Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3868.0000 (-2.89%) ($3690.0000 - $4177.0000) on Thu. Jul. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.79% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $3868.0000(-2.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(15%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLY(13%)    IWD(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.895% (StdDev 7.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6%

Resistance Level   $3940.97
5 Day Moving Average   $4257.4(-9.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $4165.07(-7.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $3940.97(-1.85%)
To recent high   -22.3%
To recent low   83.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 10.04% (three month std-dev: 7.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2016	2726.41	3940.97	4165.07	4257.4			3868(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-6	40	0.03	65%	0.23	79.6	7.79%	0	-0.2	60	0
2	Jul_6_2016	2720.1	3908.53	4160.62	4355.2			3983(3.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-10000	-6	54	0.03	65%	0.33	84.8	8.1%	0	0.2	60	0
3	Jul_5_2016	2711.07	3872.67	4175.8	4455			3830(-23.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	19	-10000	-1	79	0.04	65%	0.18	97.3	8.18%	0	-0.1	58	0
4	Jul_1_2016	2706.17	3841.91	4197.52	4481			4975(7.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	38	-10000	16	104	0.02	73%	0.57	101.3	7.67%	0	2.2	73	0
5	Jun_30_2016	2690.86	3736.49	4063.94	4224			4631(6.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	10	78	0.03	73%	0.34	102.7	7.61%	0	1.9	72	0

6	Jun_29_2016	2681.87	3649.31	3947.16	4065.2			4357(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	-10000	8	57	0.03	73%	0.15	105.9	7.59%	0	1.6	65	0
7	Jun_28_2016	2677.72	3573.6	3863.7	3943.2			4482(13.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	17	-10000	5	51	0.03	73%	0.13	101.7	7.61%	0	1.9	75	0
8	Jun_27_2016	2674.33	3474.42	3769.2	3869			3960(7.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	-0	50	0.02	71%	0.07	111.1	7.5%	0	1.2	68	0
9	Jun_24_2016	2672.44	3388.01	3731.51	3875			3690(-3.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	16	-10000	0	62	0.02	71%	0.09	96.1	7.52%	0	0.6	66	0
10	Jun_23_2016	2669.99	3313.93	3716.33	3874.4			3837(2.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	5	80	0.04	68%	0.01	85.1	7.51%	0	0.9	74	0

11	Jun_22_2016	2669.62	3233.1	3696.62	3802.4			3747(-8.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	3	87	0.03	68%	-0	77.6	7.69%	0	0.9	73	0
12	Jun_21_2016	2669.65	3154.98	3639.65	3759.8			4111(3.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	8	94	0.03	67%	-0.13	71.3	7.62%	0	1.6	84	0
13	Jun_20_2016	2673.11	3061.83	3547.37	3655			3990(8.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	29	-10000	6	97	0.04	67%	-0.6	68.8	7.78%	0	1.6	87	0
14	Jun_17_2016	2689.28	2974.56	3460.62	3575			3687(6.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	31	-10000	3	114	0.02	65%	-0.51	66	7.77%	0	1.2	89	0
15	Jun_16_2016	2702.93	2901.59	3385.06	3540.2			3477(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-10000	-2	133	0.04	65%	-0.4	62	7.81%	0	1	88	0

16	Jun_15_2016	2713.88	2833.42	3331.68	3574.8			3534(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	6	171	0.03	65%	-0.39	59.4	7.8%	0	1.2	87	0
17	Jun_14_2016	2724.51	2769.18	3264.9	3493.8			3587(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	6	187	0.02	65%	-0.33	53.6	7.81%	0	1.5	88	0
18	Jun_13_2016	2733.57	2698.96	3159.13	3417.4			3590(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	-10000	7	192	0.03	65%	-0.38	50.2	7.81%	0	1.7	81	0
19	Jun_10_2016	2743.87	2637.35	3019.89	3327			3513(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	-10000	10	185	0.04	65%	-0.4	49.6	7.81%	0	1.8	80	0
20	Jun_9_2016	2754.96	2587.2	2882.62	3205.6			3650(16.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51	-10000	12	169	0.07	65%	-0.3	49.2	7.83%	0	2.4	84	0

21	Jun_8_2016	2763.13	2529.12	2731.6	3057.6			3129(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	5	154	0.04	63%	-0.42	47.7	7.62%	0	1.6	82	0
22	Jun_7_2016	2774.82	2499.24	2632.94	3001			3205(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	13	149	0.05	63%	0.16	50.4	7.62%	0	2.1	74	0
23	Jun_6_2016	2770.39	2455.7	2536.01	2859.2			3138(7.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	-10000	19	129	0.05	63%	-0.49	45.9	7.67%	0	2.3	74	0
24	Jun_3_2016	2783.91	2414.75	2444.82	2662.6			2906(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	16	85	0.05	61%	-0.67	27.2	7.66%	0	1.9	61	0
25	Jun_2_2016	2802.66	2385.25	2374.4	2504.6			2910(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	23	-10000	16	42	0.06	57%		10.8	7.71%	0	2.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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