Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2519.0000 (-2.89%) ($2513.0000 - $2728.0000) on Thu. Nov. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.47% (three month average)
RSI   9
Latest Price   $2519.0000(-2.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -5.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -23.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(15%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLY(13%)    IWD(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    IPO(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.235% (StdDev 6.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.1%

Resistance Level   $4223.28
5 Day Moving Average   $2988.2(-15.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3431.58(-26.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4223.28(-40.35%)
To recent high   -53.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 21.83% (three month std-dev: 6.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161203

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_3_2016	3902.41	4223.28	3431.58	2988.2			2519(-2.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-71	-10000	-18	-229	0.09	48%	-0.26	-28.6	6.47%	0	-1.8	9	0
2	Nov_2_2016	3912.67	4315.92	3675.46	3176.4			2594(-9.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-62	-10000	-15	-204	0.06	48%	-0.26	-24.9	6.65%	0	-2.1	9	0
3	Nov_1_2016	3922.7	4403.7	3918.17	3345			2868(-13.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-10000	-16	-185	0.09	48%	-0.19	-21.8	6.57%	0	-2.1	22	0
4	Oct_31_2016	3929.99	4465.72	4158.55	3526.6			3308(-9.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-10000	-20	-164	0.04	51%	-0.05	-18.9	6.47%	0	-1.7	26	0
5	Oct_28_2016	3932.06	4493.85	4349.13	3764.4			3652(5.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-46	-10000	-15	-139	0.04	59%	0	-14.3	6.37%	0	-1.3	28	0

6	Oct_27_2016	3932.04	4504.5	4510.81	3956			3460(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-43	-10000	-21	-107	0.06	59%	0.09	-9.8	6.88%	0	-1.6	32	0
7	Oct_26_2016	3928.7	4535.09	4708.11	4262.6			3437(-8.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-10000	-20	-61	0.11	59%	0.06	0.7	6.88%	0	-1.8	46	0
8	Oct_25_2016	3926.35	4572.7	4869.04	4577.8			3776(-16.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-10000	-18	-18	0.07	61%	0.16	11.7	6.81%	0	-1.4	51	0
9	Oct_24_2016	3919.91	4599.64	4998.54	4876.4			4497(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-9	35	0.01	66%	0.41	24.9	6.52%	0	-0.2	68	0
10	Oct_21_2016	3903.84	4590.91	5063.39	5018			4610(-7.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-8	78	0.02	68%	0.44	34.2	6.6%	0	0	73	0

11	Oct_20_2016	3886.67	4569.31	5085.97	5149.2			4993(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-5	120	0.01	68%	0.56	41.4	6.53%	0	0.7	79	0
12	Oct_19_2016	3864.98	4530.37	5012.4	5227.2			5013(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	36	-10000	1	142	0.01	68%	0.66	48.9	6.62%	0	0.9	72	0
13	Oct_18_2016	3839.56	4505.97	4931.6	5205.4			5269(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	4	150	0.01	68%	0.38	55.5	6.58%	0	1.4	73	0
14	Oct_17_2016	3824.97	4465.3	4797.34	5139.8			5205(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	1	140	0.01	68%	0.82	60.3	6.6%	0	1.4	67	0
15	Oct_14_2016	3793.85	4405.93	4647.26	5117.2			5266(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	6	133	0.01	68%	0.85	64.2	6.59%	0	1.7	65	0

16	Oct_13_2016	3761.7	4345.75	4489.98	5013.8			5383(9.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	16	120	0.02	68%	0.88	69.5	6.59%	0	2.3	69	0
17	Oct_12_2016	3728.9	4273.17	4334.66	4768.2			4904(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	10	82	0.01	66%	0.76	66.6	6.49%	0	1.6	62	0
18	Oct_11_2016	3700.66	4221.93	4240.82	4611.4			4941(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	15	53	0.02	63%	0.74	68.3	6.49%	0	1.9	54	0
19	Oct_10_2016	3673.46	4170.62	4156.82	4396.6			5092(7.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	21	-10000	21	20	0.03	63%	0.79	66	6.62%	0	2.7	57	0
20	Oct_7_2016	3644.74	4108.33	4062.98	4107.4			4749(14.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	10	-10000	17	-13	0.04	61%	0.71	52.9	6.59%	0	2.2	62	0

21	Oct_6_2016	3619.15	4048.13	3992.83	3893.6			4155(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	4	-45	0.03	58%	0.58	33.2	6.37%	0	0.4	52	0
22	Oct_5_2016	3598.22	4022.56	3996.57	3839.8			4120(6.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	2	-49	0.03	52%	0.52	18.3	6.39%	0	0.3	54	0
23	Oct_4_2016	3579.45	3980.24	4036.75	3817.6			3867(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-5	-39	0.03	50%	0.47	7.4	6.96%	0	-0.3	52	0
24	Oct_3_2016	3562.72	3957.4	4102.83	3881.4			3646(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-9	-24	0.02	50%	0.35	3.2	6.97%	0	-0.9	46	0
25	Sep_30_2016	3550.43	3959.04	4151.12	4008.8			3680(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-6	-5	0.03	50%		7.8	7.03%	0	-0.8	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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