Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 30, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3680.0000 (-5.3%) ($3584.0000 - $3772.0000) on Fri. Sep. 30, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.03% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $3680.0000(-5.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(13%)    LIT(12%)    XLE(12%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    IPO(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.515% (StdDev 7.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.4%

Resistance Level   $3959.04
5 Day Moving Average   $4008.8(-8.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4151.12(-11.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3959.04(-7.05%)
To recent high   -26%
To recent low   23.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 8.99% (three month std-dev: 7.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2016	3550.43	3959.04	4151.12	4008.8			3680(-5.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6	-10000	-6	-5	0.03	50%	0.31	7.8	7.03%	0	-0.8	48	0
2	Sep_29_2016	3539.56	3961.17	4203.01	4100.6			3886(-3.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-5	16	0.02	50%	0.37	11	7.05%	0	-0.2	62	0
3	Sep_28_2016	3526.64	3965.23	4222.28	4170.4			4009(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-8	32	0.02	53%	0.41	19.3	7.04%	0	0.1	64	0
4	Sep_27_2016	3512.4	3955.12	4218.68	4287.4			4186(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-5	62	0.01	53%	0.52	31.2	7.21%	0	0.6	75	0
5	Sep_26_2016	3494.27	3946.08	4200.18	4361.2			4283(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	3	90	0.01	53%	0.56	48.2	7.25%	0	1	72	0

6	Sep_23_2016	3474.98	3931.63	4166.29	4317.8			4139(-2.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	23	-10000	0	93	0.01	53%	0.52	60.9	7.26%	0	0.6	62	0
7	Sep_22_2016	3456.92	3922.22	4114.68	4317.6			4235(-7.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	3	96	0.02	51%	0.49	70.9	7.26%	0	0.9	62	0
8	Sep_21_2016	3439.93	3897.89	4055.38	4274.8			4594(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	-10000	9	88	0.01	53%	0.66	78	7.28%	0	2.1	60	0
9	Sep_20_2016	3417.23	3846.55	3917.42	4139.4			4555(12.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	-10000	8	60	0.02	55%	0.69	81.7	7.28%	0	2.4	62	0
10	Sep_19_2016	3393.66	3782.62	3792.58	4023.2			4066(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	2	30	0.01	52%	0.44	81.3	7.2%	0	1	50	0

11	Sep_16_2016	3378.78	3731.9	3744.91	3995.8			4138(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	11	-10000	8	20	0.01	52%	0.54	67.9	7.23%	0	1.3	51	0
12	Sep_15_2016	3360.68	3693.54	3693.02	3880.6			4021(2.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	6	-1	0.02	52%	0.41	65.2	7.23%	0	1.1	51	0
13	Sep_14_2016	3346.83	3652.57	3680.24	3798.4			3917(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	-10000	11	-6	0.02	52%	0.37	58.1	7.23%	0	0.8	54	0
14	Sep_13_2016	3334.56	3617.56	3664.2	3654.8			3974(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	10	-21	0.01	52%	0.35	43.2	7.23%	0	1.1	58	0
15	Sep_12_2016	3323	3573.93	3663.77	3526			3929(10.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	5	-24	0.03	52%	0.26	21.9	7.23%	0	1.1	64	0

16	Sep_9_2016	3314.29	3532	3668.72	3461.8			3562(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.01	53%	0.21	6.6	7.14%	0	0.1	65	0
17	Sep_8_2016	3307.39	3505.34	3709.3	3481.8			3610(12.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.03	53%	0.24	-6	7.42%	0	0.3	56	0
18	Sep_7_2016	3299.46	3479.7	3726.33	3552.2			3199(-3.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-9	17	0.03	50%	0.12	-13.7	7.26%	0	-0.8	55	0
19	Sep_6_2016	3295.55	3484.35	3776.25	3672			3330(-7.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-10	42	0.02	52%	0.64	-10.4	7.25%	0	-0.4	57	0
20	Sep_2_2016	3274.47	3503.55	3783.77	3815			3608(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-6	71	0.01	54%	0.37	-1.4	7.18%	0	0.3	64	0

21	Sep_1_2016	3262.31	3510.19	3733.12	3902.8			3662(-7.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-5	86	0.02	57%	0.32	-0.6	7.18%	0	0.4	65	0
22	Aug_31_2016	3251.75	3526.61	3709.25	3967			3962(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	3	110	0.02	62%	0.45	1.8	7.29%	0	1.1	74	0
23	Aug_30_2016	3237.24	3530.24	3633.56	3928.8			3798(-6.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	2	109	0.02	62%	0.49	6.6	7.5%	0	0.7	68	0
24	Aug_29_2016	3221.56	3522.54	3575.82	3893.4			4045(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	11	111	0.02	62%	0.49	6.2	7.51%	0	1.3	67	0
25	Aug_26_2016	3205.88	3508.52	3478.9	3745			4047(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	16	79	0.03	62%		-2	7.51%	0	1.3	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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