Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3534.0000 (-1.48%) ($3512.0000 - $3706.0000) on Wed. Jun. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.8% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $3534.0000(-1.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 2.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 22% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(13%)    IWD(12%)    XLE(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.9% (StdDev 7.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $3574.8(-1.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $3331.68(6.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2833.42(24.73%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   71.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 20.25% (three month std-dev: 7.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2016	2713.88	2833.42	3331.68	3574.8			3534(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	-10000	6	171	0.03	65%	-0.39	59.4	7.8%	0	1.2	87	0
2	Jun_14_2016	2724.51	2769.18	3264.9	3493.8			3587(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	51	-10000	6	187	0.02	65%	-0.33	53.6	7.81%	0	1.5	88	0
3	Jun_13_2016	2733.57	2698.96	3159.13	3417.4			3590(2.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	53	-10000	7	192	0.03	65%	-0.38	50.2	7.81%	0	1.7	81	0
4	Jun_10_2016	2743.87	2637.35	3019.89	3327			3513(-3.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	-10000	10	185	0.04	65%	-0.4	49.6	7.81%	0	1.8	80	0
5	Jun_9_2016	2754.96	2587.2	2882.62	3205.6			3650(16.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	51	-10000	12	169	0.07	65%	-0.3	49.2	7.83%	0	2.4	84	0

6	Jun_8_2016	2763.13	2529.12	2731.6	3057.6			3129(-2.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	42	-10000	5	154	0.04	63%	-0.42	47.7	7.62%	0	1.6	82	0
7	Jun_7_2016	2774.82	2499.24	2632.94	3001			3205(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	13	149	0.05	63%	0.16	50.4	7.62%	0	2.1	74	0
8	Jun_6_2016	2770.39	2455.7	2536.01	2859.2			3138(7.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	-10000	19	129	0.05	63%	-0.49	45.9	7.67%	0	2.3	74	0
9	Jun_3_2016	2783.91	2414.75	2444.82	2662.6			2906(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	16	85	0.05	61%	-0.67	27.2	7.66%	0	1.9	61	0
10	Jun_2_2016	2802.66	2385.25	2374.4	2504.6			2910(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	23	-10000	16	42	0.06	57%	-0.99	10.8	7.71%	0	2.3	55	0

11	Jun_1_2016	2830.65	2364.23	2289.73	2356.2			2846(14.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	12	-10000	16	-1	0.08	57%	-0.94	-10.2	7.88%	0	2.4	54	0
12	May_31_2016	2857.5	2337.65	2226.33	2214.4			2496(15.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-7	-10000	5	-42	0.12	54%	-2.87	-43.6	7.66%	0	0.9	45	0
13	May_27_2016	2941.9	2324.73	2196.22	2170.2			2155(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-3	-59	0.06	46%	-1.48	-63.9	7.74%	0	-1	42	0
14	May_26_2016	2986.24	2346.91	2222.94	2194.8			2116(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-54	0.07	46%	-1.21	-74.3	7.8%	0	-1.4	41	0
15	May_25_2016	3022.81	2360.68	2270.34	2219.8			2168(1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.07	44%	-1.3	-82.2	7.79%	0	-1.1	44	0

16	May_24_2016	3062.68	2385.03	2313.46	2207			2137(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.06	44%	-1.22	-85.3	7.88%	0	-1.4	36	0
17	May_23_2016	3100.57	2413.7	2360.42	2235.6			2275(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	1	-31	0.06	44%	-0.27	-79.2	7.84%	0	-0.7	49	0
18	May_20_2016	3109.08	2440.63	2374.57	2226.2			2278(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-31	0.05	44%	-1.25	-58.5	7.81%	0	-0.7	54	0
19	May_19_2016	3148.48	2478.18	2387.24	2258.8			2241(6.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.07	42%	-1.09	-38.3	7.87%	0	-1	43	0
20	May_18_2016	3183.11	2509.78	2402.14	2333.6			2104(-7.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-11	-22	0.08	40%	-1.3	-21.9	7.95%	0	-1.7	47	0

21	May_17_2016	3225.08	2547	2450.8	2436.8			2280(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-5	0.05	40%	-1.1	-7	8.03%	0	-1.2	44	0
22	May_16_2016	3260.85	2574.05	2462.73	2503.4			2228(-8.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.08	40%	-0.33	6.8	8.05%	0	-1.5	41	0
23	May_13_2016	3271.61	2582.32	2469.42	2539.6			2441(-6.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.05	41%	-0.64	13	8.04%	0	-0.6	42	0
24	May_12_2016	3292.8	2573.79	2484.89	2530			2615(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	5	-23	0.03	41%	-0.53	6.3	8.06%	0	0.2	41	0
25	May_11_2016	3310.35	2563.93	2459.42	2480.8			2620(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	1	-45	0.04	41%		-3.6	8.07%	0	0.2	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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