Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $85.0300 (-0.43%) ($83.5400 - $85.7600) on Thu. May. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.83% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $85.0300(-0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(55%)    XRT(54%)    XLY(53%)    IWM(51%)    VT(51%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.915% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.915% (StdDev 1.83%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $82.63(-2.82%)
Resistance Level   $86.64
5 Day Moving Average   $85.61(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.92(-1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $86.64(-1.86%)
To recent high   -18.5%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $4.788b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.83%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2014	91.68	86.64	85.92	85.61			85.03(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-10	-10000	1	-41	1.08	44%	-0.14	-35.3	1.83%	0	-1.1	49	0
2	May_28_2014	91.81	86.78	86.13	85.57			85.4(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-10000	0	-35	1.06	44%	-0.13	-38.9	1.85%	0	-1	54	0
3	May_27_2014	91.93	86.83	86.43	85.56			87.22(2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	1	-32	0.91	46%	-0.11	-51.3	1.85%	0	0.3	49	0
4	May_23_2014	92.03	86.79	86.65	85.45			85.43(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-13	-10000	-6	-34	0.67	44%	-0.14	-63.5	1.84%	0	-1	41	0
5	May_22_2014	92.16	86.93	86.9	85.93			84.98(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-5	-24	0.68	44%	-0.16	-50.6	1.86%	0	-1.3	42	0

6	May_21_2014	92.31	87.16	87.02	86.29			84.82(-0.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-6	-18	0.82	44%	-0.17	-48.4	1.88%	0	-1.7	49	0
7	May_20_2014	92.47	87.34	87.07	86.76			85.33(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-8	-19	0.67	44%	-0.16	-48.1	1.9%	0	-1.5	45	0
8	May_19_2014	92.62	87.54	87.31	87.39			86.67(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-8	-1	0.72	44%	-0.15	-38.3	1.91%	0	-0.6	53	0
9	May_16_2014	92.76	87.54	87.49	87.39			87.87(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	0	21	0.88	44%	-0.12	-30.3	1.92%	0	0.1	54	0
10	May_15_2014	92.87	87.68	87.5	88.03			86.76(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	7	-10000	2	22	1.19	44%	-0.15	-53.5	1.93%	0	-0.7	47	0

11	May_14_2014	93.01	87.84	87.45	87.85			87.15(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	-10000	6	9	0.57	44%	-0.15	-75.2	1.95%	0	-0.5	44	0
12	May_13_2014	93.15	88	87.5	87.38			88.51(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	2	-3	0.66	44%	-0.12	-95.4	1.96%	0	0.3	50	0
13	May_12_2014	93.26	88.06	87.26	87.19			89.88(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-2	-10000	3	-18	0.75	44%	-0.1	-105.5	1.98%	0	1.1	50	0
14	May_9_2014	93.35	88.1	87.26	86.92			87.87(2.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	-1	-34	0.75	41%	-0.15	-118.2	1.96%	0	-0.1	45	0
15	May_8_2014	93.49	88.41	86.9	86.97			85.86(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-8	-10000	-0	-33	1.02	38%	-0.21	-100	1.94%	0	-1.1	46	0

16	May_7_2014	93.69	88.94	87.26	86.99			84.79(-3.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	-10000	-7	-38	1.4	38%	-0.26	-83.9	1.95%	0	-1.5	37	0
17	May_6_2014	93.93	89.49	87.63	87.58			87.55(-1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-5	-10000	4	-30	1.12	41%	-0.19	-79.1	1.92%	0	-0.6	42	0
18	May_5_2014	94.11	89.79	87.8	87.27			88.54(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.98	41%	-0.17	-85.2	1.94%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	May_2_2014	94.27	90.14	87.88	86.88			88.12(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	0	-52	2.35	41%	-0.19	-84.9	1.97%	0	-0.6	41	0
20	May_1_2014	94.45	90.69	87.84	86.87			85.97(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-27	-10000	-9	-79	1.09	37%	-0.26	-72.9	1.94%	0	-1.2	27	0

21	Apr_30_2014	94.7	91.37	88.27	87.61			87.71(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-84	0.88	39%	-0.23	-64.9	1.94%	0	-0.9	25	0
22	Apr_29_2014	94.92	91.92	88.53	87.71			86(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-8	-104	0.76	35%	-0.3	-63.5	1.93%	0	-1.4	25	0
23	Apr_28_2014	95.21	92.5	88.96	88.39			86.58(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-7	-101	1.38	35%	-0.3	-65.4	1.96%	0	-1.4	34	0
24	Apr_25_2014	95.5	93.08	89.41	88.99			88.11(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	-10000	1	-103	0.5	35%	-0.26	-67	1.98%	0	-1.2	32	0
25	Apr_24_2014	95.75	93.61	90.05	88.93			89.63(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-1	-119	0.61	35%		-74.3	2%	0	-1	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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