014	91.55	86.58	85.73	85.6			84.9(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-0	-44	0.68	44%	-0.14	-23.3	1.82%	0	-1.1	40	0
17	May_29_2014	91.68	86.64	85.92	85.61			85.03(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	-10000	1	-41	1.08	44%	-0.14	-35.3	1.83%	0	-1.1	49	0
18	May_28_2014	91.81	86.78	86.13	85.57			85.4(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	0	-35	1.06	44%	-0.13	-38.9	1.85%	0	-1	54	0
19	May_27_2014	91.93	86.83	86.43	85.56			87.22(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	1	-32	0.91	46%	-0.11	-51.3	1.85%	0	0.3	49	0
20	May_23_2014	92.03	86.79	86.65	85.45			85.43(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-6	-34	0.67	44%	-0.14	-63.5	1.84%	0	-1	41	0

21	May_22_2014	92.16	86.93	86.9	85.93			84.98(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.68	44%	-0.16	-50.6	1.86%	0	-1.3	42	0
22	May_21_2014	92.31	87.16	87.02	86.29			84.82(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-6	-18	0.82	44%	-0.17	-48.4	1.88%	0	-1.7	49	0
23	May_20_2014	92.47	87.34	87.07	86.76			85.33(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-8	-19	0.67	44%	-0.16	-48.1	1.9%	0	-1.5	45	0
24	May_19_2014	92.62	87.54	87.31	87.39			86.67(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-8	-1	0.72	44%	-0.15	-38.3	1.91%	0	-0.6	53	0
25	May_16_2014	92.76	87.68	87.49	88.03			87.87(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	0	21	0.88	44%		-30.3	1.92%	0	0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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