Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 13, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $1277.0000 (-2.82%) ($1254.0000 - $1340.0000) on Thu. Jul. 13, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.45% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $1277.0000(-2.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    PEJ(16%)    LIT(15%)    XOP(15%)    XLY(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -2.725% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(-6%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.725% (StdDev 5.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

Resistance Level   $1307.59
5 Day Moving Average   $1266(0.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1275.47(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1307.59(-2.34%)
To recent high   -43.6%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 7.45% (three month std-dev: 5.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2017	1741.69	1307.59	1275.47	1266			1277(-2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	5	-38	0.12	51%	-0.09	-32.2	5.45%	0	-0.3	55	0
2	Jul_12_2017	1743.22	1309.2	1291.42	1248.2			1314(-3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	10	-28	0.07	51%	-0.06	-43	5.49%	0	0	57	0
3	Jul_11_2017	1744.24	1310.69	1300.27	1215.2			1362(11.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-6	-10000	3	-34	0.12	49%	-0.23	-57.7	5.47%	0	0.5	59	0
4	Jul_10_2017	1748.18	1312.65	1304.96	1205			1224(6.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-10	-32	0.07	45%	-0.4	-58.4	5.31%	0	-0.9	52	0
5	Jul_7_2017	1755.25	1324.44	1312.02	1236.6			1153(-2.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-15	-30	0.12	42%	-0.44	-47.6	5.24%	0	-1.7	36	0

6	Jul_6_2017	1763.01	1339.71	1323.46	1287.6			1188(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-10000	-15	-23	0.08	42%	-0.52	-38	5.25%	0	-1.6	35	0
7	Jul_5_2017	1772.15	1352.38	1330.91	1340.8			1149(-12.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-12	-10000	-15	-3	0.22	42%	-0.68	-29.6	5.23%	0	-2.2	45	0
8	Jul_3_2017	1784.32	1369.41	1343.82	1394.4			1311(-5.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-6	19	0.07	52%	-0.54	-25	5.3%	0	-0.7	50	0
9	Jun_30_2017	1793.99	1373.48	1338.25	1417.8			1382(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	6	22	0.09	52%	-0.59	-45	5.25%	0	0.1	49	0
10	Jun_29_2017	1804.57	1375.01	1340.62	1397.6			1408(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	9	10	0.07	52%	-0.59	-72.8	5.25%	0	0.4	47	0

11	Jun_28_2017	1815.37	1377.89	1343.21	1364			1454(2.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	8	-10000	12	-5	0.06	52%	-0.56	-97.1	5.29%	0	0.9	50	0
12	Jun_27_2017	1825.68	1380.34	1327.33	1320.6			1417(-0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	10	-35	0.06	52%	-0.48	-109.7	5.29%	0	0.4	50	0
13	Jun_26_2017	1834.43	1390.18	1319.13	1286.8			1428(11.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	11	-60	0.09	52%	-0.48	-131.7	5.29%	0	0.4	47	0
14	Jun_23_2017	1843.28	1410.89	1315.87	1249.6			1281(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-28	-10000	-9	-86	0.08	48%	-0.72	-100.6	5.09%	0	-0.8	45	0
15	Jun_22_2017	1856.57	1438.91	1333.29	1277.4			1240(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-13	-73	0.1	48%	-0.71	-84.1	5.11%	0	-1.1	40	0

16	Jun_21_2017	1869.84	1470.35	1354.45	1320.2			1237(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0.06	48%	-0.68	-72.9	5.16%	0	-1.2	37	0
17	Jun_20_2017	1882.62	1504.73	1374.79	1333.8			1248(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-6	-54	0.05	52%	-0.8	-66.7	5.17%	0	-1.2	35	0
18	Jun_19_2017	1897.77	1546.4	1398.47	1353.8			1242(-12.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-9	-56	0.14	52%	-1	-58.9	5.42%	0	-1.3	30	0
19	Jun_16_2017	1916.87	1583.61	1415.04	1389			1420(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	-2	-75	0.04	58%	-0.92	-58.9	5.22%	0	-0.7	28	0
20	Jun_15_2017	1934.58	1606.6	1414.77	1398			1454(11.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-10000	0	-99	0.12	58%	-0.85	-62.2	5.27%	0	-0.6	30	0

21	Jun_14_2017	1951.16	1628.81	1416.27	1397.4			1305(-3.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10000	-7	-133	0.08	53%	-0.86	-63.9	5.07%	0	-1.3	18	0
22	Jun_13_2017	1968.02	1661.1	1438.77	1423			1348(-4.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-42	-10000	-7	-147	0.11	53%	-0.78	-63.4	5.14%	0	-1.3	18	0
23	Jun_12_2017	1983.44	1701.59	1467.57	1449.2			1418(-3.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-39	-10000	2	-161	0.06	53%	-0.66	-55	5.12%	0	-1.1	16	0
24	Jun_9_2017	1996.67	1742.71	1512.06	1443			1465(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-39	-10000	3	-165	0.04	53%	-0.77	-49.7	5.17%	0	-1	26	0
25	Jun_8_2017	2012.08	1778.85	1550	1433.6			1451(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-44	-10000	-2	-169	0.07	53%		-45.9	5.22%	0	-1.2	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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