Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $1023.0000 (-1.63%) ($1000.0000 - $1030.0000) on Wed. Oct. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.67% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $1023.0000(-1.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(16%)    LIT(15%)    XLY(15%)    IVE(14%)    IWD(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.335% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.335% (StdDev 4.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $1076.44
5 Day Moving Average   $1061.2(-3.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1031.51(-0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1076.44(-4.96%)
To recent high   -27.7%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 7.89% (three month std-dev: 4.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_18_2017	1234.8	1076.44	1031.51	1061.2			1023(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	0	-15	0.21	46%	-0.51	-69.2	4.67%	0	-0.6	36	0
2	Oct_17_2017	1241.08	1090.36	1035.45	1060.2			1040(-1.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	3	-31	0.2	46%	-0.16	-58.1	4.71%	0	-0.5	34	0
3	Oct_16_2017	1243.13	1105.1	1034.24	1052.8			1061(-3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-5	-10000	8	-45	0.17	46%	-0.68	-48	4.74%	0	-0.4	44	0
4	Oct_13_2017	1251.68	1120.41	1033.09	1032.2			1099(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	9	-67	0.16	46%	-0.63	-44.2	4.72%	0	-0.2	47	0
5	Oct_12_2017	1259.58	1128.1	1037.04	1011			1083(6.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	5	-83	0.31	46%	-0.65	-42.2	4.73%	0	-0.4	43	0

6	Oct_11_2017	1267.83	1138.61	1043.81	999.2			1018(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-10000	-4	-95	0.17	48%	-0.74	-41.3	4.68%	0	-1	36	0
7	Oct_10_2017	1277.29	1151.97	1061.94	1008.6			1003(4.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-10000	-2	-95	0.12	50%	-0.88	-39.5	4.89%	0	-1.2	26	0
8	Oct_9_2017	1288.61	1163.72	1075.32	1013.6			958(-3.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-35	-10000	-8	-114	0.16	50%	-0.81	-40.1	4.91%	0	-1.7	19	0
9	Oct_6_2017	1299.19	1175.38	1093.95	1033			993(-3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-42	-10000	-13	-128	0.23	50%	-0.7	-44.9	4.91%	0	-1.7	19	0
10	Oct_5_2017	1308.35	1183.05	1111.47	1066.2			1024(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-38	-10000	-11	-119	0.2	46%	-0.69	-46.7	4.91%	0	-1.6	35	0

11	Oct_4_2017	1317.38	1193.49	1126.26	1095.2			1065(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-10	-112	0.15	46%	-0.68	-40.8	5.12%	0	-1.3	35	0
12	Oct_3_2017	1326.34	1203.04	1150.64	1124.6			1028(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-29	-10000	-7	-94	0.16	46%	-0.87	-33.5	5.14%	0	-1.9	34	0
13	Oct_2_2017	1338.01	1213.29	1182.97	1146.2			1055(-8.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-5	-72	0.42	46%	-0.91	-29.3	5.17%	0	-1.9	41	0
14	Sep_29_2017	1350.34	1226.83	1216.15	1162.2			1159(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-10000	-0	-45	0.09	49%	-0.78	-17.7	5.05%	0	-0.9	53	0
15	Sep_28_2017	1360.96	1232.6	1226.96	1162.8			1169(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-8	-10000	0	-33	0.15	49%	-0.65	-15.5	5.07%	0	-0.8	58	0

16	Sep_27_2017	1369.93	1233.77	1240.58	1162.2			1212(6.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.18	49%	-0.54	-17.4	5.06%	0	-0.3	52	0
17	Sep_26_2017	1377.35	1234.1	1247.88	1183.8			1136(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-14	-18	0.1	51%	-0.54	-9.7	4.99%	0	-1.3	45	0
18	Sep_25_2017	1384.86	1238.15	1258.63	1227.8			1135(-2.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-10	-10000	-15	6	0.13	51%	-0.65	4.1	5.2%	0	-1.4	48	0
19	Sep_22_2017	1393.96	1240.71	1264.19	1279			1162(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	2	-10000	-6	24	0.11	51%	-0.54	24.3	5.2%	0	-1.1	43	0
20	Sep_21_2017	1401.58	1244.61	1262.47	1299.4			1166(-11.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-1	-10000	-8	21	0.31	51%	-0.56	36.1	5.2%	0	-1.1	46	0

21	Sep_20_2017	1409.46	1247.16	1269.13	1327.2			1320(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10000	2	46	0.07	56%	-0.41	51.9	4.99%	0	1.1	60	0
22	Sep_19_2017	1415.31	1241.58	1261.25	1320.2			1356(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	8	48	0.07	51%	-0.44	51.3	4.98%	0	1.8	59	0
23	Sep_18_2017	1421.58	1235.24	1246.2	1294.4			1391(10.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	20	-10000	14	37	0.13	51%	-0.47	44.4	5.22%	0	2.6	62	0
24	Sep_15_2017	1428.33	1223.74	1236.37	1249.4			1264(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	9	25	0.08	51%	-0.52	19.6	5.07%	0	0.8	58	0
25	Sep_14_2017	1435.73	1220.2	1236.39	1220.2			1305(1.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	7	-10000	6	11	0.13	51%		-3.8	5.25%	0	1.8	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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