Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2168.0000 (1.45%) ($2064.0000 - $2223.0000) on Wed. May. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.79% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $2168.0000(1.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLE(12%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -3.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.895% (StdDev 7.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

Resistance Level   $2360.68
5 Day Moving Average   $2219.8(-2.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2270.34(-4.51%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2360.68(-8.16%)
To recent high   -29.5%
To recent low   29%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.06%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.06% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 7.23% (three month std-dev: 7.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160625

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_25_2016	3022.81	2360.68	2270.34	2219.8			2168(1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-10	-10000	1	-42	0.07	44%	-1.3	-82.2	7.79%	0	-1.1	44	0
2	May_24_2016	3062.68	2385.03	2313.46	2207			2137(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.06	44%	-1.22	-85.3	7.88%	0	-1.4	36	0
3	May_23_2016	3100.57	2413.7	2360.42	2235.6			2275(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-10000	1	-31	0.06	44%	-0.27	-79.2	7.84%	0	-0.7	49	0
4	May_20_2016	3109.08	2440.63	2374.57	2226.2			2278(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-4	-31	0.05	44%	-1.25	-58.5	7.81%	0	-0.7	54	0
5	May_19_2016	3148.48	2478.18	2387.24	2258.8			2241(6.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-8	-33	0.07	42%	-1.09	-38.3	7.87%	0	-1	43	0

6	May_18_2016	3183.11	2509.78	2402.14	2333.6			2104(-7.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-11	-22	0.08	40%	-1.3	-21.9	7.95%	0	-1.7	47	0
7	May_17_2016	3225.08	2547	2450.8	2436.8			2280(2.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-7	-5	0.05	40%	-1.1	-7	8.03%	0	-1.2	44	0
8	May_16_2016	3260.85	2574.05	2462.73	2503.4			2228(-8.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.08	40%	-0.33	6.8	8.05%	0	-1.5	41	0
9	May_13_2016	3271.61	2582.32	2469.42	2539.6			2441(-6.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	0.05	41%	-0.64	13	8.04%	0	-0.6	42	0
10	May_12_2016	3292.8	2573.79	2484.89	2530			2615(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	5	-23	0.03	41%	-0.53	6.3	8.06%	0	0.2	41	0

11	May_11_2016	3310.35	2563.93	2459.42	2480.8			2620(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	1	-45	0.04	41%	-0.39	-3.6	8.07%	0	0.2	46	0
12	May_10_2016	3323.42	2563.16	2459.7	2470.8			2613(8.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	5	-50	0.03	41%	-0.46	3.5	8.12%	0	0.2	47	0
13	May_9_2016	3338.65	2558.76	2465.53	2422.2			2409(0.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	3	-62	0.02	39%	-0.3	0.5	8.06%	0	-0.6	43	0
14	May_6_2016	3348.71	2553.11	2505.82	2389.4			2393(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-17	-10000	-4	-57	0.03	42%	-0.3	-9.6	8.12%	0	-0.7	56	0
15	May_5_2016	3358.68	2559.36	2569.93	2432.2			2369(-7.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.04	44%	-0.36	-2.5	8.19%	0	-0.8	58	0

16	May_4_2016	3370.98	2572.25	2621.19	2431.4			2570(8.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-6	-10000	-2	-19	0.04	42%	-0.25	0.7	8.22%	0	-0	57	0
17	May_3_2016	3379.37	2555.16	2646.29	2450			2370(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-7	-13	0.04	40%	-0.48	-3.3	8.23%	0	-0.8	49	0
18	May_2_2016	3395.57	2557.39	2692.85	2519			2245(-13.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10000	-11	3	0.07	38%	-0.65	2.4	8.19%	0	-1.3	48	0
19	Apr_29_2016	3417.76	2575.96	2710.16	2638.2			2607(10.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-8	24	0.06	39%	-0.6	22	8.54%	0	0.1	61	0
20	Apr_28_2016	3438.52	2565.29	2677.07	2731.8			2365(-11.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	2	-10000	-9	33	0.08	39%	-0.79	38.1	8.56%	0	-0.8	51	0

21	Apr_27_2016	3465.97	2570.37	2687.36	2836			2663(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-3	48	0.06	41%	-0.72	60.3	8.57%	0	0.4	53	0
22	Apr_26_2016	3491.22	2563.29	2683.44	2870			2715(-4.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-2	67	0.03	41%	-0.69	69.7	8.57%	0	0.6	63	0
23	Apr_25_2016	3515.54	2551.54	2665.47	2890.2			2841(-7.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	9	81	0.03	41%	-0.92	78.7	8.56%	0	1.2	60	0
24	Apr_22_2016	3548.19	2524.75	2607.65	2787			3075(6.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	15	59	0.05	41%	-0.86	63	8.51%	0	2.4	59	0
25	Apr_21_2016	3578.92	2477.55	2544.64	2614.8			2886(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	9	33	0.05	41%		34.9	8.47%	0	2	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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