Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 5, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $1213.0000 (-7.97%) ($1201.9400 - $1232.0000) on Tue. Sep. 5, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.18% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $1213.0000(-7.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(16%)    LIT(15%)    XLY(15%)    XOP(15%)    IVE(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.59% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.59% (StdDev 5.18%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1239(-2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1222.35(-0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1211.27(0.14%)
To recent high   -18%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 5.18%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2017	1488.99	1211.27	1222.35	1239			1213(-7.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	6	-10000	1	21	0.11	56%	-0.56	84	5.18%	0	0	52	0
2	Sep_1_2017	1497.37	1204.7	1225.23	1236.8			1318(3.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	10	25	0.15	60%	-0.55	62.1	5.08%	0	1.7	56	0
3	Aug_31_2017	1505.61	1191.3	1210.1	1206.6			1271(7.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	3	-2	0.2	57%	-0.51	35	5.07%	0	1.2	50	0
4	Aug_30_2017	1513.39	1180.82	1201.91	1198.4			1179(-2.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.07	49%	-0.56	17.1	5.04%	0	-0	40	0
5	Aug_29_2017	1521.94	1176.39	1201.51	1198.4			1214(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	0	-10	0.06	49%	-0.63	9.6	5.28%	0	0.5	58	0

6	Aug_28_2017	1531.56	1170.21	1200.69	1203.4			1202(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-3	-10000	-3	-1	0.14	49%	-0.65	0.3	5.32%	0	0.4	64	0
7	Aug_25_2017	1541.65	1164.68	1204.26	1211.6			1167(-5.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	5	-10000	-0	20	0.11	49%	-0.73	-2.2	5.31%	0	0	63	0
8	Aug_24_2017	1552.96	1168.33	1213.91	1212.8			1230(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	41	0.1	49%	-0.65	-2.4	5.28%	0	0.8	71	0
9	Aug_23_2017	1563.1	1169.32	1216.81	1205.8			1204(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	2	57	0.05	46%	-0.67	-10.4	5.27%	0	0.5	68	0
10	Aug_22_2017	1573.72	1169.72	1212.34	1198.8			1214(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	0	60	0.07	48%	-0.49	-23.5	5.35%	0	0.6	66	0

11	Aug_21_2017	1581.51	1170.03	1200.06	1197.6			1243(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	0	60	0.11	48%	-0.53	-34.7	5.41%	0	1	68	0
12	Aug_18_2017	1590	1166.35	1183.23	1197.4			1173(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-6	58	0.06	46%	-0.58	-44	5.4%	0	0.1	63	0
13	Aug_17_2017	1599.32	1170.16	1172.06	1215.8			1195(2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-4	53	0.1	46%	-0.59	-35.5	5.4%	0	0.3	45	0
14	Aug_16_2017	1608.89	1177.37	1159.05	1230			1169(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	45	0.07	43%	-0.54	-24	5.39%	0	-0.1	41	0
15	Aug_15_2017	1617.6	1188.17	1150.72	1226.4			1208(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	8	33	0.04	43%	-0.48	-19.2	5.52%	0	0.2	49	0

16	Aug_14_2017	1625.39	1197.24	1138.37	1200.4			1242(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	11	8	0.09	43%	-0.48	-22.8	5.53%	0	0.4	50	0
17	Aug_11_2017	1633.16	1201.45	1122.03	1165.4			1265(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	14	-18	0.06	46%	-0.44	-26.4	5.55%	0	0.5	57	0
18	Aug_10_2017	1640.31	1202.05	1117.45	1121.8			1266(9.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	14	-40	0.21	46%	-0.37	-31.4	5.64%	0	0.5	49	0
19	Aug_9_2017	1646.47	1201.9	1114.36	1080			1151(6.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	5	-74	0.18	42%	-0.52	-37.4	5.53%	0	-0.4	33	0
20	Aug_8_2017	1655.09	1209.82	1120.01	1065.8			1078(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-1	-99	0.07	38%	-0.55	-34.1	5.48%	0	-1.1	23	0

21	Aug_7_2017	1664.17	1224.06	1134.9	1067.4			1067(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-1	-110	0.06	38%	-0.41	-33.5	5.54%	0	-1.3	21	0
22	Aug_4_2017	1671.1	1232.9	1146.59	1071.4			1047(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-13	-125	0.08	40%	-0.39	-40.1	5.6%	0	-1.7	28	0
23	Aug_3_2017	1677.65	1239.76	1168.06	1112			1057(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-13	-111	0.13	40%	-0.45	-43.4	5.6%	0	-1.7	35	0
24	Aug_2_2017	1685.2	1247.68	1198.08	1154.2			1080(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-9	-85	0.08	40%	-0.4	-46.7	5.61%	0	-1.7	38	0
25	Aug_1_2017	1692	1252.65	1230.33	1182.6			1086(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-9	-66	0.16	40%		-53.7	5.63%	0	-1.8	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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