Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Dec. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $4436.0000 (10.65%) ($4240.0000 - $4588.0000) on Sun. Dec. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.41% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $4436.0000(10.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.205% (StdDev 8.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $3935.2(12.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3911.51(13.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4000.3(10.89%)
To recent high   -17.6%
To recent low   110.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 10.91% (three month std-dev: 8.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170125

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_23_2016	3713.34	4000.3	3911.51	3935.2			4436(10.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	10	-40	0.05	59%	0.1	62.1	8.41%	0	1	54	0
2	Dec_22_2016	3709.65	3936.51	3935.29	3778.2			4009(-4.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-9	-10000	3	-44	0.07	57%	-0.04	62.1	8.31%	0	0.2	56	0
3	Dec_21_2016	3711.1	3887.63	3998.96	3731.4			4184(24.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	0	-40	0.07	57%	0.13	59	8.36%	0	0.6	54	0
4	Dec_20_2016	3706.14	3818.64	3998.2	3730.8			3355(-9.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-6	-35	0.07	55%	-0.14	57.9	7.77%	0	-0.9	53	0
5	Dec_19_2016	3711.25	3798.05	4108.91	3824.6			3692(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-10000	-4	-9	0.03	56%	-0.16	63.7	7.83%	0	-0.2	58	0

6	Dec_16_2016	3717.07	3746.39	4170.48	3878.2			3651(-3.28%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-10	-10000	-15	4	0.03	56%	-0.16	63.8	7.83%	0	-0.1	57	0
7	Dec_15_2016	3723.11	3684.65	4198.99	4113.8			3775(-9.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10000	-11	45	0.07	56%	0.08	69.8	7.83%	0	0.1	64	0
8	Dec_14_2016	3720.23	3621.39	4234.65	4305			4181(9.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	-0	97	0.04	58%	0.18	76.4	7.73%	0	0.7	71	0
9	Dec_13_2016	3713.46	3530.01	4176.15	4312			3824(-3.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	24	-10000	-7	118	0.04	57%	0.04	76	7.65%	0	0.4	72	0
10	Dec_12_2016	3711.94	3462.92	4151.34	4431.4			3960(-18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	36	-10000	-4	157	0.09	59%	0.04	78	7.64%	0	0.6	72	0

11	Dec_9_2016	3710.42	3378.74	4115.46	4493.2			4829(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10000	13	213	0.05	63%	0.37	76.9	7.38%	0	1.7	86	0
12	Dec_8_2016	3696.85	3245.72	3945.07	4294.8			4731(12.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	-10000	9	218	0.06	65%	0.38	70.6	7.38%	0	1.8	87	0
13	Dec_7_2016	3682.9	3118.89	3765.42	4161.8			4216(-4.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	64	-10000	9	228	0.08	63%	0.16	68.1	7.4%	0	1.4	81	0
14	Dec_6_2016	3677.14	3012.01	3619.9	4022.4			4421(3.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	69	-10000	14	234	0.07	61%	0.21	58	7.39%	0	1.9	85	0
15	Dec_5_2016	3669.43	2918.66	3454.06	3831.2			4269(11.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	-10000	11	223	0.05	61%	0.14	50.3	7.46%	0	2	79	0

16	Dec_2_2016	3664.32	2827.06	3277.6	3681.4			3837(-5.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	64	-10000	11	224	0.05	59%	0.03	39.1	7.39%	0	1.7	79	0
17	Dec_1_2016	3663.12	2756.57	3122.11	3537.8			4066(15.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	68	-10000	19	216	0.06	57%	0.09	25.7	7.35%	0	2.5	83	0
18	Nov_30_2016	3659.84	2675.93	2949.9	3311.8			3519(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	58	-10000	14	191	0.05	55%	-0.05	7	7.13%	0	1.9	78	0
19	Nov_29_2016	3661.85	2637.27	2825.87	3151.6			3465(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	53	-10000	13	172	0.05	55%	-0.04	-13.9	7.17%	0	2.1	80	0
20	Nov_28_2016	3663.48	2620.94	2716.08	3015.4			3520(12.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	51	-10000	20	143	0.06	55%	-0.15	-37.4	7.17%	0	2.4	62	0

21	Nov_25_2016	3668.89	2616.86	2580.24	2814.8			3119(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	19	96	0.03	52%	-0.29	-58.1	6.99%	0	1.3	60	0
22	Nov_23_2016	3679.52	2626.63	2487.74	2642			2936(8.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	12	50	0.05	54%	-0.24	-73	6.94%	0	0.7	59	0
23	Nov_22_2016	3688.46	2645.78	2418.12	2533.4			2718(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	10	17	0.06	55%	-0.26	-80.7	6.97%	0	0.1	54	0
24	Nov_21_2016	3698.26	2692.53	2356.53	2447.4			2784(10.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	9	-24	0.05	55%	-0.59	-75.1	7.08%	0	0.1	49	0
25	Nov_18_2016	3720.39	2768.45	2338.82	2372.4			2517(11.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	7	-58	0.06	50%		-69.8	7.09%	0	-0.3	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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