Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $3205.0000 (2.14%) ($3001.0000 - $3225.0000) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.62% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $3205.0000(2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 18.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(13%)    IWD(12%)    XLE(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.81% (StdDev 7.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $3001(6.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2632.94(21.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2499.24(28.24%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   65.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 13.72% (three month std-dev: 7.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2016	2774.82	2499.24	2632.94	3001			3205(2.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	-10000	13	149	0.05	63%	0.16	50.4	7.62%	0	2.1	74	0
2	Jun_6_2016	2770.39	2455.7	2536.01	2859.2			3138(7.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	47	-10000	19	129	0.05	63%	-0.49	45.9	7.67%	0	2.3	74	0
3	Jun_3_2016	2783.91	2414.75	2444.82	2662.6			2906(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	-10000	16	85	0.05	61%	-0.67	27.2	7.66%	0	1.9	61	0
4	Jun_2_2016	2802.66	2385.25	2374.4	2504.6			2910(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	23	-10000	16	42	0.06	57%	-0.99	10.8	7.71%	0	2.3	55	0
5	Jun_1_2016	2830.65	2364.23	2289.73	2356.2			2846(14.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	12	-10000	16	-1	0.08	57%	-0.94	-10.2	7.88%	0	2.4	54	0

6	May_31_2016	2857.5	2337.65	2226.33	2214.4			2496(15.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-7	-10000	5	-42	0.12	54%	-2.87	-43.6	7.66%	0	0.9	45	0
7	May_27_2016	2941.9	2324.73	2196.22	2170.2			2155(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-3	-59	0.06	46%	-1.48	-63.9	7.74%	0	-1	42	0
8	May_26_2016	2986.24	2346.91	2222.94	2194.8			2116(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-54	0.07	46%	-1.21	-74.3	7.8%	0	-1.4	41	0
9	May_25_2016	3022.81	2360.68	2270.34	2219.8			2168(1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.07	44%	-1.3	-82.2	7.79%	0	-1.1	44	0
10	May_24_2016	3062.68	2385.03	2313.46	2207			2137(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.06	44%	-1.22	-85.3	7.88%	0	-1.4	36	0

11	May_23_2016	3100.57	2413.7	2360.42	2235.6			2275(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	1	-31	0.06	44%	-0.27	-79.2	7.84%	0	-0.7	49	0
12	May_20_2016	3109.08	2440.63	2374.57	2226.2			2278(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-31	0.05	44%	-1.25	-58.5	7.81%	0	-0.7	54	0
13	May_19_2016	3148.48	2478.18	2387.24	2258.8			2241(6.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.07	42%	-1.09	-38.3	7.87%	0	-1	43	0
14	May_18_2016	3183.11	2509.78	2402.14	2333.6			2104(-7.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-11	-22	0.08	40%	-1.3	-21.9	7.95%	0	-1.7	47	0
15	May_17_2016	3225.08	2547	2450.8	2436.8			2280(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-5	0.05	40%	-1.1	-7	8.03%	0	-1.2	44	0

16	May_16_2016	3260.85	2574.05	2462.73	2503.4			2228(-8.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.08	40%	-0.33	6.8	8.05%	0	-1.5	41	0
17	May_13_2016	3271.61	2582.32	2469.42	2539.6			2441(-6.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.05	41%	-0.64	13	8.04%	0	-0.6	42	0
18	May_12_2016	3292.8	2573.79	2484.89	2530			2615(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	5	-23	0.03	41%	-0.53	6.3	8.06%	0	0.2	41	0
19	May_11_2016	3310.35	2563.93	2459.42	2480.8			2620(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	1	-45	0.04	41%	-0.39	-3.6	8.07%	0	0.2	46	0
20	May_10_2016	3323.42	2563.16	2459.7	2470.8			2613(8.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	5	-50	0.03	41%	-0.46	3.5	8.12%	0	0.2	47	0

21	May_9_2016	3338.65	2558.76	2465.53	2422.2			2409(0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	3	-62	0.02	39%	-0.3	0.5	8.06%	0	-0.6	43	0
22	May_6_2016	3348.71	2553.11	2505.82	2389.4			2393(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-4	-57	0.03	42%	-0.3	-9.6	8.12%	0	-0.7	56	0
23	May_5_2016	3358.68	2559.36	2569.93	2432.2			2369(-7.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.04	44%	-0.36	-2.5	8.19%	0	-0.8	58	0
24	May_4_2016	3370.98	2572.25	2621.19	2431.4			2570(8.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.04	42%	-0.25	0.7	8.22%	0	-0	57	0
25	May_3_2016	3379.37	2555.16	2646.29	2450			2370(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-7	-13	0.04	40%		-3.3	8.23%	0	-0.8	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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