Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3718.0000 (2.51%) ($3516.4000 - $3750.0000) on Tue. Jul. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.65% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $3718.0000(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(12%)    XLE(12%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.825% (StdDev 7.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $3964.92
5 Day Moving Average   $3850.2(-3.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4132.78(-10.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3964.92(-6.23%)
To recent high   -25.3%
To recent low   76.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 9.6% (three month std-dev: 7.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2016	2762.02	3964.92	4132.78	3850.2			3718(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.02	62%	0.44	24.8	7.65%	0	-0.6	49	0
2	Jul_11_2016	2749.85	3961.83	4164.14	3872.6			3627(-10.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-17	-13	0.03	59%	0.41	32	7.79%	0	-0.9	49	0
3	Jul_8_2016	2738.7	3960.31	4181.9	4142.2			4055(4.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10000	-7	20	0.02	62%	0.45	60.6	7.77%	0	0.2	59	0
4	Jul_7_2016	2726.41	3940.97	4165.07	4257.4			3868(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-6	40	0.03	65%	0.23	79.6	7.79%	0	-0.2	60	0
5	Jul_6_2016	2720.1	3908.53	4160.62	4355.2			3983(3.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-6	54	0.03	65%	0.33	84.8	8.1%	0	0.2	60	0

6	Jul_5_2016	2711.07	3872.67	4175.8	4455			3830(-23.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	19	-10000	-1	79	0.04	65%	0.18	97.3	8.18%	0	-0.1	58	0
7	Jul_1_2016	2706.17	3841.91	4197.52	4481			4975(7.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	-10000	16	104	0.02	73%	0.57	101.3	7.67%	0	2.2	73	0
8	Jun_30_2016	2690.86	3736.49	4063.94	4224			4631(6.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	10	78	0.03	73%	0.34	102.7	7.61%	0	1.9	72	0
9	Jun_29_2016	2681.87	3649.31	3947.16	4065.2			4357(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	8	57	0.03	73%	0.15	105.9	7.59%	0	1.6	65	0
10	Jun_28_2016	2677.72	3573.6	3863.7	3943.2			4482(13.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	5	51	0.03	73%	0.13	101.7	7.61%	0	1.9	75	0

11	Jun_27_2016	2674.33	3474.42	3769.2	3869			3960(7.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	-0	50	0.02	71%	0.07	111.1	7.5%	0	1.2	68	0
12	Jun_24_2016	2672.44	3388.01	3731.51	3875			3690(-3.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	0	62	0.02	71%	0.09	96.1	7.52%	0	0.6	66	0
13	Jun_23_2016	2669.99	3313.93	3716.33	3874.4			3837(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	5	80	0.04	68%	0.01	85.1	7.51%	0	0.9	74	0
14	Jun_22_2016	2669.62	3233.1	3696.62	3802.4			3747(-8.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	87	0.03	68%	-0	77.6	7.69%	0	0.9	73	0
15	Jun_21_2016	2669.65	3154.98	3639.65	3759.8			4111(3.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	8	94	0.03	67%	-0.13	71.3	7.62%	0	1.6	84	0

16	Jun_20_2016	2673.11	3061.83	3547.37	3655			3990(8.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	-10000	6	97	0.04	67%	-0.6	68.8	7.78%	0	1.6	87	0
17	Jun_17_2016	2689.28	2974.56	3460.62	3575			3687(6.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	3	114	0.02	65%	-0.51	66	7.77%	0	1.2	89	0
18	Jun_16_2016	2702.93	2901.59	3385.06	3540.2			3477(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	-2	133	0.04	65%	-0.4	62	7.81%	0	1	88	0
19	Jun_15_2016	2713.88	2833.42	3331.68	3574.8			3534(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	6	171	0.03	65%	-0.39	59.4	7.8%	0	1.2	87	0
20	Jun_14_2016	2724.51	2769.18	3264.9	3493.8			3587(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	6	187	0.02	65%	-0.33	53.6	7.81%	0	1.5	88	0

21	Jun_13_2016	2733.57	2698.96	3159.13	3417.4			3590(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	-10000	7	192	0.03	65%	-0.38	50.2	7.81%	0	1.7	81	0
22	Jun_10_2016	2743.87	2637.35	3019.89	3327			3513(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	-10000	10	185	0.04	65%	-0.4	49.6	7.81%	0	1.8	80	0
23	Jun_9_2016	2754.96	2587.2	2882.62	3205.6			3650(16.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51	-10000	12	169	0.07	65%	-0.3	49.2	7.83%	0	2.4	84	0
24	Jun_8_2016	2763.13	2529.12	2731.6	3057.6			3129(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	5	154	0.04	63%	-0.42	47.7	7.62%	0	1.6	82	0
25	Jun_7_2016	2774.82	2499.24	2632.94	3001			3205(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	13	149	0.05	63%		50.4	7.62%	0	2.1	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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