Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 29, 2014

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $86.0000 (-0.67%) ($84.8600 - $87.1600) on Tue. Apr. 29, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $86.0000(-0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(55%)    XRT(54%)    XLY(53%)    IWM(51%)    XLI(51%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)    GDXJ(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $80.16(-6.79%)
Resistance Level   $91.92
5 Day Moving Average   $87.71(-1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.53(-2.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.92(-6.44%)
To recent high   -17.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $4.843b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.77% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2014	94.92	91.92	88.53	87.71			86(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-8	-104	0.76	35%	-0.3	-63.5	1.93%	0	-1.4	25	0
2	Apr_28_2014	95.21	92.5	88.96	88.39			86.58(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-7	-101	1.38	35%	-0.3	-65.4	1.96%	0	-1.4	34	0
3	Apr_25_2014	95.5	93.08	89.41	88.99			88.11(-1.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	-10000	1	-103	0.5	35%	-0.26	-67	1.98%	0	-1.2	32	0
4	Apr_24_2014	95.75	93.61	90.05	88.93			89.63(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-10000	-1	-119	0.61	35%	-0.23	-74.3	2%	0	-1	28	0
5	Apr_23_2014	95.97	94.18	90.73	89.05			88.22(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-128	0.67	35%	-0.3	-70.6	2%	0	-1.4	24	0

6	Apr_22_2014	96.26	94.8	91.48	89.49			89.41(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-128	0.87	35%	-0.27	-68.3	2.03%	0	-1.3	29	0
7	Apr_21_2014	96.52	95.39	91.92	89.63			89.59(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-10000	-3	-135	1	35%	-0.29	-63.3	2.07%	0	-1.4	35	0
8	Apr_17_2014	96.8	95.96	92.56	89.92			87.79(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-10000	-15	-142	1.8	35%	-0.38	-54.5	2.06%	0	-1.8	29	0
9	Apr_16_2014	97.17	96.79	93.75	91.33			90.22(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-10000	-15	-120	0.97	38%	-0.32	0	2.04%	0	-1.6	31	0
10	Apr_15_2014	97.48	97.36	94.72	92.71			90.42(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-11	-98	1.33	38%	-0.33	0	2.09%	0	-1.8	27	0

11	Apr_14_2014	97.8	97.81	95.59	93.8			90.13(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-26	-10000	-7	-82	1.02	38%	-0.37	0	2.13%	0	-2.2	30	0
12	Apr_11_2014	98.16	98.18	96.37	94.52			91.05(-4.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-10000	-10	-81	2.96	38%	-0.37	0	2.18%	0	-2.4	30	0
13	Apr_10_2014	98.52	98.44	97.11	95.53			94.85(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-10	-78	1.34	44%	-0.19	0	2.05%	0	-1.4	36	0
14	Apr_9_2014	98.71	98.44	97.51	96.51			97.08(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-2	0.83	49%	-0.09	0	2.03%	0	38.1	33	0
15	Apr_8_2014	98.8	98.44	97.91	97.12			95.87(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.33	49%	-0.17	0	2.07%	0	37	40	0

16	Apr_7_2014	98.97	98.44	98.36	97.74			93.75(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-6	-10000	-7	-3	1.49	43%	-0.33	0	2.05%	0	36.6	43	0
17	Apr_4_2014	99.3	98.44	99.14	98.48			96.09(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	-10000	-4	-2	1.32	49%	-0.21	0	2.02%	0	42.1	52	0
18	Apr_3_2014	99.51	98.44	99.64	98.84			99.77(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	-10000	2	1	0.69	61%	0.02	0	1.82%	0	45.6	62	0
19	Apr_2_2014	99.49	98.44	100.05	98.63			100.11(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.92	61%	0.04	0	1.88%	0	44.3	50	0
20	Apr_1_2014	99.45	98.44	100.05	98.9			98.98(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-3	-1	1.35	61%	-0.04	0	1.94%	0	42.3	50	0

21	Mar_31_2014	99.49	98.44	100.15	99.17			97.44(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-8	-3	1.07	61%	-0.18	0	1.99%	0	39.9	50	0
22	Mar_28_2014	99.67	98.44	100.12	99.93			97.89(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.57	61%	-0.18	0	2.07%	0	39.8	50	0
23	Mar_27_2014	99.85	98.44	99.93	100.52			98.75(-2.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-10	-4	1.51	61%	-0.12	0	2.15%	0	39.3	50	0
24	Mar_26_2014	99.97	98.44	99.93	101.63			101.43(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	0	0	1.33	73%	0.18	0	1.96%	0	38.7	50	0
25	Mar_25_2014	99.79	98.44	99.93	101.6			100.34(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10000	3	1	1.04	73%		0	2.1%	0	36.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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