Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: UGAZ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Feb. 8, 2012 - Mon. Jul. 13, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Natural Gas ETN)
UGAZ latest price $2841.0000 (-7.61%) ($2706.0100 - $2880.0000) on Mon. Apr. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.56% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $2841.0000(-7.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UGAZ advances 3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UGAZ advances 11.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UGAZ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(14%)    XOP(14%)    LIT(13%)    XLE(12%)    XLY(12%)
Factors Impacting UGAZ price   UGAZ will decline at least -4.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-8%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    IBUY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.28% (StdDev 8.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $2890.2(-1.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $2665.47(6.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $2551.54(11.34%)
To recent high   -49%
To recent low   69.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.07%

$. UGAZ is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.07% a day on average for holding it.$. UGAZ price fluctuates within 9.26% (three month std-dev: 8.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160525

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_25_2016	3515.54	2551.54	2665.47	2890.2			2841(-7.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	9	81	0.03	41%	-0.92	78.7	8.56%	0	1.2	60	0
2	Apr_22_2016	3548.19	2524.75	2607.65	2787			3075(6.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	15	59	0.05	41%	-0.86	63	8.51%	0	2.4	59	0
3	Apr_21_2016	3578.92	2477.55	2544.64	2614.8			2886(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	9	33	0.05	41%	-0.86	34.9	8.47%	0	2	60	0
4	Apr_20_2016	3610.05	2436.13	2512.07	2518.4			2833(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	8	-10000	4	21	0.06	41%	-1.02	13.8	8.48%	0	2	58	0
5	Apr_19_2016	3647.21	2410.04	2446.81	2475			2816(21.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	6	-10000	6	6	0.08	41%	-1.01	7.8	8.49%	0	2.3	56	0

6	Apr_18_2016	3684.28	2378.25	2398.89	2417			2325(5.01%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-9	0.05	36%	-1.15	-3.5	8.06%	0	-0.3	49	0
7	Apr_15_2016	3727.25	2386.68	2423.87	2401			2214(-7.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-6	-7	0.06	36%	-0.43	-0.3	8.09%	0	-1.1	51	0
8	Apr_14_2016	3743.18	2407.8	2443.29	2456.8			2404(-8.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10000	-4	9	0.04	33%	-1.29	20.6	8.06%	0	-0	59	0
9	Apr_13_2016	3792.09	2408.72	2446.56	2498			2616(3.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	9	32	0.04	34%	-1.26	37.9	8.24%	0	1.3	65	0
10	Apr_12_2016	3840.34	2396.24	2435.04	2412.4			2526(12.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	7	-10000	3	20	0.04	32%	-1.29	37.4	8.24%	0	0.8	55	0

11	Apr_11_2016	3890.59	2383.79	2430	2382.2			2245(-9.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-7	19	0.05	28%	-1.28	42.5	8.23%	0	-0.9	54	0
12	Apr_8_2016	3941.17	2387.1	2440.52	2450			2493(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	-10000	2	30	0.05	32%	-1.48	72.3	8.27%	0	0.7	51	0
13	Apr_7_2016	4000.19	2374.58	2409.16	2427			2610(19.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	4	14	0.07	36%	-1.67	86	8.42%	0	1.5	50	0
14	Apr_6_2016	4068.25	2348.46	2355.39	2391.2			2188(-7.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-7	-10000	-7	-6	0.04	30%	-1.87	88.3	8.24%	0	-1	47	0
15	Apr_5_2016	4145.74	2339.11	2373.54	2459.6			2375(-8.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-2	6	0.04	30%	-1.78	88.2	8.22%	0	0.2	52	0

16	Apr_4_2016	4220.74	2319.52	2358.24	2483			2584(8.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	5	11	0.06	30%	-1.73	85.8	8.19%	0	1.4	59	0
17	Apr_1_2016	4294.86	2281.1	2345.64	2429.4			2378(-2.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	5	8	0.02	28%	-1.57	60.4	8.11%	0	0.4	55	0
18	Mar_31_2016	4363.25	2248.7	2368.83	2385.4			2431(-3.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-10000	8	13	0.05	31%	-1.52	37.2	8.17%	0	0.7	57	0
19	Mar_30_2016	4430.55	2218.1	2366.84	2311.8			2530(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-10000	4	8	0.03	29%	-1.57	16	8.27%	0	1.2	64	0
20	Mar_29_2016	4501.29	2192.58	2350.58	2275.7			2492(7.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	6	16	0.05	29%	-1.5	6.1	8.33%	0	1.2	67	0

21	Mar_28_2016	4569.79	2163.04	2328.45	2218.7			2316(7.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	-4	12	0.04	37%	-2.76	-11	8.32%	0	0.6	64	0
22	Mar_24_2016	4699.63	2157.83	2326.04	2255.7			2158(4.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-9	29	0.03	37%	-1.43	-12.6	9.08%	0	0	66	0
23	Mar_23_2016	4767.78	2159.61	2337.21	2352.9			2063(-12.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	11	-10000	-7	64	0.05	39%	-1.42	-13.2	9.07%	0	-0.4	68	0
24	Mar_22_2016	4836.65	2176.78	2345.24	2425.1			2349.5(6.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	22	-10000	-1	92	0.03	41%	-1.31	-19.6	9.07%	0	0.7	70	0
25	Mar_21_2016	4900.72	2177.04	2308.14	2433			2207(-11.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	23	-10000	-1	95	0.04	45%		-29.7	9.04%	0	0.1	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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