Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UGAZ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Oct. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $4610.0000 (-7.67%) ($4568.0000 - $4765.0000) on Fri. Oct. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.6% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $4610.0000(-7.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(15%)    XOP(14%)    XLY(13%)    LIT(12%)    XLE(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    IPO(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.3% (StdDev 6.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $5018(-8.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $5063.39(-8.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $4590.91(0.42%)
To recent high   -14.4%
To recent low   54.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 12.27% (three month std-dev: 6.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2016	3903.84	4590.91	5063.39	5018			4610(-7.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	14	-10000	-8	78	0.02	68%	0.44	34.2	6.6%	0	0	73	0
2	Oct_20_2016	3886.67	4569.31	5085.97	5149.2			4993(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	26	-10000	-5	120	0.01	68%	0.56	41.4	6.53%	0	0.7	79	0
3	Oct_19_2016	3864.98	4530.37	5012.4	5227.2			5013(-4.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	36	-10000	1	142	0.01	68%	0.66	48.9	6.62%	0	0.9	72	0
4	Oct_18_2016	3839.56	4505.97	4931.6	5205.4			5269(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	4	150	0.01	68%	0.38	55.5	6.58%	0	1.4	73	0
5	Oct_17_2016	3824.97	4465.3	4797.34	5139.8			5205(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	-10000	1	140	0.01	68%	0.82	60.3	6.6%	0	1.4	67	0

6	Oct_14_2016	3793.85	4405.93	4647.26	5117.2			5266(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	6	133	0.01	68%	0.85	64.2	6.59%	0	1.7	65	0
7	Oct_13_2016	3761.7	4345.75	4489.98	5013.8			5383(9.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	42	-10000	16	120	0.02	68%	0.88	69.5	6.59%	0	2.3	69	0
8	Oct_12_2016	3728.9	4273.17	4334.66	4768.2			4904(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	10	82	0.01	66%	0.76	66.6	6.49%	0	1.6	62	0
9	Oct_11_2016	3700.66	4221.93	4240.82	4611.4			4941(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	15	53	0.02	63%	0.74	68.3	6.49%	0	1.9	54	0
10	Oct_10_2016	3673.46	4170.62	4156.82	4396.6			5092(7.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	21	-10000	21	20	0.03	63%	0.79	66	6.62%	0	2.7	57	0

11	Oct_7_2016	3644.74	4108.33	4062.98	4107.4			4749(14.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	10	-10000	17	-13	0.04	61%	0.71	52.9	6.59%	0	2.2	62	0
12	Oct_6_2016	3619.15	4048.13	3992.83	3893.6			4155(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-8	-10000	4	-45	0.03	58%	0.58	33.2	6.37%	0	0.4	52	0
13	Oct_5_2016	3598.22	4022.56	3996.57	3839.8			4120(6.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-11	-10000	2	-49	0.03	52%	0.52	18.3	6.39%	0	0.3	54	0
14	Oct_4_2016	3579.45	3980.24	4036.75	3817.6			3867(6.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-5	-39	0.03	50%	0.47	7.4	6.96%	0	-0.3	52	0
15	Oct_3_2016	3562.72	3957.4	4102.83	3881.4			3646(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-9	-24	0.02	50%	0.35	3.2	6.97%	0	-0.9	46	0

16	Sep_30_2016	3550.43	3959.04	4151.12	4008.8			3680(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-6	-5	0.03	50%	0.31	7.8	7.03%	0	-0.8	48	0
17	Sep_29_2016	3539.56	3961.17	4203.01	4100.6			3886(-3.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-5	16	0.02	50%	0.37	11	7.05%	0	-0.2	62	0
18	Sep_28_2016	3526.64	3965.23	4222.28	4170.4			4009(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-8	32	0.02	53%	0.41	19.3	7.04%	0	0.1	64	0
19	Sep_27_2016	3512.4	3955.12	4218.68	4287.4			4186(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-5	62	0.01	53%	0.52	31.2	7.21%	0	0.6	75	0
20	Sep_26_2016	3494.27	3946.08	4200.18	4361.2			4283(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	3	90	0.01	53%	0.56	48.2	7.25%	0	1	72	0

21	Sep_23_2016	3474.98	3931.63	4166.29	4317.8			4139(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	0	93	0.01	53%	0.52	60.9	7.26%	0	0.6	62	0
22	Sep_22_2016	3456.92	3922.22	4114.68	4317.6			4235(-7.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	3	96	0.02	51%	0.49	70.9	7.26%	0	0.9	62	0
23	Sep_21_2016	3439.93	3897.89	4055.38	4274.8			4594(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	9	88	0.01	53%	0.66	78	7.28%	0	2.1	60	0
24	Sep_20_2016	3417.23	3846.55	3917.42	4139.4			4555(12.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	8	60	0.02	55%	0.69	81.7	7.28%	0	2.4	62	0
25	Sep_19_2016	3393.66	3782.62	3792.58	4023.2			4066(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	30	0.01	52%		81.3	7.2%	0	1	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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