Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2172.0000 (-4.02%) ($2145.0000 - $2198.9900) on Mon. May. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.04% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $2172.0000(-4.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    PEJ(16%)    XOP(15%)    LIT(14%)    XLY(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-10%)    SHY(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.02% (StdDev 6.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $2124.4(2.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2033.1(6.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2005.83(8.28%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   56.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 5.29% (three month std-dev: 6.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2017	2290.71	2005.83	2033.1	2124.4			2172(-4.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	10	44	0.03	49%	-1.02	18	6.04%	0	1.6	63	0
2	May_12_2017	2314.3	1997.78	2011.78	2064.4			2263(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	14	-10000	8	32	0.05	49%	-0.78	-4.7	6.02%	0	2.6	67	0
3	May_11_2017	2332.48	1988.7	1987.12	2017.2			2200(7.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	14	-10000	10	25	0.08	49%	-0.88	-28.1	6.06%	0	2.4	61	0
4	May_10_2017	2353.15	1978.9	1963.47	1959			2048(5.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	4	-10000	4	5	0.09	45%	-0.58	-66.5	6.04%	0	0.9	51	0
5	May_9_2017	2366.77	1976.77	1960	1937			1939(3.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	-10000	2	-3	0.06	45%	-0.77	-89.6	6.05%	0	-0.5	45	0

6	May_8_2017	2385.03	1986.97	1954.56	1927.8			1872(-7.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-6	-10000	-3	-14	0.09	45%	-0.77	-74.3	6.04%	0	-1.4	45	0
7	May_5_2017	2403.56	2002.55	1955.22	1947.6			2027(6.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-5	-10000	-1	-16	0.04	49%	-0.75	-57.9	5.96%	0	0.3	50	0
8	May_4_2017	2421.77	2013.42	1944.88	1952.6			1909(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0.05	45%	-0.97	-39.8	5.96%	0	-1	38	0
9	May_3_2017	2445.43	2028.72	1955.85	1968.8			1938(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	-3	-21	0.04	39%	-0.8	-30.7	6%	0	-0.8	46	0
10	May_2_2017	2465.08	2043.52	1967.5	1987.2			1893(-3.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-2	-10000	1	-12	0.08	39%	-0.87	-16.8	6.16%	0	-1.3	45	0

11	May_1_2017	2486.61	2049.01	1979.34	1983.2			1971(-3.95%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.06	39%	-1.18	-18.2	6.14%	0	-0.7	41	0
12	Apr_28_2017	2516.38	2054.58	1985.2	1960.8			2052(3.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	4	-30	0.05	34%	-1.1	-21.5	6.31%	0	-0	42	0
13	Apr_27_2017	2544.29	2056.18	1990.42	1936.4			1990(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	-1	-45	0.05	34%	-0.9	-22.7	6.35%	0	-0.6	35	0
14	Apr_26_2017	2567.47	2063.36	1994.37	1942.8			2030(8.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-14	-10000	-1	-51	0.07	34%	-0.96	-11	6.34%	0	-0.3	40	0
15	Apr_25_2017	2592.38	2063.46	1992.48	1949.4			1873(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.04	28%	-0.95	-8.5	6.25%	0	-1.7	29	0

16	Apr_24_2017	2617.34	2070	2020.78	1976			1859(-3.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-6	-50	0.06	28%	-0.78	-2	6.28%	0	-2	49	0
17	Apr_21_2017	2637.94	2078.84	2054.34	2011			1930(-4.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-6	-37	0.05	28%	-0.84	20.6	6.28%	0	-1.6	46	0
18	Apr_20_2017	2660.19	2082.06	2088.24	2050.2			2022(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-0	-18	0.04	28%	-0.58	47.2	6.31%	0	-0.6	49	0
19	Apr_19_2017	2675.79	2075.92	2107.99	2052.4			2063(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.04	28%	-0.54	47.1	6.39%	0	-0.1	48	0
20	Apr_18_2017	2690.39	2073.04	2125.48	2043.2			2006(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-5	-9	0.05	28%	-0.58	55.8	6.38%	0	-0.6	52	0

21	Apr_17_2017	2706.16	2072.05	2125.61	2073.4			2034(-4.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.04	28%	-0.42	67.8	6.43%	0	-0.4	56	0
22	Apr_13_2017	2717.46	2059.54	2131.37	2104.8			2126(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.04	28%	-0.31	49.6	6.41%	0	0.5	58	0
23	Apr_12_2017	2725.9	2039.19	2127.9	2134.6			2033(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-6	22	0.03	28%	-0.26	49.2	6.39%	0	-0	57	0
24	Apr_11_2017	2733.04	2028.62	2139	2172.8			2017(-6.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-6	43	0.07	28%	-0.29	55.7	6.47%	0	-0.1	61	0
25	Apr_10_2017	2741.03	2016.53	2142.2	2218.4			2157(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	5	62	0.03	40%		68.5	6.42%	0	0.8	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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