Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2370.0000 (5.57%) ($2294.0100 - $2428.0000) on Tue. May. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.23% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $2370.0000(5.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLE(12%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.115% (StdDev 8.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

Resistance Level   $2555.16
5 Day Moving Average   $2450(-3.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2646.29(-10.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2555.16(-7.25%)
To recent high   -42.9%
To recent low   41.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 9.65% (three month std-dev: 8.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2016	3379.37	2555.16	2646.29	2450			2370(5.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-7	-13	0.04	40%	-0.48	-3.3	8.23%	0	-0.8	49	0
2	May_2_2016	3395.57	2557.39	2692.85	2519			2245(-13.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10000	-11	3	0.07	38%	-0.65	2.4	8.19%	0	-1.3	48	0
3	Apr_29_2016	3417.76	2575.96	2710.16	2638.2			2607(10.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-8	24	0.06	39%	-0.6	22	8.54%	0	0.1	61	0
4	Apr_28_2016	3438.52	2565.29	2677.07	2731.8			2365(-11.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	2	-10000	-9	33	0.08	39%	-0.79	38.1	8.56%	0	-0.8	51	0
5	Apr_27_2016	3465.97	2570.37	2687.36	2836			2663(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-10000	-3	48	0.06	41%	-0.72	60.3	8.57%	0	0.4	53	0

6	Apr_26_2016	3491.22	2563.29	2683.44	2870			2715(-4.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-2	67	0.03	41%	-0.69	69.7	8.57%	0	0.6	63	0
7	Apr_25_2016	3515.54	2551.54	2665.47	2890.2			2841(-7.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	9	81	0.03	41%	-0.92	78.7	8.56%	0	1.2	60	0
8	Apr_22_2016	3548.19	2524.75	2607.65	2787			3075(6.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	15	59	0.05	41%	-0.86	63	8.51%	0	2.4	59	0
9	Apr_21_2016	3578.92	2477.55	2544.64	2614.8			2886(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	9	33	0.05	41%	-0.86	34.9	8.47%	0	2	60	0
10	Apr_20_2016	3610.05	2436.13	2512.07	2518.4			2833(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	4	21	0.06	41%	-1.02	13.8	8.48%	0	2	58	0

11	Apr_19_2016	3647.21	2410.04	2446.81	2475			2816(21.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	6	-10000	6	6	0.08	41%	-1.01	7.8	8.49%	0	2.3	56	0
12	Apr_18_2016	3684.28	2378.25	2398.89	2417			2325(5.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-9	0.05	36%	-1.15	-3.5	8.06%	0	-0.3	49	0
13	Apr_15_2016	3727.25	2386.68	2423.87	2401			2214(-7.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-6	-7	0.06	36%	-0.43	-0.3	8.09%	0	-1.1	51	0
14	Apr_14_2016	3743.18	2407.8	2443.29	2456.8			2404(-8.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.04	33%	-1.29	20.6	8.06%	0	-0	59	0
15	Apr_13_2016	3792.09	2408.72	2446.56	2498			2616(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	9	32	0.04	34%	-1.26	37.9	8.24%	0	1.3	65	0

16	Apr_12_2016	3840.34	2396.24	2435.04	2412.4			2526(12.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	3	20	0.04	32%	-1.29	37.4	8.24%	0	0.8	55	0
17	Apr_11_2016	3890.59	2383.79	2430	2382.2			2245(-9.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-7	19	0.05	28%	-1.28	42.5	8.23%	0	-0.9	54	0
18	Apr_8_2016	3941.17	2387.1	2440.52	2450			2493(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	30	0.05	32%	-1.48	72.3	8.27%	0	0.7	51	0
19	Apr_7_2016	4000.19	2374.58	2409.16	2427			2610(19.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	4	14	0.07	36%	-1.67	86	8.42%	0	1.5	50	0
20	Apr_6_2016	4068.25	2348.46	2355.39	2391.2			2188(-7.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-7	-6	0.04	30%	-1.87	88.3	8.24%	0	-1	47	0

21	Apr_5_2016	4145.74	2339.11	2373.54	2459.6			2375(-8.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-2	6	0.04	30%	-1.78	88.2	8.22%	0	0.2	52	0
22	Apr_4_2016	4220.74	2319.52	2358.24	2483			2584(8.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	5	11	0.06	30%	-1.73	85.8	8.19%	0	1.4	59	0
23	Apr_1_2016	4294.86	2281.1	2345.64	2429.4			2378(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	5	8	0.02	28%	-1.57	60.4	8.11%	0	0.4	55	0
24	Mar_31_2016	4363.25	2248.7	2368.83	2385.4			2431(-3.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	8	13	0.05	31%	-1.52	37.2	8.17%	0	0.7	57	0
25	Mar_30_2016	4430.55	2218.1	2366.84	2311.8			2530(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	4	8	0.03	29%		16	8.27%	0	1.2	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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