Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3974.0000 (1.15%) ($3903.0000 - $4076.9900) on Tue. Sep. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.23% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $3974.0000(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(13%)    LIT(12%)    XLE(12%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.615% (StdDev 7.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $3654.8(8.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3664.2(8.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3617.56(9.85%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   33.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.05%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.05% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 8.85% (three month std-dev: 7.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161013

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_13_2016	3334.56	3617.56	3664.2	3654.8			3974(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	10	-21	0.01	52%	0.35	43.2	7.23%	0	1.1	58	0
2	Sep_12_2016	3323	3573.93	3663.77	3526			3929(10.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	5	-24	0.03	52%	0.26	21.9	7.23%	0	1.1	64	0
3	Sep_9_2016	3314.29	3532	3668.72	3461.8			3562(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-2	-15	0.01	53%	0.21	6.6	7.14%	0	0.1	65	0
4	Sep_8_2016	3307.39	3505.34	3709.3	3481.8			3610(12.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-10000	-5	-2	0.03	53%	0.24	-6	7.42%	0	0.3	56	0
5	Sep_7_2016	3299.46	3479.7	3726.33	3552.2			3199(-3.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-3	-10000	-9	17	0.03	50%	0.12	-13.7	7.26%	0	-0.8	55	0

6	Sep_6_2016	3295.55	3484.35	3776.25	3672			3330(-7.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-10	42	0.02	52%	0.64	-10.4	7.25%	0	-0.4	57	0
7	Sep_2_2016	3274.47	3503.55	3783.77	3815			3608(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-6	71	0.01	54%	0.37	-1.4	7.18%	0	0.3	64	0
8	Sep_1_2016	3262.31	3510.19	3733.12	3902.8			3662(-7.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	18	-10000	-5	86	0.02	57%	0.32	-0.6	7.18%	0	0.4	65	0
9	Aug_31_2016	3251.75	3526.61	3709.25	3967			3962(4.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	3	110	0.02	62%	0.45	1.8	7.29%	0	1.1	74	0
10	Aug_30_2016	3237.24	3530.24	3633.56	3928.8			3798(-6.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	2	109	0.02	62%	0.49	6.6	7.5%	0	0.7	68	0

11	Aug_29_2016	3221.56	3522.54	3575.82	3893.4			4045(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	11	111	0.02	62%	0.49	6.2	7.51%	0	1.3	67	0
12	Aug_26_2016	3205.88	3508.52	3478.9	3745			4047(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	16	79	0.03	62%	0.45	-2	7.51%	0	1.3	54	0
13	Aug_25_2016	3191.36	3512.5	3379.02	3536.4			3983(5.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	9	31	0.03	62%	0.57	-10.8	7.52%	0	1.1	52	0
14	Aug_24_2016	3173.23	3519.32	3274.65	3416.4			3771(4.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	-10000	9	-8	0.04	62%	0.45	-11	7.5%	0	0.6	44	0
15	Aug_23_2016	3159.13	3504.15	3199.93	3299.8			3621(9.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	7	-47	0.04	62%	0.33	-17.3	7.54%	0	0.3	40	0

16	Aug_22_2016	3148.66	3498.14	3155.89	3216			3303(9.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	4	-70	0.03	61%	0.3	-24.3	7.47%	0	-0.5	44	0
17	Aug_19_2016	3139.31	3517.06	3190.62	3173.2			3004(-11.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-1	-81	0.04	59%	0.18	-27	7.38%	0	-1.2	35	0
18	Aug_18_2016	3133.53	3559	3265.28	3188.8			3383(6.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	7	-86	0.03	62%	0.28	-27	7.26%	0	-0.4	35	0
19	Aug_17_2016	3124.91	3565.7	3324.78	3107.4			3188(-0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-24	-10000	2	-100	0.02	62%	0.23	-34.9	7.31%	0	-1	30	0
20	Aug_16_2016	3117.88	3577.28	3415.12	3083			3202(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-92	0.03	59%	0.29	-41.8	7.31%	0	-1	49	0

21	Aug_15_2016	3108.93	3601.43	3464.57	3090			3089(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-11	-92	0.02	59%	-0.01	-43.7	7.39%	0	-1.4	47	0
22	Aug_12_2016	3109.13	3632.66	3542.89	3217.2			3082(3.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-11	-75	0.03	59%	0.3	-36.9	7.45%	0	-1.5	45	0
23	Aug_11_2016	3099.7	3669.29	3660.38	3358			2976(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-25	-10000	-16	-53	0.05	59%	0.3	-32.5	7.44%	0	-2.1	41	0
24	Aug_10_2016	3090.39	3710.21	3790.64	3576.8			3066(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-15	-14	0.04	61%	0.24	-19.7	7.43%	0	-2.1	49	0
25	Aug_9_2016	3083.08	3747.54	3845.21	3794.2			3237(-13.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	0	-10000	-6	18	0.05	61%		-4.1	7.45%	0	-1.9	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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