Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2063.0000 (2.84%) ($2056.0000 - $2133.0000) on Wed. Apr. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.39% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $2063.0000(2.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
UNG(99%)    PEJ(15%)    XOP(15%)    LIT(14%)    XLY(14%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.195% (StdDev 6.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $2075.92
5 Day Moving Average   $2052.4(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2107.99(-2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2075.92(-0.62%)
To recent high   -34.6%
To recent low   48.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 4.95% (three month std-dev: 6.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170519

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2017	2675.79	2075.92	2107.99	2052.4			2063(2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	1	-13	0.04	28%	-0.54	47.1	6.39%	0	-0.1	48	0
2	Apr_18_2017	2690.39	2073.04	2125.48	2043.2			2006(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-5	-9	0.05	28%	-0.58	55.8	6.38%	0	-0.6	52	0
3	Apr_17_2017	2706.16	2072.05	2125.61	2073.4			2034(-4.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.04	28%	-0.42	67.8	6.43%	0	-0.4	56	0
4	Apr_13_2017	2717.46	2059.54	2131.37	2104.8			2126(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.04	28%	-0.31	49.6	6.41%	0	0.5	58	0
5	Apr_12_2017	2725.9	2039.19	2127.9	2134.6			2033(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	1	-10000	-6	22	0.03	28%	-0.26	49.2	6.39%	0	-0	57	0

6	Apr_11_2017	2733.04	2028.62	2139	2172.8			2017(-6.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-6	43	0.07	28%	-0.29	55.7	6.47%	0	-0.1	61	0
7	Apr_10_2017	2741.03	2016.53	2142.2	2218.4			2157(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	-10000	5	62	0.03	40%	-0.14	68.5	6.42%	0	0.8	59	0
8	Apr_7_2017	2744.78	2002.84	2125.03	2182.4			2191(-3.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	3	50	0.03	35%	-0.02	71.1	6.82%	0	1.2	62	0
9	Apr_6_2017	2745.44	1989.51	2106.62	2159.2			2275(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	5	57	0.05	35%	-0.04	79.7	6.87%	0	1.8	74	0
10	Apr_5_2017	2746.67	1966.35	2074.87	2121.4			2224(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	3	60	0.06	35%	-0.02	84.9	6.87%	0	1.7	74	0

11	Apr_4_2017	2747.34	1941.35	2039.59	2103.2			2245(13.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10000	6	62	0.11	35%	-0.06	86.1	6.91%	0	1.9	68	0
12	Apr_3_2017	2749.05	1908.92	2012.54	2058.8			1977(-4.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	-10000	0	62	0.05	20%	-0.09	85.9	6.74%	0	0.5	63	0
13	Mar_31_2017	2751.52	1893.5	2012.45	2057.6			2075(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-10000	2	59	0.04	20%	-0.06	89	7.8%	0	1.1	58	0
14	Mar_30_2017	2753.11	1870.01	1981.36	2043.4			2086(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	-10000	3	50	0.06	20%	-0.07	86.3	7.87%	0	1.3	56	0
15	Mar_29_2017	2755.09	1844.8	1943.17	2019.2			2133(5.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	7	42	0.08	20%	0.01	84	7.88%	0	1.7	62	0

16	Mar_28_2017	2754.85	1815.07	1908.58	1966.6			2023(2.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	1	31	0.06	25%	-0.25	79.3	7.85%	0	1.3	63	0
17	Mar_27_2017	2761.84	1789.27	1880.98	1961.2			1971(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10000	0	36	0.04	25%	-0.22	76.4	7.95%	0	1	67	0
18	Mar_24_2017	2768.03	1761.21	1871.39	1960.61			2004(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	7	49	0.06	25%	-0.19	62.8	7.99%	0	1.4	65	0
19	Mar_23_2017	2773.39	1738.15	1862.79	1909.01			1965(5.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	7	51	0.07	31%	-0.24	45	8.04%	0	1.3	66	0
20	Mar_22_2017	2779.94	1713.83	1848.34	1853.81			1870(-6.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	2	46	0.04	31%	-0.37	19.8	8.14%	0	0.9	65	0

21	Mar_21_2017	2790.34	1692.18	1835.31	1839.21			1996(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	7	54	0.1	40%	-0.49	1.5	8.13%	0	1.7	71	0
22	Mar_20_2017	2804.01	1662.62	1795.78	1789.21			1968.03(12.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	12	-10000	2	42	0.07	38%	-0.62	-23.2	8.76%	0	1.8	72	0
23	Mar_17_2017	2821.55	1656.55	1763.37	1773.2			1746(3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10000	-5	48	0.05	34%	-0.63	-35.7	8.59%	0	0.5	71	0
24	Mar_16_2017	2839.4	1662.65	1750.29	1812.4			1689(-6.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-4	62	0.08	34%	-0.64	-40.8	8.64%	0	0.2	58	0
25	Mar_15_2017	2857.61	1679.59	1741.56	1840.6			1797(2.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	21	-10000	2	79	0.05	32%		-41.2	8.62%	0	0.6	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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