Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Nov. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3119.0000 (6.23%) ($2980.0000 - $3165.0000) on Fri. Nov. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.99% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $3119.0000(6.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 6.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 10.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLY(13%)    XOP(13%)    XLE(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.495% (StdDev 6.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $2814.8(10.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2580.24(20.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2616.86(19.19%)
To recent high   -42.1%
To recent low   47.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 14.93% (three month std-dev: 6.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2016	3668.89	2616.86	2580.24	2814.8			3119(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	38	-10000	19	96	0.03	52%	-0.29	-58.1	6.99%	0	1.3	60	0
2	Nov_23_2016	3679.52	2626.63	2487.74	2642			2936(8.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	-10000	12	50	0.05	54%	-0.24	-73	6.94%	0	0.7	59	0
3	Nov_22_2016	3688.46	2645.78	2418.12	2533.4			2718(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	10	17	0.06	55%	-0.26	-80.7	6.97%	0	0.1	54	0
4	Nov_21_2016	3698.26	2692.53	2356.53	2447.4			2784(10.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	-10000	9	-24	0.05	55%	-0.59	-75.1	7.08%	0	0.1	49	0
5	Nov_18_2016	3720.39	2768.45	2338.82	2372.4			2517(11.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	7	-58	0.06	50%	-0.57	-69.8	7.09%	0	-0.3	37	0

6	Nov_17_2016	3741.75	2865.28	2339.22	2311.8			2255(-5.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-25	-10000	1	-102	0.06	47%	-0.56	-64.6	6.98%	0	-0.7	27	0
7	Nov_16_2016	3762.98	2995.02	2364.95	2306.4			2393(4.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-30	-10000	3	-127	0.04	47%	-0.56	-61.3	6.95%	0	-0.6	33	0
8	Nov_15_2016	3784.08	3119.47	2382.55	2283			2288(-5.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-34	-10000	5	-151	0.07	47%	-0.44	-57.1	6.94%	0	-0.8	31	0
9	Nov_14_2016	3800.97	3262.68	2437.04	2247.4			2409(8.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-10000	-7	-180	0.06	47%	-0.34	-54.9	6.91%	0	-0.8	29	0
10	Nov_11_2016	3813.91	3397.92	2518.9	2304.4			2214(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-9	-197	0.04	45%	-0.43	-52.4	6.84%	0	-1.1	19	0

11	Nov_10_2016	3830.3	3548.32	2655.59	2374.6			2228(-2.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	-10000	-7	-201	0.08	45%	-0.4	-49.6	6.84%	0	-1.2	18	0
12	Nov_9_2016	3845.65	3704.86	2776.57	2432.8			2276(7.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-59	-10000	-7	-216	0.11	43%	-0.48	-46.8	6.87%	0	-1.3	17	0
13	Nov_8_2016	3864.18	3839.02	2892.81	2496.4			2110(-21.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-70	-10000	-16	-232	0.12	41%	-0.49	-45.2	6.97%	0	-1.6	12	0
14	Nov_7_2016	3883.17	3985.56	3060.75	2648			2694(5.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-73	-10000	-14	-251	0.04	45%	-0.26	-41.5	6.45%	0	-1.3	14	0
15	Nov_4_2016	3893.2	4107.83	3231.86	2770.8			2565(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-79	-10000	-23	-247	0.03	45%	-0.24	-35.6	6.47%	0	-1.6	11	0

16	Nov_3_2016	3902.41	4223.28	3431.58	2988.2			2519(-2.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-71	-10000	-18	-229	0.09	48%	-0.26	-28.6	6.47%	0	-1.8	9	0
17	Nov_2_2016	3912.67	4315.92	3675.46	3176.4			2594(-9.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-10000	-15	-204	0.06	48%	-0.26	-24.9	6.65%	0	-2.1	9	0
18	Nov_1_2016	3922.7	4403.7	3918.17	3345			2868(-13.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-10000	-16	-185	0.09	48%	-0.19	-21.8	6.57%	0	-2.1	22	0
19	Oct_31_2016	3929.99	4465.72	4158.55	3526.6			3308(-9.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-10000	-20	-164	0.04	51%	-0.05	-18.9	6.47%	0	-1.7	26	0
20	Oct_28_2016	3932.06	4493.85	4349.13	3764.4			3652(5.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-15	-139	0.04	59%	0	-14.3	6.37%	0	-1.3	28	0

21	Oct_27_2016	3932.04	4504.5	4510.81	3956			3460(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-21	-107	0.06	59%	0.09	-9.8	6.88%	0	-1.6	32	0
22	Oct_26_2016	3928.7	4535.09	4708.11	4262.6			3437(-8.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-10000	-20	-61	0.11	59%	0.06	0.7	6.88%	0	-1.8	46	0
23	Oct_25_2016	3926.35	4572.7	4869.04	4577.8			3776(-16.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-18	-18	0.07	61%	0.16	11.7	6.81%	0	-1.4	51	0
24	Oct_24_2016	3919.91	4599.64	4998.54	4876.4			4497(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-9	35	0.01	66%	0.41	24.9	6.52%	0	-0.2	68	0
25	Oct_21_2016	3903.84	4590.91	5063.39	5018			4610(-7.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-8	78	0.02	68%		34.2	6.6%	0	0	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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