Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 24, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $1230.0000 (2.16%) ($1210.0000 - $1266.0000) on Thu. Aug. 24, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.28% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $1230.0000(2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(16%)    LIT(15%)    XLY(15%)    IVE(14%)    IWD(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.64% (StdDev 5.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $1212.8(1.42%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1213.91(1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1168.33(5.28%)
To recent high   -35.2%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 6.55% (three month std-dev: 5.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2017	1552.96	1168.33	1213.91	1212.8			1230(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	41	0.1	49%	-0.65	-2.4	5.28%	0	0.8	71	0
2	Aug_23_2017	1563.1	1169.32	1216.81	1205.8			1204(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	16	-10000	2	57	0.05	46%	-0.67	-10.4	5.27%	0	0.5	68	0
3	Aug_22_2017	1573.72	1169.72	1212.34	1198.8			1214(-2.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	0	60	0.07	48%	-0.49	-23.5	5.35%	0	0.6	66	0
4	Aug_21_2017	1581.51	1170.03	1200.06	1197.6			1243(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	0	60	0.11	48%	-0.53	-34.7	5.41%	0	1	68	0
5	Aug_18_2017	1590	1166.35	1183.23	1197.4			1173(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-6	58	0.06	46%	-0.58	-44	5.4%	0	0.1	63	0

6	Aug_17_2017	1599.32	1170.16	1172.06	1215.8			1195(2.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-10000	-4	53	0.1	46%	-0.59	-35.5	5.4%	0	0.3	45	0
7	Aug_16_2017	1608.89	1177.37	1159.05	1230			1169(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10000	1	45	0.07	43%	-0.54	-24	5.39%	0	-0.1	41	0
8	Aug_15_2017	1617.6	1188.17	1150.72	1226.4			1208(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	14	-10000	8	33	0.04	43%	-0.48	-19.2	5.52%	0	0.2	49	0
9	Aug_14_2017	1625.39	1197.24	1138.37	1200.4			1242(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	-10000	11	8	0.09	43%	-0.48	-22.8	5.53%	0	0.4	50	0
10	Aug_11_2017	1633.16	1201.45	1122.03	1165.4			1265(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	-10000	14	-18	0.06	46%	-0.44	-26.4	5.55%	0	0.5	57	0

11	Aug_10_2017	1640.31	1202.05	1117.45	1121.8			1266(9.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	14	-40	0.21	46%	-0.37	-31.4	5.64%	0	0.5	49	0
12	Aug_9_2017	1646.47	1201.9	1114.36	1080			1151(6.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	-10000	5	-74	0.18	42%	-0.52	-37.4	5.53%	0	-0.4	33	0
13	Aug_8_2017	1655.09	1209.82	1120.01	1065.8			1078(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-26	-10000	-1	-99	0.07	38%	-0.55	-34.1	5.48%	0	-1.1	23	0
14	Aug_7_2017	1664.17	1224.06	1134.9	1067.4			1067(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-28	-10000	-1	-110	0.06	38%	-0.41	-33.5	5.54%	0	-1.3	21	0
15	Aug_4_2017	1671.1	1232.9	1146.59	1071.4			1047(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-41	-10000	-13	-125	0.08	40%	-0.39	-40.1	5.6%	0	-1.7	28	0

16	Aug_3_2017	1677.65	1239.76	1168.06	1112			1057(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-13	-111	0.13	40%	-0.45	-43.4	5.6%	0	-1.7	35	0
17	Aug_2_2017	1685.2	1247.68	1198.08	1154.2			1080(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-28	-10000	-9	-85	0.08	40%	-0.4	-46.7	5.61%	0	-1.7	38	0
18	Aug_1_2017	1692	1252.65	1230.33	1182.6			1086(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-10000	-9	-66	0.16	40%	-0.48	-53.7	5.63%	0	-1.8	36	0
19	Jul_31_2017	1700.18	1264.57	1263.26	1211.8			1087(-13.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10000	-5	-48	0.29	40%	-0.51	-55.8	5.67%	0	-2.1	33	0
20	Jul_28_2017	1708.91	1279.74	1290.58	1230.2			1250(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-31	0.07	44%	-0.35	-50.1	5.47%	0	-0.4	55	0

21	Jul_27_2017	1714.83	1287.14	1295.43	1232.2			1268(3.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10000	-5	-22	0.14	44%	-0.27	-38.8	5.49%	0	-0.2	61	0
22	Jul_26_2017	1719.55	1295.68	1296.91	1251			1222(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-11	-9	0.09	47%	-0.22	-20.4	5.46%	0	-0.8	56	0
23	Jul_25_2017	1723.38	1305.24	1306.9	1288.2			1232(4.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-10	21	0.08	47%	-0.25	-1.3	5.58%	0	-0.8	59	0
24	Jul_24_2017	1727.65	1314.83	1320.3	1324.8			1179(-6.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	4	-10000	-9	44	0.14	47%	-0.25	18.4	5.55%	0	-1.4	45	0
25	Jul_21_2017	1731.92	1320.92	1327.49	1358.2			1260(-7.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	12	-10000	-2	52	0.12	49%		23.2	5.51%	0	-0.7	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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