Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jan. 2, 2018

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $793.3000 (9.04%) ($746.1000 - $814.4000) on Tue. Jan. 2, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.52% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $793.3000(9.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 8.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 8.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    PEJ(17%)    LIT(15%)    XLY(15%)    IVE(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-9%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    TIP(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.26% (StdDev 6.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $669.56(18.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $615.38(28.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $630.93(25.74%)
To recent high   -30.3%
To recent low   55.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 13.32% (three month std-dev: 6.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2018	996.04	630.93	615.38	669.56			793.3(9.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	40	-10000	25	86	0.68	44%	-0.73	-56.6	6.52%	0	1.9	59	0
2	Dec_29_2017	1003.37	632.9	588.37	619.48			727.5(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	23	25	0.62	42%	-0.54	-56.3	6.5%	0	0.9	56	0
3	Dec_28_2017	1008.86	637.82	571.96	575.82			706.9(20.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	9	-10000	20	-23	0.87	42%	-0.45	-62.2	6.49%	0	0.6	55	0
4	Dec_27_2017	1013.39	649.52	557.89	541.28			588.2(10.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	1	-89	0.42	38%	-0.49	-57	5.94%	0	-0.5	36	0
5	Dec_26_2017	1018.39	666.15	556.5	539.04			531.9(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-10000	-8	-122	0.41	35%	-0.56	-53.5	5.84%	0	-0.9	28	0

6	Dec_22_2017	1024.08	682.37	568.52	552.66			542.9(6.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-31	-10000	1	-127	0.36	35%	-0.51	-56.7	5.79%	0	-1	26	0
7	Dec_21_2017	1029.28	694.62	578.33	551.68			509.2(-4.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-9	-163	0.42	31%	-0.56	-63.1	5.71%	0	-1.3	18	0
8	Dec_20_2017	1035.04	714.16	591.59	565.84			534.2(-7.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-48	-10000	-6	-172	0.44	31%	-0.54	-65	5.85%	0	-1.3	21	0
9	Dec_19_2017	1040.62	734.58	612.35	575.8			577(-3.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-47	-10000	-0	-188	0.29	32%	-0.49	-65.5	5.8%	0	-1.1	19	0
10	Dec_18_2017	1045.77	753.82	629.13	576.4			600(11.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-57	-10000	-7	-208	0.42	36%	-0.62	-67.5	5.79%	0	-1.1	24	0

11	Dec_15_2017	1052.33	775.12	648.42	588.2			538(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-61	-10000	-12	-209	0.42	32%	-0.7	-66	5.74%	0	-1.6	26	0
12	Dec_14_2017	1059.71	798.47	681.51	609.6			580(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-7	-182	0.31	33%	-0.61	-68.9	5.7%	0	-1.5	38	0
13	Dec_13_2017	1066.19	820.18	709.1	621.4			584(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-59	-10000	-18	-180	0.3	33%	-0.61	-71.4	5.71%	0	-1.6	32	0
14	Dec_12_2017	1072.74	841.9	748.03	654.6			580(-11.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-52	-10000	-18	-152	0.46	33%	-0.56	-72.2	5.75%	0	-1.9	30	0
15	Dec_11_2017	1078.79	866.72	784.59	689.4			659(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-10000	-15	-132	0.23	35%	-0.56	-70.2	5.63%	0	-1.6	33	0

16	Dec_8_2017	1084.86	890.54	805.53	718.8			645(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-49	-10000	-21	-133	0.23	34%	-0.66	-58.9	5.65%	0	-1.8	29	0
17	Dec_7_2017	1092.1	915.31	821.36	765.2			639(-14.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-46	-10000	-19	-125	0.77	34%	-0.71	-45.2	5.72%	0	-2.1	31	0
18	Dec_6_2017	1099.87	938.18	848.79	809.4			750(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-10000	-20	-114	0.23	37%	-0.61	-33.4	5.45%	0	-1.6	35	0
19	Dec_5_2017	1106.59	955.01	868.49	856.2			754(-6.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-10000	-15	-91	0.59	35%	-0.54	-15.9	5.46%	0	-1.8	36	0
20	Dec_4_2017	1112.57	969.83	890.16	894			806(-8.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-4	-73	0.45	36%	-0.44	-2.5	5.49%	0	-1.6	35	0

21	Dec_1_2017	1117.48	976.71	912.77	904.6			877(1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	-10000	8	-72	0.21	38%	-0.36	0.8	5.45%	0	-1.1	35	0
22	Nov_30_2017	1121.53	977.9	924.59	885.2			860(-12.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10000	-3	-99	0.42	41%	-0.41	-10.2	5.52%	0	-1.3	34	0
23	Nov_29_2017	1126.11	978.79	939.49	892.8			984(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-24	-10000	3	-103	0.41	44%	-0.34	-16.3	5.31%	0	0.1	44	0
24	Nov_28_2017	1129.93	972.89	940.81	884.8			943(9.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-31	-10000	-2	-118	0.46	44%	-0.25	-28.1	5.29%	0	-0.3	41	0
25	Nov_27_2017	1132.77	972.33	952.1	889.4			859(10.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-10000	-15	-122	0.31	40%		-33.5	5.15%	0	-1.1	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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